If you're in public health and have an anxiety disorder, you should be required to disclose such on your Twitter profile if you're active here.

It would be a helpful lens through which we can interpret your recommendations, which have outsized impact in our current environment.
I don't mean to sound harsh. I've got friends with anxiety disorders and know it is extremely difficult.

But, airline pilots have to undergo psychological screenings before they get their commercial license. They're responsible for hundreds of lives each flight.
Some epidemiologists, a good percentage of whom are afraid to get the mail (literally, according to this NY Times survey) have viewpoints that are often abnormally conservative, and aren't scientifically founded.

They're responsible for making recommendations for billions.
One thing that has become clear is that public health professionals on Twitter have outsized influence relative to their non-Twittering peers.

I recognize just about every name in almost every article I read, because journalists find their sources here.
The point is that many who are well-educated struggle with risk/benefit analyses just like the rest of us, and it would be good to know whether recommendations are being made by people who have clarity around risks.

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More from @TheNickFoy

20 Feb
To better understand why school's are closed, read @jasonzweigwsj's book Your Money and Your Brain.

Our brains aren't great at understanding relative risk, and when the media convinces everyone that they're going to die, we're willing to do dumb stuff to prevent it. Image
As @ZacBissonnette has pointed out, people way, way overestimate their risk if death due to COVID.

That doesn't mean it isn't a deadly or dangerous disease. It is! But most of us will probably die from heart failure or cancer. 🤷‍♂️
School closures are an egregious symptom of our inability to understand relative risks as we traded a tiny amount of risk for gobs and gobs of risk all because people thought that we were preventing certain death by doing so.
Read 7 tweets
5 Dec 20
So @anniema15 interviewed @JenniferforCMS and @Sawyer4Schools who are advocating for @CMSSupt to push @CMSboard and @CharMeckSchools away from "hybrid learning" for elementary to full-remote for all.

It's really important that you read this.

I have a few highlights, and a few thoughts.

First, it's clear that we all agree that utilizing arbitrary community metrics is unnecessary, as @Sawyer4Schools herself alludes to here.
BTW: The answer to Sawyer's rhetorical is when the metrics were created, people didn't understand that open schools weren't the problem, and closed schools aren't the solution.

Now we know that preemptive school closures have little benefit and cause significant harm.
Read 22 tweets
15 Nov 20
Staying home saves lives and everyone should just stay home.

Except for the DoorDash lady who delivers my dinner that was cooked by people who work at the restaurant.

And the grocery delivery driver who brings me the groceries that were stocked by the grocery worker.
And the Amazon worker who packed the stuff I bought. And the UPS driver who delivered it.

And the brewer who made the beer I'm drinking. And the trucker who brought the beer to the store.

And the football players who are playing in the game I'm watching.
And the linemen who fixed my power lines so my power came back on.

And the plumber who fixed the sink that was backed up.

And the cast & crew on this new Netflix show I'm watching.

And the people who work at the water treatment plant making sure my water is clean.
Read 5 tweets
13 Nov 20
So (as usual) today's @CltLedger is brilliant, offering an exposition as to what's going on with @CharMeckSchools and @CMSSupt's inability to open middle schools due to what (they claim) is a lack of available bus drivers.

Let's discuss, shall we? (1/12) Image
There are only two explanations for why the country's 15th largest district, in a city of 1.1 million people, doesn't have enough bus drivers available: Incompetence, or something more sinister. (2/12)
My school board member assures me that nothing nefarious is at play, so we shall assume the former. (3/12)
Read 13 tweets

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