People ask me about my investment strategy so I'll try to sum it up in a short thread. Here's what I look for:
1) small/mid cap stocks under $10B market cap 2) at least 30% revenue growth 3) potential of 50% upside within 12 months 4) potential of 5x returns within 5 years
I'm less concerned about valuation on small/mid cap growth stocks if I believe they can sustain 50-100% revenue growth for 3+ years. If they can do this then they'll grow way past any valuation concerns. I love multiple expansion stories.
I look at SPAC investing as an opportunity for investors like me to play the role of late stage VC and invest in high-growth disruptive companies while growth is still in the early innings. Just a couple years ago these companies would've been raising D and E funding rounds.
Of course I care about management, culture, etc but these are not the first things I look at. You could spend 50 hours doing due diligence on a company and still not have the answers you need to some of these questions so I focus on the fundamentals and growth catalysts.
I also pay close attention to insider ownership, total addressable market (TAM), market share, competitive advantages, intellectual property (IP), gross margins, EBITDA margins, balance sheet, institutional buying, VC backers, competition, business model, international expansion.
Every day I try to be a better investor than the day before.
I read lots of blogs, newsletters, analyst reports, SEC filings, investor presentations
I listen to lots of podcasts, earnings calls, industry specific presentations
I look at lots of charts to study the technicals
Being a better investor means you need to have an open mind, be willing to admit your mistakes, cut your losers, double down on your winners, have conviction because you've done the homework and most importantly is have patience and don't panic.
Hope this helps.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
My most recent Substack stock writeup is now available to everyone including the free subscribers which should be getting email any minute jonahlupton.substack.com/p/tmdx-transme…
The company is $TMDX and I'm extremely bullish on this company. I've been buying shares every day this week.
$TMDX has created an incredible machine that mimics the human body which keeps organs alive and functioning during transport. $TMDX already has FDA approval for their OCS Lungs machine and we believe FDA approval for OCS Heart could be coming soon.
Current method of transporting organs is inside a picnic cooler on ice -- I'm not joking.
This archaic form of transport guarantees the organs start dying immediately which is why only 30% of them are usable by the time they get to the recipient w/ much higher rejection rate.
- monster day for $CVLB $MWK
- excellent day for $STPK
- great day for $PRCH $FUTU
- good day for $GRWG $DRIO $CLPT $LPRO $OZON $ZYXI $APPH
Day: +6.6%
YTD: +100.62%
- started a new position today in my next Substack stock which goes out tomorrow for all the paid subscribers: jonahlupton.substack.com/subscribe
I really love this company and think it will be a real gamechanger. The stock was up 10% today so I had second thoughts about putting them into the newsletter but if I'm right and it's a 10-bagger over the next 5 years then paying a little higher entry price won't matter
We're looking pretty good today on $MWK $DMTK and $PRCH -- who else is making money on these?
Don't miss my next stock writeup which should be out tomorrow morning although please don't DM me and ask me when it's coming. It will go out when it's ready.
For the record, I have no plans to trade $MWK $DMTK or $PRCH anytime soon. I still believe these companies have enormous upside. I think $MWK is a $100 stock by the end of 2022 and I think $DMTK is a 10 bagger over the next 3-4 years.
I AM NOT SELLING!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
When you find companies that you believe can be 10 baggers over the next 5 years... you don't trim them... you don't wait for big pullbacks.... you don't try to time the price perfectly... you just keep adding to them every month and on every dip. YOU ACCUMULATE!!!!!!!!
There’s an error in my list... I obviously only own $SHOP once and I forgot to include $DKNG 🤦🏻♂️
This is what happens when I’ve been sitting in front of my computer for 12+ hours
I started 1% positions this morning in $ARKG after the recent 7% pullback, in $LSPD which provides an amazing POS system for several verticals and should be adding more this year and $STIC.U which just announced today they are taking @barkbox public via reverse merger.
Apparently they are rumors starting to circulate that $CSCO is looking at $FSLY as a possible acquisition target. This deal would make a ton of sense for $CSCO and allow $FSLY to keep working with their big cloud hosting/infrastructure partners like AWS, Azure and GCP.
As a $FSLY shareholder I have mixed feelings because I think this could be a $250+ stock in 2-3 years.
$CSCO would need to pay at least $15B for $FSLY which puts the price tag at approx $130/share.
Not sure $CSCO is willing to pay 30x 2021 sales but we might find out soon.
As of the end of Q3 $CSCO had $30 billion of cash on their balance sheet and their market cap currently stands at $187 billion so doing this deal would be easy. My guess is a 60% cash and 40% stock deal makes the most sense.