Halfway thru December, here’s my last update of 2020

My portfolio: 15.0%
Dow: 1.7%
Nasdaq: 3.8%
S&P: 2.2%
Russell: 7.3%

$TSLA
$SQ
$SE
$CRWD
$TDOC
$DOCU
$ROKU
$ETSY
$FVRR
$CELH
$FSLY
$FTCH
$SHOP
$FUTU
$SHOP
$PINS
$PTON
$GRWG
$OZON
$FUBO
$NET
$JMIA
$TTCF
$PLTR
$FEAC
$SSPK
$MP
$EH
There’s an error in my list... I obviously only own $SHOP once and I forgot to include $DKNG 🤦🏻‍♂️

This is what happens when I’ve been sitting in front of my computer for 12+ hours
I started 1% positions this morning in $ARKG after the recent 7% pullback, in $LSPD which provides an amazing POS system for several verticals and should be adding more this year and $STIC.U which just announced today they are taking @barkbox public via reverse merger.
For anyone that missed out on $CHWY, @barkbox is a subscription service that many of my friends truly love. @Barkbox was founded 8 years ago and should do $360 million in revenues this year, growing at 40-50% with 60% gross margins. EV is only $1.6B or 4.5x sales (too cheap).
I owned $CHWY earlier this year but clearly sold too early, the stock is now up 250% year to date.

I don't think @Barkbox is trying to be the next $CHWY but I love the gross margins and the recurring revenue model plus growth is very solid and the pet industry is massive.
I started a new position today in $MWK

This is the small cap tech-enabled consumer products company, not the flooring company.

Website is: Mohawkgp.com

$MWK is growing revenues at 60% and should do $300M in 2021 with 46% gross margins.

Check them out 🥳

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More from @JonahLupton

5 Dec
We’re living in the golden age of stock investing for several reasons:

1) There’s so much data & information available compared to 5-10 years ago

2) There’s an incredible number of innovative, disruptive companies to invest in

3) $0 commissions on most platforms

4)FinTwit
In my opinion If you’re looking to generate extraordinary returns you need to have a concentrated portfolio of stocks and sector/thematic ETFs.

This can be 15-35 holdings but after that you’re doing yourself a disservice.
Nobody ever talks about the negative impact that over-diversification can have on your portfolio returns.
Read 15 tweets
4 Dec
Apparently they are rumors starting to circulate that $CSCO is looking at $FSLY as a possible acquisition target. This deal would make a ton of sense for $CSCO and allow $FSLY to keep working with their big cloud hosting/infrastructure partners like AWS, Azure and GCP.
As a $FSLY shareholder I have mixed feelings because I think this could be a $250+ stock in 2-3 years.

$CSCO would need to pay at least $15B for $FSLY which puts the price tag at approx $130/share.

Not sure $CSCO is willing to pay 30x 2021 sales but we might find out soon.
As of the end of Q3 $CSCO had $30 billion of cash on their balance sheet and their market cap currently stands at $187 billion so doing this deal would be easy. My guess is a 60% cash and 40% stock deal makes the most sense.
Read 9 tweets
3 Dec
Not sure what clown built the algo that sold $DOCU at $218 AH after they just reported 53% YoY revenue growth but they should probably find a new career.

This is why humans are better investors than machines 😂

PS: Long $DOCU 🔥 Image
Not to call out Dan b/c he seems like a good guy but this is a bad take amd why you’ll put up shitty investment returns if you only listen to talking heads on TV.

Get ready for 2021 when I’m bringing you a live show about making more FUCKING money in the stock market.
RBC doing some good work today and raising $DOCU price target to $325 which is 32% upside from here Image
Read 6 tweets
17 Nov
Yesterday we got the news $TSLA is going into the S&P 500. Based on the $5-6 trillion of S&P Index assets those funds/ETFs will need to buy approximately $65-75 billion of $TSLA stock over the next 4+ weeks unless the S&P committee extends the allocation requirement into Q1.
Now that we know this is finally happening there's a floor on $TSLA stock for the near term. There are very few reasons why anyone that owns $TSLA stock should be a seller right now. This is going to make it harder for these funds to not bid up the price.
With this news I believe we see $TSLA at $500+ by end of week, $550+ by end of year, $600+ by end of Q1 and possibly $650-700 by end of 2021.

Now let me explain why... we already know that @ElonMusk owns 18-20% of $TSLA stock and he's not selling.
Read 12 tweets
16 Nov
$TSLA is going into the S&P 500 🥳

I’ve been saying for 4-6 months this was a question of WHEN not IF.

Even though $TSLA is up 10% after hours I’d still be buying. I’ll post more about this tonight but this is the catalyst that takes $TSLA to $525+ over the next couple months.
In full disclosure $TSLA is my largest position at 9%.
$525 is actually very conservative but that’s just for the short term (1-2 months).

My 2021 year end price target for $TSLA was $580 without the S&P inclusion and $675 with the S&P inclusion.

Giddy up 🚀🚀🚀🚀
Read 4 tweets
16 Nov
We just got the $MRNA trial results and they appear to be good, approximately 95% success rate. I'm no vaccine expert but this will trigger another rotation from growth to value. My guess is that it's not nearly as severe as last Monday.
If you were waiting to rotate from growth to value you would have done so last week. Many of the growth stocks are 15-25% off their highs so multiples have already contracted.

As much as I want to trim pre-market in case we get a big selloff, it's hard to sell at current prices.
These vaccines might start helping us in 4-6 months but don't forget we're still hitting new records every day in the # of new Covid cases which as forced some states back into partial lockdowns.

When I look through my growth stocks I expect all of them to keep crushing numbers.
Read 9 tweets

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