I sense a few double standards present in the debate over Bidens’ historic Child Tax Credit proposal that would cut the child poverty rate by more than 40%.
My focus here is on a perhaps less obvious one but I think relevant: trust fund kids & the tax treatment of inheritances
Since the mid-1990s, as I’ll walk through, reducing the taxation of large inheritances has been a top, if not the top, tax policy priority of conservatives and Republicans.
In parallel, as I’ll also walk through, there has been a steady stream of research concluding that large inheritances reduce the work effort of wealthy heirs
Unless I’ve missed it, I’ve not sensed the type of concern about the work effects on wealthy heirs among conservative proponents of large tax-free inheritances, which we now see among some conservatives and Republican lawmakers around poor people and a larger Child Tax Credit
In 1997, as part of an agreement with Clinton, who secured wins to make health care more affordable for poor children and college tax credits, Gingrich won “reductions in capital gains and estate taxes that had been principal goals for the GOP.” wapo.st/2NoVSvI
Before fast-forwarding to the 2001 Bush Tax Cut, a side note that the 1997 Clinton-Gingrich deal included the introduction of a $500 Child Tax Credit, and in which Gingrich strongly resisted including low-income children.
A key pillar of the 2001 Bush tax cut was the elimination of the estate tax, a windfall for the wealthiest heirs in the country. For Senate procedural reasons, the elimination was not made permanent and a weakened estate tax returned ten years later nyti.ms/2NsbgYf
In 2012, during the Biden-McConnell fiscal cliff negotiation, Biden secured a temporary extension of having the child tax credit flow to more low-income families and in return McConnell secured a permanent $10 million per couple estate tax exemption wapo.st/3rPJ2Wl
Then in 2017, the Trump tax cut raised the amount that wealthy parents could bequeath tax-free to $22 million. This large exemption, combined with gaping loopholes, means that wealthy heirs can inherit massive sums tax-free. Heirs do not pay income tax on these windfalls.
Before turning to the research on work, note that over half of the money flowing from the largest estates to heirs is in the form of unrealized gains which have never been taxed.
Before and during this period while conservatives and Republicans were pushing to increase the amounts wealthy heirs could inherit tax-free, there was a steady stream of research on the work effects of such inheritances
Here’s a 1992 paper from Holtz-Eakin, Joulfaian, & Rosen which concludes: “The results are consistent with Andrew Carnegie's century-old assertion that large inheritances decrease a person's labor force participation.” bit.ly/2ZaeW3A
Here is another from economist David Joulfaian from 2006 which concludes that “large inheritances are found to depress labor force participation.” bit.ly/3d6nzo9
@mcottle 1997: “If anything, passing along large estates..increases the likelihood that a person’s heirs will never have to work hard..Is this any way to foster the Republicans’ much-touted work ethic? Or does that particular virtue apply only to the poor?”bit.ly/3qeh6Ls
As the child tax credit debate progresses, and there is intense focus on the behaviors of people who have little money, I think it’s healthy to step back and ask what types of double standards are being applied – perhaps like one with wealthy heirs
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Worried about the child tax credit debate & wishing men read more novels, I urged people to see it through the eyes of a single mom, with a toddler & a 7 yr-old, who works as a cashier
Here is this morning must-read from @crampell, including “if getting an extra $250 per month allows a single mom greater choice about whether to work the night shift or spend more time with her second-grader, that’s not obviously a bad thing” wapo.st/3p4Dd5R
And she adds: “the poor should not be responsible for bankrolling programs for the poor. Other groups are better able to absorb the costs — particularly the wealthy.”
This is a thread on the Romney Child Tax Credit plan. My hope is that somehow it will find its way to liberal commentators who feel an almost giddy impulse to tell their many followers that the Romney proposal is better or just as good or close enough to the Biden proposal
First, picture two people, one woman and one man, both of an age of possibly have young children. Now picture a recent visit to the grocery store, or a recent delivery, or an elderly relative being helped to shower or have lunch
Now suppose the woman your picturing makes about $15,000 a year at one of those jobs – e.g. a cashier or a home health aide -- and she’s a single mom with a toddler son and a daughter who is in second grade
With the Senate GOP expected to unveil its opening proposal next week, it seems important to recall when they initially staked out their position of a scaled-back fiscal response and how much has changed since then:
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In late May, Senator McConnell said that “You could anticipate the decision being made on whether to go forward in about a month. And it will be narrowly crafted, designed to help us where we are a month from now, not where we were three months ago.” cnb.cx/2OFmLcx
The GOP was advocating a two-step approach: aggressive re-openings which would allow for a fiscal retreat. As the President Trump in early June said, “We’re opening and we’re opening with a bang.”
The CARES Act largely worked. As the chart below highlights, policies such as the robust unemployment insurance helped offset the job-loss driven income reduction – a major policy success – providing a lifeline to millions of families across the country:
As the miles-long lines of people idling in cars in wait of food attest, however, the policy response to date has shortcomings and this hardship needs to be addressed when the Congress acts:
@jacsamoby, Kathleen Bryant, and I put out a paper today framed by two points: much of the income of very wealthy people does not show up on their tax returns and often enjoys special tax breaks when it does bit.ly/2qKpqJ3
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@jacsamoby Because of the wealth tax proposals, these issues are getting lots of attention. The piece I think is getting too little attention is how relatively little personal income tax many wealthy people pay, i.e. the current system is not working. A couple of examples:
@jacsamoby First, the man behind the Buffett Rule, which misleadingly only looks at the rate differential between Mr. Buffett and his secretary. The rule ignores most of his income.
On Friday the House is expected to vote on the GOP’s 2.0 tax plan which doubles down on the 2017 tax law’s flaws: tilted in favor of top 1%, loses large revenue right when youngest baby boomers become SS-eligible, and invites tax games. Charts to follow.
The House GOP’s 2.0 tax plan ignores the decades’ long stagnation of working class wages and the substantial upward shift in income:
The House GOP’s 2.0 tax plan exacerbates this upward income shift as it delivers roughly double the income gain to the top 1% than it does for the bottom 60%: