Dear @WHO since you had a good conversation with Wuhan scientists, did you ask how many bats & coronaviruses they sampled in each province in China & when, & how many wildlife pathogen sequences they obtained from each province?
This is a question other scientists have asked me.
Without these numbers, it's hard to grasp the extent of risk associated with this research.
And I think even @EcoHealthNYC wouldn't know these numbers for each province in China. So I'm surprised that other scientists think I would know😆 My postdoc powers are very limited!
According to @MarionKoopmans the WIV told you they only isolated 3 SARS viruses from their decade+ of very expensive research. But what's the true value of their work? How many animals did they actually sample, and where and when? How many pathogen sequences were discovered?
I don't think it's good value for money (ultimately coming from taxpayers) to just know that they sampled 5000+ bats.
You need to get better resolution on this data. Where. When. What sequences came out of it. How can you not have a database or even a spreadsheet with this info?
How can you spend millions of dollars on this and not even have a spreadsheet with this information?
Surely this information can't be classified.
We also know from the scientific literature that you sampled thousands of humans in rural areas in South China provinces, purposefully searching for human SARS pathogens.
Got a spreadsheet on that data?
If it's all hidden away in supplementary materials in journals, with most of the new data as old as 2016 still sitting in "manuscripts in preparation", I advise preprinting it all now so we can have an informed discussion about wildlife pathogen sampling and downstream research.
If the @WHO and @EcoHealthNYC don't even have the numbers of pathogen and animals sampled over the last decade, where and when, not to mention the actual sequences, then how can you possibly even be voting to determine how likely a lab origin is?
Even internet sleuths have a good guess of which 3 published virus isolates the WIV told you about. But the last one was isolated years ago. You believe no new SARS viruses have been isolated by the world's leading SARS sampling lab in the past few years?
If they weren't doing serious dangerous pathogen work on bat viruses in China, can't they share a spreadsheet of the numbers (not even the sequences)?
But if they can't share their Chinese bat/wildlife virus numbers (not to mention database) because they were doing some serious dangerous pathogen work on it, maybe we should know that now instead of a press conference a few months from now?
World governments and 🧪funding agencies, you're going to keep pouring 100s of millions of $ into projects that don't even produce a spreadsheet of the numbers of animals and pathogens they sampled in each area over time?
Is this really helping us to predict the next pandemic?
Now @WHO team is investigating cold chain origins of SARS-CoV-2 #PopsicleOrigins
That's fine.
But if you don't even have these numbers from the bat/wildlife pathogen sampling in China over the past decade, please state that clearly in your summary and full reports.
Thank you.
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“It’s very funny that everyone is worrying about preprints given that, collectively, journals are not doing a great job of keeping misinformation out,” Sever (co-founder of medRxiv and bioRxiv) said. washingtonpost.com/technology/202…
There's been a lot of criticism of preprints since COVID-19 appeared. I've done my fair share too, breaking down preprints (and mostly peer-reviewed articles).
But I think the misinformation tragedy lies in peer-reviewed journals, NOT preprints.
"In the academic world, the Center for Health Security at Johns Hopkins issued a point-by-point response one week after Yan’s paper appeared on Zenodo"
Why didn't John Hopkins do a point-by-points response to RaTG13 or the #pangolinpapers?
Mike Ryan said WHO #originsofcovid mission didn't and doesn't have powers or mandate to investigate. What they participated in, inside China, was a "collaborative process of discovery."
Oh good, someone asked about the 13 early covid-19 virus genomes from Wuhan!
A few identical sequences were from the same individuals. Some sequences with no links to the market were slightly different.
Interview of @Peterfoodsafety@WHO#originsofcovid investigation. On lab origins, “this would not be something that this team, or I believe even WHO alone, would be able to move forward on. That would have to be, I believe, a United Nations-wide approach...”
Well, we just heard it (or read it), and I agree with this assessment- if the international community wants an investigation of lab origins, this team and even WHO cannot be the ones investigating. We need a separate, credible, independent investigation into #laborigins of covid.
What are we waiting for?
Lab leak is a plausible hypothesis that should be investigated regardless of how likely or unlikely.
Experts keep telling me how useful it is to have Daszak on the team because he likely knows more about the WIV than the average person, but he's already gotten 2 major things wrong: when RaTG13's genome was sequenced + whether the WIV had bats in the lab. dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9…
Unfortunately, this approach seems to have influenced the WHO investigation. The team, during a 3-hour press conference in China, dismissed lab leak as "extremely unlikely" based on what Wuhan scientists told them, believing that only 3 SARS viruses have been isolated in the WIV.
I was at first worried that most scientists would just fall in line with the WHO "findings" but I'm glad that experts are speaking up about the lack of rigor in this investigation. Same article in the Mail on Sunday has quotes from several top experts. dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9…
More on the @WHO#originsofcovid investigation...
“disagreements over patient records and other issues were so tense that they sometimes erupted into shouts among the typically mild-mannered scientists on both sides” nytimes.com/2021/02/12/wor…
“rules to thwart outbreaks in China meant that the team could not gather with their counterparts for meals and informal talks”
Essentially, there was no chance for private communication.
“Fabian Leendertz, a German.. member of the team.. said the team agreed to include the frozen food theory among its hypotheses “to respect, a bit, the findings” of the Chinese scientists.”
Yes, and now Chinese media are reporting that covid likely originated via imported 🧊🐠
We need actual teams that can investigate zoonotic spillover and #laborigins - preferably with international representation and absence of COIs/pre-existing relationships that could discredit investigation.
One major weakness of the WHO investigation was that there was no other ongoing investigation that could hold it accountable or that WHO could use as leverage to force more transparency from China. No, the Lancet investigation headed by Peter Daszak obvs doesn't count.