1/ Clubhouse is being powered by a company called Agora ( $API).

Founded in 2012, Agora aims to be the API standard for "real-time voice and video" like Stripe is for "payments" or Twilio is for "SMS".

$API is already valued @ $9B+ but has some interesting opportunities 🧵
2/ $API went public last year but its stock rocketed in the past few weeks in unison with milestone CH news:

• $100m funding @ ~$1B valuation (Jan 11)
• Elon Musk joining the platform (Feb 1)

Over the span, CH grew from under 1m users to >6m.
3/ CH was apparently built on $API in one week and is lining up to be an early anchor client like:

• Uber was for Twilio
• eBay was for Paypal
• Peloton is for Affirm

4/ $API charges on a usage basis ($.99/1000 mins), which means more live minutes on CH --> higher revenue.

The company's estimated 2020 revenue is $120-130m.

At 50m monthly active users (MAU) x 45m/week, CH itself could be worth $120m/year to $API.
5/ Its not just CH, though.

$API also powers Yalla -- the "Clubhouse of the Middle East". The Chinese-owned app is showing impressive growth numbers:

• MAUs at ~14m, 5x YoY
• 5m paying users (for "chat services"), 10x YoY
• ~$100m in revenue (and a market cap of $4.6B
6/ $API also offers real-time video and its utilized in a number of verticals: (Company)

• Friends & family ("Bunch")
• Therapists ("Talkspace")
• Dating ("MeetMe")
• Education ("Hallo")
7/ Further, there are some pretty big Chinese companies using $API:

• New Oriental Education $EDU: a $32B edtech
• BiliBili $BILI: a $52B video sharing app
• Momo $MOMO: a $3B social and instant messaging
8/ The strong China connection is from the founder and CEO's past experience.

Bin "Tony" Zhao was:
• CTO at YY, a Chinese livestreaming platform
• Engineer at Cisco's Webex (where -- as @packyM points out -- he crossed paths with Zoom's Eric Yuan)
9/ Can Tony Zhao replicate the success of his fellow Webex alum?

That's TBD: but $API seems to have more than just Clubhouse going for it...including (here's some SAAS porn) a net expansion rate of 188%!!
10/ If you enjoyed this breakdown, smash that FOLLOW for hot biz takes and lots of dumb memes:

Source: seekingalpha.com/article/440341…
11/ Bloomberg just wrote about Agora:

-- Agora means "forum" or "market" in Greek
-- Agora mentions China's "complex internet regulatory regime" as a risk factor in its S1
-- Concerns about its exposure to China, like Zoom and its engs bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
12/ PS. Here’s an amazing story about how financial engineering can save lives

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More from @TrungTPhan

12 Feb
1/ In 2018, Elon Musk backed 2 alum from The Onion w/ $2m to launch Thud! -- a satirical media venture that was to be the start of an "intergalactic media empire."

The venture failed, but created some hilarious projects.

Here's the story...it starts with an Onion article 🧵 Image
2/ Its 2014, when $TSLA was worth ~$40B.

Musk -- a long time fan of The Onion -- reached out to the team about an acquisition after reading this article.

The deal falls apart b/c Musk didn't want to buy Onion's news business (AV Club) or its ad biz.
theonion.com/we-re-going-to…
3/ The failed deal doesn't blunt Musk's fandom.

In a Rolling Stone interview, he (prob seriously) says "In order to understand the essential truth of things...I think you can find it in The Onion and occasionally on Reddit.”

He also happily calls them out on Twitter for jokes: Image
Read 11 tweets
11 Feb
The @Wendys twitter account is on absolute fire roasting fools right now
Pls call the authorities, @Wendys is murdering folks
.@Wendys just trolled Cameo with: "Couldn't even pay the $30 to get William Hung or someone from a single episode of Law and Order to roast us?"

@BookCameo responded with a William Hung video.

I'm actually dead.
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Zuck’s Clubhouse bio made it pretty clear they were gonna rip it off
FB team just leaving their Clubhouse plans out in the open. SMH
Paper hands Zuck already changed his Clubhouse bio. Can’t handle the heat
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9 Feb
▫️Amazon will be run by a Harvard MBA
▫️Apple is run by a Duke MBA
▫️Alphabet is run by a Wharton MBA
▫️Microsoft is run by a Chicago MBA
▫️Facebook is run by someone who said “I want to F the Winklevoss twins in the ear” which is something an MBA would say

In sum: MBAs are back
counterpoint Image
When you shoot the most fire tweet but can’t got a GD retweet
Read 6 tweets
8 Feb
1/ About a decade ago, MIT professor Andrew Lo lost 6 people (incl. his mother) to cancer over a 4yr span.

These losses spurred Lo to find a new financing model to cure diseases. One student used Lo's research to start a biotech firm that is now worth $8B.

Here's the story🧵
2/ First, meet @AndrewWLo.

The director of MIT's Financial Engineering lab, he has taught a generation of Wall St.'s leading quants.

He created the "Adaptive Market Hypothesis" and was a Time 100 recipient in 2012 -- the mag described him as "Charles Darwin meets Adam Smith".
3/ In studying the biotech industry, Lo discovered a "valley of death" where startups couldn't get $.

It had to do w/ the drug discovery process.

A new drug might cost $200m to make w/ a 5% chance of success. Even if success = $2B/yr for 10yrs, most investors balk at the risk.
Read 11 tweets
7 Feb
17-yr old Notorious BIG free-styling 🐐
Tupac and Biggie free-styling together.

This is incredible:
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