1/ Tragedy in Texas. When I was Chair of @ut_caee at UT Austin we implemented a new strategic vision that revolved around water, energy, growth of the built environment, and innovations in infrastructure that tie these elements together as a COMPLEX system.
2/ I was so proud of our early-career faculty who led an effort, for example, to develop a new graduate area in Sustainable Urban Systems (SuS) that rapidly grew into one of the most in-demand graduate areas in our department. Great effort. Great success.
3/ The ongoing tragedy in Texas reflects the importance of systems-oriented thinking to make cities, states, regions, and countries more resilient, and to understand the connection between built & natural environments as climate continues to change.
4/ Whether it is what just unfolded in Texas, Hurricane Harvey, massive western wildfires, etc, this is going to happen over, and over, and over again. We must battle the root causes of climate change while preparing for more massive challenges in the coming decades.
5/ A systems approach to addressing these challenges requires significant interdisciplinary collaboration (& education) to address water security, energy security, food security, health security, economic security, national security, etc., & their deep & complex connections.
6/ This horrific pandemic is another example of where lack of effective interdisciplinary collaboration has failed cities, states, and nations and magnified health, food, and economic insecurity, as well as deep inequities across many communities.
7/ We need innovation and bright minds from different disciplines (from science and engineering to economics, medicine, public health, social sciences, etc.) to come together to reimagine the built environment & its connections to the natural environment.
8/ Failure to do so will lead to a "fix it and wait for it to happen again" approach that has largely failed, repeatedly. We can do so much better. I am hopeful that generations to come will take on the challenge of doing so. But we need to start now. Let's Just Do It.
Correction - "Sustainable Systems Engineering."
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1/ One of my slides. Cost of good portable HEPA filter system in a 600 to 800 square ft classroom with 25 students (equivalent ACH increase of 2.7 to 3.5/h). Cost is broken down by classroom and student.
2/ Cost = year 1 capital cost + annual recurring costs for filters + electricity at $0.11 per kW-hr.
Total 3-year cost per classroom < $790 (< $11/student for 75 students over 3 years).
3/ If school has 50 classrooms (larger than my K-8 school) the total cost over 3 years < $40K for entire school. Less for less classrooms.
If noise is an issue can go with 2 HEPA air filters per classroom at lower setting for around $20/student.
Portable HEPA Filter Systems. 1/ The cost of retrofitting EVERY public school classroom in the entire US w/ a portable HEPA air filter w/ CADR = 300 cfm is approximately $1 billion w/ recurring cost of about $300M/yr for replacement filters. To be clear, EVERY single classroom.
2/ For a classroom that holds 20-25 students, say 600 to 700 ft2 w/ ceiling height of 9 ft, this portable HEPA unit will yield approx equivalent increase in ventilation (equivalent ACH increase) of 3/hr. For a classroom under-ventilated to 2 ACH the bump up is to 5 ACH!
3/ That leads to a 60% reduction in inhalation dose of aerosol particles. Capacity exists. It can be done now.
1/ Ventilation of Schools. My experience working with public school districts for more than two decades is that classrooms are, in general, woefully underventilated (and that's before COVID-19 times!). Others have found the same.
2/ Some results from a 4-yr study involving 7 high schools of different ages & construction, & 46 classrooms (focus on occupied day - plot at right). Approx 80% of classrooms = permanent. Red bar shows approx ASHRAE 62.1-2019 ventilation rate (small variations around bar).
2/ For permanent classrooms, median ventilation rates are less than 50% of ASHRAE 62.1-2019, w/ mean values approx 40% lower. Schools all had mechanical systems and capability of much greater ventilation. When asked why, our team was told (firmly) - energy savings ($$).
1/ Incredibly disappointed in this @CDC document aimed at "layered mitigation". But I probably shouldn't be surprised by now. cdc.gov/coronavirus/20…
2/ It addresses near-field (close contact) inhalation dose w/ masks and distancing. That's good. Far, far, far more on fomites and surface cleaning than far-field inhalation dose (shared indoor air). Ventilation is given lip service w/ little guidance. Incredibly disappointing.
3/ The lack of understanding of ventilation or its importance (or perhaps just disregard) is wholly obvious. Incredibly disappointing.
1/ Clean Air Delivery Rate (CADR). The CADR of a portable filtration system is:
CADR = f x Q.
f is the fractional removal efficiency of particles that pass through a device (value = 0 to 1). Q is the volumetric flow rate of air through the device (e.g., m3/hr, ft3/min). ...
2/ A portable air cleaner may be highly efficient (high value of f) but also highly ineffective at removing particles from air if Q is very small. This is the case for a wide range of ion generators. Don't be fooled by claims of high efficiency. It's f x Q that matters.
3/ On the other hand, a portable filtration system might have a lower efficiency (say, 0.5) but a very high air flow rate that leads to significant reduction of particle concentrations in air. It is f x Q that matters.
B117 is spreading in US but we have not seen the explosion yet. Brace yourselves. These outcomes in Italy & Israel should give pause, a motivation for tripling down on reducing inhalation dose in all activities, and a quintupling down on layered dose reduction in schools. more..
Dose and risk reduction in schools must include re-opening plans based on extent of community spread, rapid exit plans, rapid testing if possible, rigorous and universal mask requirements, distancing and lower occupant density, pod groups, increased ventilation ....
supplemented with single zone filtration, e.g., portable HEPA air cleaner, to achieve at least 6 effective air changes per hour, as much outdoor activity (including teaching) as possible (I used to teach lectures on occasion outdoors in Texas - it can be done when elements allow)