The election of 2020 as explained by a set of maps.

Map 1: Where Trump lost in 2020 after having won in 2016 (whole states only, not including Nebraska's Second Congressional District).
Map 2: Where Trump won in 2016 by a narrow margin (less than five points).
Map 3: Where Trump won in 2016 by the skin of his teeth (less than one point).
Map 4: Where Trump won Independent voters in 2016 but lost them after in 2020 (after focusing largely on "the base" for four years but turning off many Independents).
Map 5: Where Trump's party lost GOP-held Governorships since Trump took office.
Map 6: Where Trump's party lost House Seats since Trump took office.
Map 7: Where Trump's party lost US Senate Seats since Trump took office.
Map 8: Where Trump's party lost State House seats since Trump took office.
Map 9: Where Trump's party lost State Senate seats since Trump took office.
The maps tell a simple story:

1) Trump barely won in 2016.
2) He lost critical support from Independents.
3) His party suffered in the states he eventually would eventually in 2020.
4) And then he lost those states himself and thus the election.
5) The end.
(Pardon the grammatical mishaps. I edit and re-edit tweets, all without the benefit of an actual edit button. I inevitably leave an extra word in there accidentally. But you get the point. Good night!)

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More from @TheValuesVoter

7 Feb
The argument that it is unconstitutional to impeach a former President is ridiculous.

First, the Constitution does not say that it is. What it does say is that the penalty for conviction can’t be more than removal from office and being barred from holding office again.
Secondly, even if it were true that there was a Statute of Limitations for impeachment that somehow ends when the President leaves office, Trump WAS impeached before he left office. The resulting trial is occurring after he left. But the impeachment (indictment) happened before.
An impeachment is akin to an indictment although one where the person being impeached, if convicted, will have penalties not worse than being removed from office and barred from holding office again. The Senate trial is like a trial that results from an indictment.
Read 18 tweets
28 Jan
If you listen to the pundits, you’d think that the @HouseGOP did very well during the 2020 elections.

That’s not quite true.

Here’s what actually happened.
The only state in the country where the GOP had a net gain in House seats since Trump took office in 2017 is Minnesota. The party gained one seat there in 2020.
In the following states, the GOP gained seats in 2020 - but - only gained the same number of seats that it lost in 2018:

Florida
(Lost 2 seats in 2018, gained 2 seats in 2020)

Iowa
(Lost 2 seats in 2018, gained 2 seats in 2020)
Read 9 tweets
28 Jan
Economist Poll - Favorability of the GOP
(% saying they have a "very" or "somewhat" favorable view)

docs.cdn.yougov.com/ld46rgtdlz/eco…
(Page 180)

White Men w/no degree - 42%
White Women w/no degree - 42%
White Men w/degree - 35%
Men - 33%
Women - 31%
White Women w/degree - 26%
Favorability of the GOP (Continued)

Hispanic - 24%
Black - 19%
This is what the GOP approval numbers were on the 11/2/2020 poll - right before Election Day.
docs.cdn.yougov.com/jsojry0vph/eco…
(Page 194)

White Men w/no degree - was 54% (now 42%)
White Women w/no degree - was 53% (now 42%)
White Men w/degree - was 43% (now 35%)
Men - was 45% (now 33%)
Read 5 tweets
27 Jan
There is an interesting divide among whites by education about the Trumpian theory that Biden didn't win the election (Page 31) .
docs.cdn.yougov.com/ld46rgtdlz/eco…
67% of white men with college degrees believe Biden legitimately won (33% don't).

48% of white men without college degrees believe Biden legitimately won (52% don't).
76% of white women with college degrees believe Biden legitimately won (24% don't).

52% of white women without college degrees believe Biden legitimately won (48% don't).
Read 5 tweets
27 Jan
A lot of people have been talking recently about the crazy talk that has come from several state GOP organizations.

What people haven’t noticed is how badly the craziest of the crazies have done in recent years. Let’s review.
The Oregon GOP made headlines yesterday for saying something pretty psychotic.

Maybe all the losing made them crazy?

Oregon has 7 members in Congress. Only one of them is a Republican.

In Oregon, the GOP is in the minority in both the State House and the State Senate.
And as bad as that is, they actually lost ground during the Trump years. The Oregon GOP lost the Secretary of State office. And lost 1 State Senate seat and 2 State House seats during the Trump years.
Read 7 tweets
27 Jan
Senate Republicans might be thinking that the politically safe move would be to try to figure out a way - any possible way - to avoid convicting Trump.

I think they’re overlooking some things.
@SenateGOP
Unlike the first impeachment trial, in this trial, the evidence of Trump’s guilt isn’t going to somehow be too intellectually challenging for the average person to grasp (not that the last one should have been either. But, anyway ...)

And there could be witnesses.
The people who were involved in the assault on the Capitol keep getting scooped up left and right by the feds. More stories are going to get published showing how this whole thing came together. This will likely look worse, not better, as time goes on.
Read 6 tweets

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