4/ $API charges on a usage basis ($.99/1000 mins), which means more live minutes on CH --> higher revenue.
The company's estimated 2020 revenue is $120-130m.
At 50m monthly active users (MAU) x 45m/week, CH itself could be worth $120m/year to $API.
5/ Its not just CH, though.
$API also powers Yalla -- the "Clubhouse of the Middle East". The Chinese-owned app is showing impressive growth numbers:
• MAUs at ~14m, 5x YoY
• 5m paying users (for "chat services"), 10x YoY
• ~$100m in revenue (and a market cap of $4.6B
6/ $API also offers real-time video and its utilized in a number of verticals: (Company)
• Friends & family ("Bunch")
• Therapists ("Talkspace")
• Dating ("MeetMe")
• Education ("Hallo")
7/ Further, there are some pretty big Chinese companies using $API:
• New Oriental Education $EDU: a $32B edtech
• BiliBili $BILI: a $52B video sharing app
• Momo $MOMO: a $3B social and instant messaging
8/ The strong China connection is from the founder and CEO's past experience.
Bin "Tony" Zhao was:
• CTO at YY, a Chinese livestreaming platform
• Engineer at Cisco's Webex (where -- as @packyM points out -- he crossed paths with Zoom's Eric Yuan)
9/ Can Tony Zhao replicate the success of his fellow Webex alum?
That's TBD: but $API seems to have more than just Clubhouse going for it...including (here's some SAAS porn) a net expansion rate of 188%!!
10/ If you enjoyed this breakdown, smash that FOLLOW for hot biz takes and lots of dumb memes:
-- Agora means "forum" or "market" in Greek
-- Agora mentions China's "complex internet regulatory regime" as a risk factor in its S1
-- Concerns about its exposure to China, like Zoom and its engs bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
12/ PS. Here’s an amazing story about how financial engineering can save lives
1/ In 2018, Elon Musk backed 2 alum from The Onion w/ $2m to launch Thud! -- a satirical media venture that was to be the start of an "intergalactic media empire."
The venture failed, but created some hilarious projects.
Here's the story...it starts with an Onion article 🧵
2/ Its 2014, when $TSLA was worth ~$40B.
Musk -- a long time fan of The Onion -- reached out to the team about an acquisition after reading this article.
The deal falls apart b/c Musk didn't want to buy Onion's news business (AV Club) or its ad biz. theonion.com/we-re-going-to…
3/ The failed deal doesn't blunt Musk's fandom.
In a Rolling Stone interview, he (prob seriously) says "In order to understand the essential truth of things...I think you can find it in The Onion and occasionally on Reddit.”
He also happily calls them out on Twitter for jokes:
▫️Amazon will be run by a Harvard MBA
▫️Apple is run by a Duke MBA
▫️Alphabet is run by a Wharton MBA
▫️Microsoft is run by a Chicago MBA
▫️Facebook is run by someone who said “I want to F the Winklevoss twins in the ear” which is something an MBA would say
In sum: MBAs are back
counterpoint
When you shoot the most fire tweet but can’t got a GD retweet