New insights from our February Omnibus (fielded from Feb 12-18, n=1005 RVs nationally, and n=430 GOP+Lean):
Republican sentiments towards Trump running in 2024 have warmed since January: 55% of GOP🐘+Lean voters now want to see it happen, compared to just 45% in January.
The 10-point lead between GOP voters supporting the Republican Party over Trump and those supporting Trump over the Party has narrowed📉 since January, with just 44% now supporting the Party over Trump and 42% supporting Trump over the GOP.
Net support for Trump in a hypothetical 2024 primary went from +7 in January to +22 in February, with 41% of GOP+Lean voters saying they would definitely vote🗳️ for Trump.
Senator Ted Cruz and Governor Ron DeSantis gained⏫ ground in the non-Trump 2024 primary field, with Cruz garnering 10% of support and DeSantis getting 8%. Pence leads the field at 21%.
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QAnon was viewed favorably by only 5% of total voters. Republicans were more likely to have not heard📢 of QAnon than Democrats: 27% of GOP voters said they had never heard of QAnon, compared to just 17% of Democrats.
39% of voters rate COVID-19😷 as the biggest issue facing the country today. 53% of Democrats rate COVID-19 as the biggest issue, while just 24% of Republicans say the same.
Almost all of the 20% of voters who believe Trump won the election were unmoved after reading the facts. Only 5% reversed course and responded that Biden was in fact legally elected🗳️.
Republicans have shifted from supporting Trump over the GOP: 48% support👍 the GOP over Trump, while 38% said the opposite. In October 2020, only 30% supported the party over Trump.
Concern for COVID-19🦠 is directly aligned with partisanship: 67% of Democrats are extremely or very concerned about COVID-19, while only 31% of Republicans say the same.
More than 3/4 of voters said they would get vaccinated💉 for COVID-19, with 27% saying they would do so right away upon one being made available to the public.
Trump’s disapproval👎 rating is now at 60%, up 6 points from May. The gap between this and his approval👍 rating is the largest it’s been all year at 23 points.
3/5:
Biden leads Trump by 15 points in a direct match-up✅, with 43% saying they would definitely vote for Biden.
How the American electorate feels about foreign policy🌎insights from our Jan. Verified Voter Omnibus (THREAD):
1. Dems highly favor int'l cooperation, but their views split on use of military force. Republicans who back military force are also in favor of int'l cooperation.
2. Voters agree on having a high-tech military that uses drones to target terrorists, but disagree when it comes to increasing the size of the military and backing regime change in foreign countries.
3. Voters want America to continue backing its allies and tackling global issues such as the environment, but are less certain about providing foreign aid and support to democratic movements around the globe.