Florida Deaths - 2/16/21

Florida reported a net of 220 COVID deaths today. Changes were reported on 35 different days, going back to July 27.

Changes by month: July (-1), October (-1), November (-1), January (+60-1), February (+164)

#RationalGround

1/6 Image
Reported deaths (as best we could find them - read bottom of the chart for more details):

Median age: 78
Minimum age: 37
Maximum age: 102
85% are 65 or older

2/6 Image
Additions and deletions by date:

2/16 - 1
2/15 - 1
2/14 - 14
2/13 - 10
2/12 - 8
2/11 - 14
2/10 - 10
2/9 - 11
2/8 - 12
2/7 - 17
2/6 - 13
2/5 - 11
2/4 - 15
2/3 - 12
2/2 - 5
2/1 - 10
1/31 - 10
1/30 - 2
1/29 - 3
1/28 - 5
1/27 - 7
1/26 - 6
1/25 - 2
1/24 - 6
1/23 - 2
(cont.)

3/6 Image
1/22 - 3
1/20 - 2
1/19 - 2
1/18 - 1
1/17 - 4
1/16 - 5
1/3 - removed 1
11/13 - removed 1
10/11 - removed 1
7/27 - removed 1

The numbers above are not totals by day; they're increments added today. See the chart in the first tweet for totals.

Deaths by week:

4/6 Image
First-wave peak was 8/4 (240); the 7-day moving average peak was 8/5 (227).

Second-wave peak so far is 1/15 (204); 7-day avg peak is 1/18 (187). These are expected to keep changing.

Here is the full chart for context:

5/6 Image
Sources: Florida deaths by day: fdoh.maps.arcgis.com/home/item.html…

My spreadsheet to track changes: docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
6/6

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More from @jhaskinscabrera

17 Feb
Florida Deaths - 2/17/21

Florida reported a net of 157 COVID deaths today. Changes were reported on 32 different days, going back to July 24.

Changes by month: July (+1-1), January (+51), February (+106)

#RationalGround

1/6 Image
Reported deaths (as best we could find them - read bottom of the chart for more details):

Median age: 78
Minimum age: 43
Maximum age: 103
85% are 65 or older

2/6 Image
Additions and deletions by date:

2/16 - 5
2/15 - 13
2/14 - 2
2/13 - 3
2/12 - 8
2/11 - 1
2/10 - 8
2/9 - 10
2/8 - 10
2/7 - 6
2/6 - 12
2/5 - 12
2/4 - 5
2/3 - 3
2/2 - 6
2/1 - 2
1/31 - 2
1/30 - 4
1/29 - 5
1/28 - 4
1/27 - 1
1/26 - 1
1/25 - 2
1/24 - 3
1/22 - 1
1/21 - 3
(cont.)

3/6 Image
Read 6 tweets
15 Feb
Florida Deaths - 2/15/21

Florida reported a net of 155 COVID deaths today. Changes were reported on 32 different days, going back to October 11.

Changes by month: October (-1), January (+66), February (+90)

#RationalGround

1/6
Reported deaths (as best we could find them - read bottom of the chart for more details):

Median age: 80
Minimum age: 25
Maximum age: 101
85% are 65 or older

2/6
Additions and deletions by date:

2/14 - 1
2/13 - 3
2/12 - 2
2/11 - 2
2/10 - 7
2/9 - 8
2/8 - 7
2/7 - 9
2/6 - 11
2/5 - 16
2/4 - 9
2/3 - 5
2/2 - 4
2/1 - 6
1/31 - 1
1/30 - 3
1/29 - 3
1/28 - 2
1/27 - 4
1/26 - 5
1/25 - 1
1/24 - 3
1/23 - 3
1/22 - 3
1/21 - 2
1/20 - 3
(cont.)

3/6
Read 6 tweets
14 Feb
Florida Deaths - 2/14/21

Florida reported a net of 96 COVID deaths today. Changes were reported on 35 different days, going back to July 27.

Changes by month: July (-1), August (+1), October (+1), November (+1), December (+5), January (+57), February (+32)

#RationalGround

1/6 Image
Reported deaths (as best we could find them - read bottom of the chart for more details):

Median age: 79
Minimum age: 47
Maximum age: 97
87% are 65 or older <- higher than usual

2/6 Image
Additions and deletions by date:

2/13 - 2
2/9 - 3
2/8 - 2
2/7 - 2
2/6 - 5
2/5 - 3
2/4 - 3
2/3 - 4
2/2 - 6
2/1 - 2
1/31 - 1
1/30 - 1
1/29 - 1
1/28 - 4
1/27 - 1
1/26 - 1
1/24 - 1
1/21 - 2
1/20 - 1
1/19 - 1
1/18 - 9
1/17 - 4
1/16 - 7
1/15 - 8
1/14 - 12
1/5 - 2
(cont.)

3/6 Image
Read 6 tweets
13 Feb
If the "experts" were looking at the data instead of models, they would know that COVID comes in waves. Something amplifies transmission, then all metrics increase for 5-6 weeks, peak, and start falling. Once they start falling, a region has a lull for a few months.

1/5
So even if you believe the various mitigations are necessary (I don't), the only time it makes sense to put them in place is when ED visits for COVID-like symptoms start increasing, and then we should only put them in place for a few weeks, until the peak.

2/5
Instead, we've kept them in place for close to a year, fearing that the virus might explode if we "let down our guard." Politicians tend to increase them right at the peak out of panic, but they are reluctant to reduce them.

3/5
Read 5 tweets
13 Feb
Florida Deaths - 2/13/21

Florida reported a net of 118 COVID deaths today. Changes were reported on 30 different days, going back to July 9.

Changes by month: July (+1), September (-1), November (-1), January (+32-1), February (+88)

#RationalGround

1/6
Reported deaths (as best we could find them - read bottom of the chart for more details):

Median age: 79
Minimum age: 35
Maximum age: 100
88% are 65 or older <- higher than usual

2/6
Additions and deletions by date:

2/12 - 6
2/11 - 15
2/10 - 3
2/9 - 8
2/8 - 3
2/7 - 15
2/6 - 10
2/5 - 9
2/4 - 5
2/3 - 3
2/2 - 6
2/1 - 5
1/31 - 6
1/30 - 7
1/29 - 1
1/28 - 2
1/27 - 1
1/26 - 2
1/25 - 3
1/23 - 3
1/21 - 2
1/20 - 1
1/18 - 1
1/17 - 1
1/15 - 1
1/14 - 1
(cont.)

3/6
Read 6 tweets
12 Feb
Florida Deaths - 2/12/21

Florida reported 183 COVID deaths today. Changes were reported on 38 different days, going back to August 30.

Changes by month: August (+1), October (+1), December (+4), January (+89), February (+88)

#RationalGround

1/6
Reported deaths (as best we could find them - read bottom of the chart for more details):

Median age: 81
Minimum age: 25
Maximum age: 101
84% are 65 or older

2/6
Additions by date:

2/11 - 4
2/10 - 6
2/9 - 1
2/8 - 4
2/7 - 14
2/6 - 9
2/5 - 14
2/4 - 20
2/3 - 6
2/2 - 7
2/1 - 3
1/31 - 5
1/30 - 5
1/29 - 2
1/28 - 7
1/26 - 7
1/25 - 3
1/24 - 5
1/23 - 1
1/22 - 5
1/21 - 2
1/20 - 2
1/19 - 5
1/18 - 4
1/17 - 2
1/16 - 3
1/15 - 4
1/14 - 6
(cont.)

3/6
Read 6 tweets

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