Research indicates mental health conditions are a major risk factor for Covid-19.
People with conditions like schizophrenia, bipolar disorder, or depression with psychosis were seven times more likely to catch Covid-19, and had double the death rate. irishtimes.com/life-and-style…
This is reflected in vaccine priority in the UK, where severe mental illness such as schizophrenia is included as among the "underlying health conditions which put them at higher risk of serious disease and mortality".
They are next in line for vaccines after the over-65s.
However, in Ireland's vaccine allocation groups, no mental illnesses are included among the listed medical conditions deemed to put people at high risk of severe disease. gov.ie/en/publication…
This means people aged under 55 with severe mental illness such as schizophrenia, bipolar disorder or depression with psychosis will be in the last or second-last group to be vaccinated, despite being at high risk of catching Covid-19 and at increased risk of death if they do.
Vaccine priority is so so difficult with many worthy cases to be made.
We've heard a lot of lip service about mental health though, at least when politically convenient, so it seems worth pointing out we haven't included any such conditions when calculating vaccination priority.
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The level of ignorance in the republic about the North does stop me in my tracks sometimes
The main northern misunderstandings about the south are:
- assumption that Republic is poor when it's richer than the North
- exaggerated idea about difference between the NHS & HSE, ie lack of awareness of free healthcare for children, old, unemployed etc
There's an odd idea that the republic is unstable/a banana republic even though it's long been just another boring wealthy northern European country... I've experienced those assumptions over the border that I must be a slum dweller/peasant lol
What countries are doing best on fully vaccinating people?
A more complex picture than the UK-EU rivalry would suggest.
UK is bang on the EU average, outperformed by Denmark, Italy, Ireland.
Israel beats everyone; poor Canada, which bought and paid a tonne, is the laggard
You can play around with the data here.
UK is ahead on giving the maximum number of people a single shot.
It reflects different choices. EU countries broadly are going more by the book. The UK has taken more risks, they may pay off, we'll find out. ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinat…
Look we can do dumb nationalistic shouting or we can analyse policy choices. I know which one I would prefer.
Thread on something really important.
At the outset of the pandemic, @DrMikeRyan called on us to "break the chains of transmission".
We haven't. The chains now number over 100,000,000 people.
Why? A central measure is often overlooked: isolating those exposed to the virus.
The above graph by @Paul5cott compares policy measures around the world on isolation and quarantine.
A lot of focus has been on reducing the random seeding of new chains of transmission through travel.
That's important - but only one part of containing Covid-19 spread.
It sounds simple: if everyone who currently has the virus right now could be kept separate from other people for about two weeks, infections would drop to zero. Pandemic over.
But individuals cannot achieve it alone. Isolation only works within a system of support and enforcement
Taoiseach Micheál Martin has held discussions with Ursula von der Leyen amid deep unhappiness in the Irish government at the use of Article 16 -- seen as "completely unnecessary" with "explosive political implications" according to a government source irishtimes.com/news/health/eu…
UK government spokesman says Michael Gove has been in touch with EU Commission's Maros Sefcovic and that the British government is now "carefully considering next steps".
Hours since its publication, the European Commission's vaccine export control regulation has been unpublished from its website
My understanding of AstraZeneca's EU doses:
- contract signed in August
- EU expected over 100 mln doses delivered by end-March, possibly 120 mln
- in early Dec, AZ revised down to 80 mln
- on Jan 22, AZ revised to 31 mln
- distributed proportionally: eg Ireland's share is ~1.1%
Meanwhile, on Jan 13, AstraZeneca chief Tom Keith-Roach told a UK parliament hearing it was scaling up vaccine deliveries "very rapidly" and by mid-Feb would be able to deliver two million doses to the UK every week.
Up to that point, 1.1 mln doses had been delivered to UK.
AZ and UK govt have represented UK doses as made in UK, and visa versa for EU.
However, on December 8, the UK's Vaccine Taskforce manufacturing lead Ian McCubbin told reporters that
"The initial supply... actually comes from the Netherlands and Germany." reuters.com/article/uk-hea…