I have now been sick with #longcovid for almost a year—below, some reflections on my convalescence. (1/10)
While remaining mostly functional, in many ways, I'm more sick in 2021 than I was in 2020. Two weeks ago, when I last felt well enough to walk outside, I managed only 0.7km before the post-exertional malaise came on: brain fog, fatigue, pain in my neck and arm. (2/10)
I was formerly a (somewhat) competitive distance runner. It's not that I'm ignorant of how to push my body, nor the consequences. During my first marathon, I pushed through hypoglycaemia, black and white vision, before having a seizure just over the finish line. (3/10)
Post-exertional malaise is different, sustained, worse. And it comes just as surely from over-doing it at work, or in researching long covid, as from exercise. I used to have so much energy. Where is that man I was just last year? I miss him. (4/10)
The closest I've come to death was in a single-vehicle accident in the remote Pilbara. In the air, in the desert, upside-down, I remember a moment of stillness, of acceptance, of simple knowing that my agency, at that moment, was subordinate to basic physics and biology. (5/10)
I would really like to find that moment again. Solution-oriented by nature, I've spent much of the last year trying to solve my own illness. I've found that I only seem to have the power to make my illness worse. (6/10)
The doctors said, when I'd been sick for a month, that I would be better within weeks, then it would be six months, now they assert that my full recovery will definitely happen, eventually. I haven't found these optimistic forecasts helpful. (7/10)
What I'm striving for is that same sense of lightness I felt in my Pilbara accident. To accept who I am right now, and to accept how my illness develops. (8/10)
The allure of unfettered agency is strong, but there is also power in constraint, the power of a vow, of poetry, of having children. (9/10)
Forgive me for sharing, I know that there are worse struggles in the world right now. I know my family and I are extremely lucky in so many ways. Thanks for reading. (10/10)

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More from @maosbot

8 Nov 20
Long COVID is nasty, but it is also really *weird*. (1/6)
1. My eyesight had always been fine, but became progressively worse after falling ill. Everything looked blurry. It got to the point where I maxed out the text size on all my devices. Then: over the course of two weeks, it: just got better! (2/6)
2. When I'm particularly fatigued, if I attend to a particular place in my head, I feel like I'm floating. Anywhere else—my chin, my fingers, my calves—and I sink. What the heck is happening? (3/6)
Read 6 tweets
4 Sep 18
If you doubt expert forecasts of the future of work, you might like Appendix A of our 2017 report (robots.ox.ac.uk/~mosb/public/p…): we present results using only raw extrapolation of employment trends.

This extrapolation is much more optimistic than our forecasts using experts.
The horizontal (x) axis of the plot is the probability of an occupation having a higher share of employment in 2030 than in 2017. The vertical (y) axis is employment, or the number of jobs.
My personal view is that any attempt to adopt a purely data-driven approach to forecasting something as complicated as the future of work is just as likely to fail as using only expert judgement. Our report adopted a combination of the two.
Read 5 tweets

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