1/ Being on the board of a business with Josh Wolfe fits perfectly with my goal of having experiences that result in great stories.

Watching a board member like Josh work is like watching a professional athlete. It's fun, interesting and educational. joincolossus.com/episodes/39195…
2/ This below is from the new podcast:

"Read voraciously, try to understand what the consensus is, find a variant perception, something that people aren't thinking about. And generally, for the wrong reason."

My blog post on Josh Wolfe is here: google.com/amp/s/25iq.com…
"I'm insatiably curious and I want to meet everybody. I want to know a little bit about everything, but it's a humbling thing because you just never know. We listen in boardrooms about the hard problems these companies might be solving, that's where the next thing comes from."
4/ "Capital will become scarce again. I'm psychotic about competitive advantage. What can you do? Or what can you assert that you can do that will scare competitors that nobody else can do? From that flows good unit economics. From that you have a moat and pricing power."
5/ "Lux is fundamentally shaped like a call option.... on average, 1/3 of the companies are going to be total zeros and you don't know which a priori, 1/3 you might bank your money back, 1/3 maybe you get 10x. You end up with a 3x cash on cash fund."
6/ "Another way to look at it is maybe you have one or two companies that return the entire fund once. Maybe two to five next company's return it another time. And everything else combined return a third. You get the 3x in 10 years, but that's a call option like payoff."

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More from @trengriffin

14 Feb
1/ "You Americans measure profitability by a ratio. There’s a problem with that. No banks accept deposits denominated in ratios. The way we measure profitability is in ‘tons of money’."

Morris Chang the founder of TSMC on CREAM (Cash Rules Everyning Around Me)
2/ "Americans use the return on assets ratio if cash is scarce. But if there is actually a lot of cash, then that is causing you to economize on something that is abundant.” Morris Chang
3/ Clayton Christensen: "Reducing assets is much easier than increasing revenue. If you become a semiconductor manufacturer without any factories, the New Church of Finance gives you high marks for profitability because your RONA is wonderful." google.com/amp/s/www.dese…
Read 5 tweets
14 Feb
1/ It's almost as if the ability to creators to sell their products directly to consumers has forced platforms to find ways to better compensate them for their work. This is a shift in the share of the profit pool that is going to creators. Wholesale transfer pricing has changed.
2/ Take the example of @jasonzweigwsj or @danprimack negotiating compensation. Their current employer knows that Jason and Dan have the ability to sell their work directly to their customers through Substack, Revue or by rolling their own. Pricing power comes from a better BATNA.
3/ A better BATNA at its core is about opportunity costs of the people involved. I co-wrote a book to help you become better negotiator and improve the quality of your relationships. This book is available to read for free, which is priced to sell. 25iq.com/wp-content/upl…
Read 6 tweets
13 Feb
Steve Jobs in 2004: “The more we look at it, for more and more consumer devices the core technology in them is going to be software. More and more they look like software in a box." reuters.com/article/busine…
"Why is Peloton making hardware at all if software/SaaS is so valuable? The one-word answer to this question is: distribution." google.com/amp/s/25iq.com…
"Why is Facebook making hardware at all if software/SaaS is so valuable? The one-word answer to this question is: distribution." mobile.reuters.com/article/amp/id…
Read 5 tweets
13 Feb
1/ How many factors have changed since Buffett made this statement in 2001:
 
"The market value of all publicly traded securities as a % of the country's business--that is, as a percentage of GNP."
archive.fortune.com/magazines/fort…

Would Buffett still say that this is a useful metric?
2/ Charlie Munger: “You ask me what’s going to happen? Hell, I don’t know what’s going to happen. I regard it all as very weird. Anybody who is intelligent who is not confused doesn’t understand the situation very well. If you find it puzzling, your brain is working correctly.”
3/ "I don’t think price-book ratios, price-sales ratios — there’s no single metric that will tell you this is a great time to buy stocks or not to buy stocks. It just isn’t that easy." WB buffett.cnbc.com/video/2002/05/…

Munger: “There isn’t a single formula. There's no magic system."
Read 4 tweets
13 Feb
1/ Howard Marks: “We've never had growth potential relying on code and engineers rather than equipment. Firms have few assets and a high ratio of price-to-assets, but it's meaningless because potential profitability is not asset-based, it’s idea-based." investec.com/en_za/focus/in…
2/ "If a software company develops a desirable app or piece of software and they produce 100, it costs several million. But the next 100 costs almost nothing and the next costs almost nothing so incremental profitability is extremely high and reliance on assets is extremely low.”
3/ "It's not what you buy, it's what you pay for it. There's no reason why a fast-growing company can't be good value or why a low multiple company can't be a good investment." "Anything can be overvalued and produce a poor return or undervalued and produce a good return."
Read 7 tweets
12 Feb
Rich Barton at Zillow is like Ted Williams hitting a baseball.

"You can name people who are richer than Rich, but you can’t name very many people who have his track record. You will find very few people in this country who have as many times created something from nothing.”
“If we’re doing things for regular folks that make their lives better and save them money and give them transparency, we’re on the side of the angels.” Rich Barton nytimes.com/2014/04/14/tec…
A few years ago I was going in for unexpected surgery and I sent an email to a few friends saying "it was nice knowing you if I don't survive." Rich had a balloons in my room to cheer me up amazingly quickly. Not only is he a great entrepreneur but he is a caring and kind person.
Read 6 tweets

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