Phil Kerpen Profile picture
15 Feb, 7 tweets, 3 min read
DC reports 1 death with COVID. Now 64 in February.

Positives / Tests %
1-Day: 83 / 3,084 2.69%
7-Day: 865 / 34,243 2.53%
14-Day: 1993 / 66,698 2.99%
28-Day: 4968 / 158,816 3.13%

Testing by week:
7-day total positives 865 - lowest since November 11.
Total COVID-19 Patients in DC Hospitals: 196
Total COVID-19 Patients in ICU: 46
Total Patients in DC Hospitals (COVID and non-COVID): 1,898
DC 7-day Positives (raw and test-adjusted) and Deaths
DC Daily SARS-CoV2 Tests, Positives, and 7-Day % Positive
Coronavirus-Like Illness (CLI) as % of Emergency Department Visits, DC and National

(Most recent days will revise up, but not massively.)
covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tra…
DC % positive is less choppy in HHS data, which is mostly date of test. DC-source data has had some reporting delays lately.

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More from @kerpen

14 Feb
Updated Burbio tracker!

% US K-12 students attending "virtual-only" schools = 33.6% (from 35.2% last week)
% US K-12 students attending "traditional" in-person/every day schools = 40.8%
% US K-12 students attending "hybrid" schools = 25.6%
Map of where schools are open vs. map of where Biden/CDC plan (everywhere red) recommends closed middle/high, force elementary hybrid and make all sports "virtual only." ImageImage
Burbio estimates that 93% of students currently attending full-time in-person schools are in Biden's red tier.
Read 5 tweets
12 Feb
Biden's school closure plan recommends canceling school sports in about 2900 of 3000 U.S. counties. It's completely unhinged.
If you're red or pink on this map, Biden's school closure plan wants all sports to be "virtual only."
Only 2599 counties apparently. Mea culpa. Red is where Biden wants sports to be "virtual only."
Read 4 tweets
12 Feb
Science shows us schools are low-risk settings everywhere in the world, with or without mitigation and regardless of community transmission. But you're not doing science, are you?
There is zero science behind 6 feet. An arbitrary doubling of WWO's 1 meter, and overwhelmingly counterindicated in the school context, where its principal effect is sitting kids home.

Your own Wisconsin study has zero distancing within classes.

Why waste vaccines on low-risk teachers when you're endorsing closures regardless?
Read 12 tweets
12 Feb
TWINDEMIC UPDATE THREAD (Remember who said we'd skip flu season and who didn't!)
United States Influenza testing, MMWR week 5.

CDC flu view. cdc.gov/flu/weekly/ind…

Five-year average: 10,501 cases; 23.30% positive
Last year: 17,240; 31.12%
This year: 22; 0.05%

docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
United States Influenza testing, season to date (19 weeks, MMWR 40 to 5)

Five-year average: 90,791 cases; 14.33% positive
Last year: 154,400; 19.68%
This year: 1,553; 0.18%
Read 12 tweets
12 Feb
CDC published a study showing nearly zero transmission even with 40% countywide positivity rates... and is now going to Cuomo/Newsom things up with color-coded zones.

Six feet has zero science but is great for closing schools.

This is all politics and it's obscenely corrupt.
As expected. It's a school closure plan, not a school opening plan. Union bosses call the tune now.
Tomorrow the CDC is going to issue an unscientific plan dictated by the White House based on political considerations that, if followed, will almost certainly result in MORE senseless school closures.

Reminder: States and school districts don't have to pay any attention to it.
Read 8 tweets
8 Feb
MILESTONE: A plurality of U.S. K-12 students are in school fulltime, 5-days a week today!
From Burbio:

% US K-12 students attending "virtual-only" schools = 35.2% (from 38.2% last week)

% US K-12 students attending "traditional" in-person/every day schools = 39.7%

% US K-12 students attending "hybrid" schools = 25.1%

cai.burbio.com/school-opening…
Burbio tracker percent of schools open by state. (Hybrid counts as half.)
Read 6 tweets

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