We are live. On the agenda today: the route out of lockdown. With @aliceroberts and latest data from @chrischirp. Plus special guests @doctor_oxford and @JonAshworth pscp.tv/w/cv5j1jFNV0V3…
.@chrischirp is just talking us through the latest figures. Cases are continuing to come down (although the rate of decline is slowing) and we're now back at the levels we were at at the end of the last lockdown in Nov.
For the first time since September, cases in primary school children are higher than in secondary school children. This may reflect that currently around 25% of primary school students in school compared to 5% of secondary
'We need a strategy to drive infections down and keep them low so that we can avoid the blunt instrument of lockdown.' @ReicherStephen introduces Independent SAGE's Sustainable Suppression Strategy
Lockdown is a sign of failure to have a systematic strategy in place to keep driving infections down @ReicherStephen
Vaccines are part of the solution but they are not the whole solution
Five pillars on which Independent SAGE strategy is based
'Data not dates' should drive decisions about when to reopen, with schools opening first when incidence is below 100 confirmed cases per 100k per week in all regions
'It's impossible to exaggerate quite how gruelling conditions have been inside hospitals. This has caused sheer physical exhaustion and an emotional toll on staff' @doctor_oxford describes working on frontline in NHS during the pandemic
'When you are at the frontline seeing patients coming in day after day with the same symptoms and dying in unimaginable numbers it's incredibly traumatic' @doctor_oxford on the reality of working in the NHS right now
A recent report showed that 1 in 7 ICU staff has contemplated self-harm or suicide @doctor_oxford
If we want to care for society's most vulnerable members, that's the reason to keep transmission rates as low as possible. We have a moral imperative. @doctor_oxford
'We are seeing a big Covid divide opening up. Rates are falling more slowly in deprived areas. How do we ensure that poorer communities, with overcrowded housing, where people must go out to work, like Leicester, are not left behind?' @JonAshworth
'We don't do enough to protect people by reducing their vulnerability. We have to be meaningful and purposeful about addressing inequalities in housing, public space, access to healthy food as part of building resilience to Covid and to other conditions' @DrTolullah

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More from @IndependentSage

19 Feb
Watch this incredibly powerful account from palliative care doctor and writer Rachel Clarke @doctor_oxford of what life has been like working on the NHS frontline and the challenges that lie ahead for exhausted and traumatised staff.
"When you are at the front line of seeing patient after patient after patient, coming into the hospital with the same symptoms, dying in the same way, in numbers unimaginable to any of us, that hits you hard." @doctor_oxford
"The alternative to vigorous suppression of this virus is a continued experience for all patients of healthcare being provided in a way that's fundamentally transformed by the infection control measures you have to have in place to stop transmission of covid." @doctor_oxford
Read 4 tweets
18 Dec 20
Is it safe to see relatives at Christmas? What do the members of #IndependentSAGE think? And what are they personally choosing to do?
1/ First up, @Kit_Yates_Maths: "I have an 80 year old dad and a 70 year old step-mum, so we're taking the decision not to see them, even though it's legally allowed. For me, the risk is too great."
2/ @GabrielScally: "We'll see one of my daughters in the garden or outside somewhere... we've come through so much this year, it would be so wrong to risk anything at this point in time."
Read 8 tweets
18 Dec 20
In case you missed our livestreamed briefing earlier, here's @Kit_Yates_Maths brilliant presentation of the latest figures. Warning: if you're in the mood for festive cheer, look away now. Thread 1/15
This is not a good situation, cases are high and they are rising rapidly
Recorded cases are increasing in every nation
Read 15 tweets
18 Dec 20
We can't promise festive cheer but we can give you the facts to make an informed choice on how best to keep your loved ones safe this Xmas. With @theAliceRoberts & @Kit_Yates_Maths crunching numbers. pscp.tv/w/cqtVCDFNV0V3…
We are live and @Kit_Yates_Maths is presenting the week's figures: 'This is the worst set of data I've presented so far, things are deteriorating quite rapidly and tiers are not keeping things under control'. Join us
'Even the toughest set of measures (Tier 3) is not enough to slow the virus down, which is extremely worrying' @Kit_Yates_Maths
Read 9 tweets
20 Nov 20
1/ Presentation of the week’s figures from @chrischirp. Some positive signs but a lot of regional variation. Coming out of restrictions will be hard
2/ Hospital admissions: sustained decreases in NI & Scotland, Wales plateauing. In England we saw a slowdown end of Oct/start of Nov, then a rapid increase and it’s now (just) starting to reduce again.
3/ High admissions have meant numbers of people in hospital are continuing to go up and we aren’t that far from April peak. Hopefully if admissions keep dropping, these numbers will start to come down soon which will be important for NHS
Read 13 tweets
13 Nov 20
LIVE NOW. How optimistic should we be about new vaccine? With @mslucycooke, special guest @JonAshworth, latest figures from @chrischirp & @ProfBambra presenting our new report on inequalities. pscp.tv/w/cn0wbjFNV0V3…
Welcome! We are live and @chrischirp is presenting the week’s figures
It's unlikely deaths will come down over the next week or two
Read 38 tweets

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