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12 Feb, 12 tweets, 6 min read
TWINDEMIC UPDATE THREAD (Remember who said we'd skip flu season and who didn't!)
United States Influenza testing, MMWR week 5.

CDC flu view. cdc.gov/flu/weekly/ind…

Five-year average: 10,501 cases; 23.30% positive
Last year: 17,240; 31.12%
This year: 22; 0.05%

docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
United States Influenza testing, season to date (19 weeks, MMWR 40 to 5)

Five-year average: 90,791 cases; 14.33% positive
Last year: 154,400; 19.68%
This year: 1,553; 0.18%
Season-to-date flu hospitalizations down 98.4% from last year.

Flu hospitalizations total (19 weeks) in FluSurv-NET is 165. Through week 5 last year (18 weeks) it was 10,314.

Rate last year: 35.5 per 100K
This year: 0.6 per 100K
Influenza-Like Illness (ILI) continues to track well lower than the mild 2015-16 and 2011-12 seasons, and is now declining when it was rising in those years.
Still just one U.S. pediatric flu death this season.
Influenza-Like Illness (ILI) Map

Week 5: 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018
Sweden week 5. No masks, no lockdowns, no school closures -- and also no Flu A, Flu B, RSV, or HCoVs.
karolinska.se/globalassets/g…
The global flu chart from WHO.
apps.who.int/flumart/Defaul…
Reminder: with flu and RSV down 98%+ globally and replaced by COVID, this is literally the mildest respiratory illness season for children in recorded history.
This short article by @m_soond is the best explanation I've seen, for the curious:
medium.com/illumination-c…
Latest U.S. non-SARS-CoV2 syndromic data from BioFire. Rhinoviruses increasing again. Some adenoviruses, and a sliver of HCoVs. Nothing else.
syndromictrends.com/metric/panel/r…

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More from @kerpen

Phil Kerpen Profile picture
12 Feb
Biden's school closure plan recommends canceling school sports in about 2900 of 3000 U.S. counties. It's completely unhinged.
If you're red or pink on this map, Biden's school closure plan wants all sports to be "virtual only."
Only 2599 counties apparently. Mea culpa. Red is where Biden wants sports to be "virtual only."
Read 4 tweets
Phil Kerpen Profile picture
12 Feb
Science shows us schools are low-risk settings everywhere in the world, with or without mitigation and regardless of community transmission. But you're not doing science, are you?
There is zero science behind 6 feet. An arbitrary doubling of WWO's 1 meter, and overwhelmingly counterindicated in the school context, where its principal effect is sitting kids home.

Your own Wisconsin study has zero distancing within classes.

Why waste vaccines on low-risk teachers when you're endorsing closures regardless?
Read 12 tweets
Phil Kerpen Profile picture
12 Feb
CDC published a study showing nearly zero transmission even with 40% countywide positivity rates... and is now going to Cuomo/Newsom things up with color-coded zones.

Six feet has zero science but is great for closing schools.

This is all politics and it's obscenely corrupt.
As expected. It's a school closure plan, not a school opening plan. Union bosses call the tune now.
Tomorrow the CDC is going to issue an unscientific plan dictated by the White House based on political considerations that, if followed, will almost certainly result in MORE senseless school closures.

Reminder: States and school districts don't have to pay any attention to it.
Read 8 tweets
Phil Kerpen Profile picture
8 Feb
MILESTONE: A plurality of U.S. K-12 students are in school fulltime, 5-days a week today!
From Burbio:

% US K-12 students attending "virtual-only" schools = 35.2% (from 38.2% last week)

% US K-12 students attending "traditional" in-person/every day schools = 39.7%

% US K-12 students attending "hybrid" schools = 25.1%

cai.burbio.com/school-opening…
Burbio tracker percent of schools open by state. (Hybrid counts as half.)
Read 6 tweets
Phil Kerpen Profile picture
8 Feb
DC reports 4 deaths with COVID. Now 40 in February.

Positives / Tests %
1-Day: 101 / 2,920 3.46%
7-Day: 1128 / 32,455 3.48%
14-Day: 2631 / 83,788 3.14%
28-Day: 6143 / 177,609 3.46%

Testing by week:
7-day total positive 1,128 - lowest since November 25.
Total COVID-19 Patients in DC Hospitals: 237
Total COVID-19 Patients in ICU: 58
Total Patients in DC Hospitals (COVID and non-COVID): 2,007
Read 7 tweets
Phil Kerpen Profile picture
5 Feb
United States Influenza testing, MMWR week 4.

CDC flu view. cdc.gov/flu/weekly/ind…

Five-year average: 9,051 cases; 21.39% positive
Last year: 13,844; 28.99%
This year: 28; 0.1%

docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
United States Influenza testing, season to date (18 weeks, MMWR 40 to 4)

Five-year average: 75,356 cases; 13.21% positive
Last year: 128,526; 18.25%
This year: 1,499; 0.18%
Season-to-date flu hospitalizations down 98.2% from last year.

Flu hospitalizations total (18 weeks) in FluSurv-NET is 155. Through week 4 last year (17 weeks) it was 8,633.

Rate last year: 29.7 per 100K
This year: 0.5 per 100K
Read 8 tweets

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