Let’s talk about what the latest research tells us about police violence. A thread. (1/x)
There’s growing evidence that there has been a substantial decline (~30-40%) in police shootings/killings *in major cities* since the protests started in 2014. I’ve written about this here. But WHY the reduction in cities and why not other places? Well... fivethirtyeight.com/features/polic…
Now this is where it gets complicated. Because the places that saw the biggest reductions in police violence seem to share a set of common factors, some of which might’ve contributed and others which might not have. For example...
The places that had larger reductions in fatal police violence had more protests. And these places also implemented body cams. And reduced arrests for low level offenses. And these places also tended to adopt a range of other policy changes (use of force, oversight, etc).
These are all likely related. Protests forced cities to make policy (and social/cultural) changes to policing practices that effectively reduced police violence. But *which* specific changes made the biggest difference is the subject of a lot of debate.
That debate is constrained by lack of data on police use of force (especially nonfatal force) and on police policies. For example, we know when thousands of cities adopted body cams because this is a question on the federal LEMAS survey. Not every policy makes it into the survey.
Since many policing practices aren’t tracked by the federal govt, activists and journalists had to build these databases. For example, there wasn’t a database of use of force policies or police union contracts until we built one in 2016. Can’t evaluate what isn’t being tracked.

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More from @samswey

23 Dec 20
Arbitration is essentially the qualified immunity of officer discipline. While qualified immunity prevents families from receiving financial payouts from the city for misconduct, arbitration prevents cities from actually holding those individual officers accountable.
Because holding officers accountable has historically been the exception, not the rule, both qualified immunity and arbitration tie current practices to past precedents in a way that blocks the expansion of financial or administrative accountability for police violence in the US.
Both qualified immunity and arbitration are important practices to target for change via legislation. The focus on ending qualified immunity - which won’t actually hold those officers accountable (due to indemnification) must be expanded to include a focus on arbitration as well.
Read 4 tweets
5 Sep 20
This isn’t true. There are three primary databases that track killings by police - Mapping Police Violence (ours), FatalEncounters, and the Washington Post. Between those, WaPo is the least comprehensive and the only one which doesn’t include non-shooting and off-duty killings.
What you’re referencing is the fact that the WaPo database in particular does not comprehensively track killings by police and is cited frequently in ways that underreport the scale of violence (WaPo also misses some on-duty fatal police shootings as well btw).
The WaPo data also underreports unarmed people killed by police. They don’t categorize people holding objects that aren’t weapons as unarmed and also don’t track the huge proportion of unarmed people who are killed by police tasers, restraints, etc and not shootings.
Read 5 tweets
13 Aug 20
What’s the plan B for people to be able to vote by mail if USPS doesn’t function?
I’m seeing a lot of responses that people should just drop off their mail-in ballots but if USPS doesn’t function/is delayed substantially then won’t many people simply not receive these ballots in the first place?
I know several people personally who requested mail-in ballots in Florida in the (extremely close) 2018 election and never received the ballots in the mail. Many didn’t end up being able to vote as a consequence.
Read 4 tweets
25 Jul 20
The Bureau of Justice Statistics estimates 53 million people had contact with police nationwide in 2015. This report is key to understanding how to reduce encounters with police overall. A thread. bjs.gov/content/pub/pd… Image
15% of all police contacts (8M/year) were in response to car crashes. The rest of the contacts were evenly split between people who called police and people who were stopped by police. White people had *more* contact with police overall - mainly because they called police more. Image
Here’s a breakdown of who called/initiated contact with police. White people were more likely to call police to report a possible crime, to report medical emergency/situations that wasn’t a crime, and to seek help for another reason. But who gets stopped by police more... Image
Read 6 tweets
15 Jul 20
The methodological choice made in some academic circles to “adjust” rates of police violence based on rates of violent crime is a clear and pernicious example of scientific racism. A methodology designed to artificially and arbitrarily erase the existence of racism in policing.
Why is this choice so problematic? Violent crime doesn’t sufficiently explain police violence. Only 1-3% of police calls for service and 5% of all arrests are for violent crime. Violent crime rates don’t determine whether a city will have a high rate of killings by police.
Don’t take my word for it. Read the actual research literature. Here’s a recent study’s findings:
Read 9 tweets
6 Jul 20
There’s plenty of evidence that police violence *increases* crime rates in communities, especially Black communities. Then, police use these crime rates to justify even more aggressive policing practices. Let’s review the research. (1/x)
A recent study examining policing of Black and Latino teenagers showed being stopped by police - regardless of a person’s prior criminal activity - predicted an *increase* in future criminal behavior. Policing can generate crime. (2/x) pnas.org/content/116/17…
A second study looked at the NYPD “slowdown” finding when police dramatically reduced levels of policing in the city (particularly of low-level offenses), there was a *decline* in major crime. This happened again when NYPD did another slowdown in 2019. nature.com/articles/s4156…
Read 7 tweets

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