El gobierno criminal es un fenómeno grave en Colombia y otros países. Lo comprendemos y medimos poco, y las herramientas de política parecen hoy insuficientes.
Un Estado, diría Charles Tilly, presta seguridad, administra justicia y cobra impuestos. El gobierno criminal se da cuando estas funciones las ejerce un grupo criminal.
Muchas pandillas en Medellín, llamadas combos, pasan fácilmente esta definición. Hemos identificado ~350 /3
My son just had his 2nd bone marrow transplant. He's receiving treatment for a rare immunodeficiency. While going through this, my wife @IsaGutierrezR and I made a review of the literature. We were shocked on how limited the statistical analysis was in most of the cases 1/n
We are aware that these studies face many constraints: (i) very small sample sizes (many case studies); (ii) no opportunities for a randomized experiment. However, all studies trying to identify casual relations don't even try to meet the most basic statistical conditions 2/n
There's a common belief that economics developed sophisticated statistical tools for causal inference due to the lack of opportunities to experiment in real world settings, and that experimenting in medicine was easier. Well, this is not always true 3/n