According to a source, the departure of Oliver Lewis - or “Sonic” - from Downing St was because “Carrie wants [Henry] Newman running the Union” - ie the unit charged with keeping Scotland in the UK, which was Lewis’s job. This shows not that Carrie Symonds is necessarily...
calling the shots. In practice these are the PM’s decisions. But this framing of what happened shows that the tensions within Downing Street that led to the departures of Cummings and Cain have not gone away. I am hearing other Downing St aides are also feeling uneasy with...
the new order. And it is widely believed that the unexpected decision to put David Frost in the cabinet was a pre-emptive move to keep him.
A Downing St source responded: “Newman not brought in to run Union unit. He’s a senior special adviser working for the PM”. Which does not mean Lewis felt he had the autonomy he wanted
And same Downing St source: “not true about Carrie and Newman running Union unit”. Which is denying something I was pretty careful not to say.
PS in case you missed it, another Downing St aide promoted by Cummings, Katie Lam (ex Goldman) also left in past few days.
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As a lead indicator, this feels significant ahead of lockdown easing. It is not that there has been a great surge of Covid19 infections. But if the rate of decline has slowed or stopped, as Zoe indicates, that shows quite how hard it is to get prevalence down to trivial...
levels. Most official data shows infections, hospitalisations and deaths are all falling. But there are signs, I am told, that progress is slower in areas of deprivation, the areas where infections were also relatively higher last summer (such as Leicester, Bolton and
Blackburn). If these poorer areas are the ones that stay more locked down in coming months, while the rest of country returns to relative normal, that would be the opposite of “levelling up”. And the sense of unfairness would be increased since these are often areas with...
.@ProfCalumSemple said something highly significant on @BBCr4today this morning: “The mutation of most concern, which we call E484k, has also occurred spontaneously in the new Kent strain in parts of the country too”. He is saying that the Kent strain, which has run rife
here, has already mutated further, to resemble the Brazilian strain that has caused considerable anxiety, because it is thought to be more resistant to the vaccine than the Kent and original strains. What Semple did not say, because he was not asked, is how many cases of...
this new quasi Brazilian British mutation have been found and where they have been found. But I assume these will be the big questions for today.
The EU is arguably playing a self-harming game in potentially restricting vaccine exports to the UK as a tit for tat for the inability of AstraZeneca to supply the 80m doses it ordered by the end of March. First of all this looks like unedifying EU sour grapes that the UK, out
of the EU, moved earlier to place vaccine contracts and will soon be self-sufficient in vaccines. Second it risks damaging the reputation of the EU as a place where multinationals can securely invest, because it is blowing up the supply chains of two big American companies...
with EU operations, Pfizer and Moderna. The UK, desperate for inward investment, will look relatively more attractive as a haven for foreign capital. Third, it risks converting the UK's many Brexit sceptics into reluctant Brexit converts, because it is conspicuous that...
When any case of the South African Covid19 strain turns up in the UK - and “dozens” have turned up according to government officials and scientists - a massive and aggressive old-fashioned system of contact tracing kicks into action (knocking on doors, taking statements...
about who has been in contact with the infected person, rapid testing of contacts). So far “at least one case” of the SA strain has been identified with no “obvious” link back to someone who imported it. In other words it is indicative of - as yet - limited...
community transmission. Obviously the good news is that the spread of the SA strain will be constrained by the lockdown. The more depressing news is that the arrival of the strain shows the risks of easing lockdown prematurely. The danger “will be greatest as we...
You can download the AstraZeneca vaccines contract with the EU here. The most interesting bit is the definition of "best reasonable efforts" to deliver the doses. ec.europa.eu/commission/pre…
"Best reasonable efforts" is defined as: "in the case of AstraZeneca, the activities and degree of effort that a company of similar size with a similarly-sized infrastructure and similar resources as AstraZeneca would undertake or use...
"in the development and manufacture of a
vaccine at the relevant stage of development or commercialization having regard to the urgent need for a vaccine to end a global pandemic which is resulting in
serious public health issues, restrictions on personal freedoms and...
The important difference between AstraZeneca's relationship with the UK and with the EU, and the reason it has fallen behind schedule on 50m vaccine doses promised to the EU, is that the UK agreed the deal with AZ a full three months before the EU did - which gave...
AZ an extra three months to sort out manufacturing and supply problems relating to the UK contract (there were plenty of problems). Here is the important timeline. In May AZ reached agreement with Oxford and the UK government to make and supply the vaccine. In fact Oxford...
had already started work on the supply chain. The following month AZ reached a preliminary agreement with Germany, the Netherlands, France and Italy, a group known as the Inclusive Vaccine Alliance, based on the agreement with the UK. The announcement was 13 June. BUT the EU...