As we’ve shared, The COVID Tracking Project will be winding down data compilation on Mar 7. Before then, we’re taking a close look at federal data sources. Today we’re sharing the first installment in a series of analyses on federal testing data: covidtracking.com/analysis-updat…
Federal testing data has made great strides since our first look at it in May. It’s become more standardized and more detailed—you can now download historical state data and 7-day county-level data from the HHS. healthdata.gov/search/og_grou…
But for all those improvements, it still doesn’t line up to state data. Even accounting for definitional differences, 25 states show notable differences between state and federal testing totals:
Based on conversations with state health officials, we believe these discrepancies are generally arising from problems in the federal data, not the state data. Federal data is not always as comprehensive as what states post, even though it’s more standardized and more detailed.
The best hope of a standardized national testing dataset still comes from the federal government. But to get there, the government must carry the testing data the last mile. It must invest in creating a genuinely trustworthy and comprehensive dataset.
We’re hopeful that the new administration, with its demonstrated understanding of the importance of both testing and data, will make this investment. When it does, the patchwork dataset our project was founded to create will be what we’ve always wanted it to be: obsolete.
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Our daily update is published. States reported 1.4M tests, 67k cases, 62,300 currently hospitalized, and 2,616 deaths.
7-day average deaths fell below 2,000 for the first time since Dec 4. This deaths average was above 3,000 as recently as Feb 6.
Data users may notice differences in 7-day average deaths between our social posts and website. We have removed major death backlogs reported by OH and IN in these daily social posts to clarify the trend. Those backlogs remain in our cumulative numbers.
Our weekly update is published. All major indicators of COVID-19 transmission in the US continue to fall rapidly. Deaths are down 20% from last week. covidtracking.com/analysis-updat…
Although states are still reporting large numbers of cases, many parts of the country show absolute levels much closer to what we saw before the most recent surge accelerated nationally in October.
Every region and sub-region of the US now shows substantial declines in the number of hospitalized COVID-19 patients.
Our daily update is published. States reported 1.3 million tests, 66k cases, 63,398 people currently hospitalized with COVID-19, and 2,336 deaths.
Weather-related outages in Texas have resulted in significant case and fatality reporting delays. It's likely that winter storms across the country have partially resulted in artificially low numbers.
5 weeks ago, 33 states reported 500 or more COVID-19 cases per million people. Today, no states have reached that threshold.
As we've mentioned, we’re winding down our data compilation on Mar 7. We believe that many federal datasets are now very good and ready to use. We want to help everyone understand how to find and use the federal numbers, so today, we’re kicking off our federal data 101 series.
One of the greatest advantages of the @HHSGov’s hospitalization data is that it’s much more standardized than our compiled data could ever be. Lots of raw data from the dataset is publicly available for download. (Be warned: it is a VERY large file.)