NEW: Many more details have now been confirmed about Boris Johnson’s reopening plan. This is what we know... (thread) 1/
There will be four stages in the road map, announced tomorrow. They roughly align with the coming months: March, April, May, June. 2/
There will be specific dates but they will be ‘earliest dates’. So ones that can be pushed back if the data turns bad. 3/
To move between each stage the country will need to meet four ‘tests’, linked to data. They are...

1) Vaccine rollout is going as planned
2) Vaccine is driving down deaths / hospitalisations
3) Cases won’t overload NHS
4) New variants aren’t changing risk assessment 4/
Stage one of the reopening will (confusingly) have two parts.


- All schools in England (primary + secondary) open. Some schools may stagger class return due to testing demands.
- All school sport returns. Both outdoor and indoor (so PE class allowed). Schools will make their own calls

- Care home residents can be visited by 1 person. After test and wearing PPE they can visit inside + hold hands!

- One-on-one outdoor chat allowed, not just exercise

- Outdoor organised sport is back! For children and adults. Team and social distanced stuff. So five-a-side football, weekend golf, tennis, hockey returns
- Group outdoor meetings are back! Rule of six returns, so 6 people from up to 6 different households can meet outside. Plus...
- ...two different households can meet outside! So two families can get together even if they make up more than 6 people

- ‘Stay at home’ order goes, @Telegraph understands. People no longer told they must stay at home by law. (BUT message is still work from home if possible).
- Also... the ‘stay in local area’ guidance will go on March 29, @Telegraph understands. It means you can drive a few hours, see someone outside, and drive back in a day without breaking rules.

NB: All these rule changes in place for Easter Sunday, Apr 4.
Specifics of the next stages (two, three and four) are being more closely guarded by No 10.

A combination of hints from Gov sources and logic from previous road maps / PM statements would suggest something like this...
STAGE TWO: Possibly April

- Shops likely to reopen. Unclear how exactly, whether it will be click and collect or limits on people coming in

- Possibly pubs / restaurants could start serving outside. (By April 15 all aged over 50 will have been offered a jab, per Gov target)
- Chance universities could be allowed to return in stage two as well. An issue lots of people asking about, we’ll know tomorrow but looks like April at earliest.
STAGE THREE: Possibly May?
- Pubs / restaurants potentially opening inside?
- Hairdressers open?

STAGE FOUR: Possibly June?
- Hotels and B&Bs allowed to open with restrictions?
- Could ‘staycations’ be allowed?
- Will households finally be able to meet indoors?
Some rules also look unlikely to change any time soon
- Keep two meters apart if poss
- Wear a mask when needed
- Work from home if poss
A fuller version of this breakdown is over here. As stressed above, we now have clarity on stage one and the ‘four tests’. Many more details on stage 2, 3, 4 tomorrow.…
PM’s roadmap was signed off by key cabinet ministers this morning. 1hr Zoom meeting. All done in time for Sunday lunch.

One pro-Johnson source on call called it “harmonious”. A Gov source called it “a rubber-stamping exercise”. Piece with @LOS_Fisher:…
Lastly, here’s our P1 tomorrow. The central theme teeing up the plan from No 10 is ‘caution’. We are reopening, but gradually, watching the data as we go. Not long for all the details now. END…

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More from @benrileysmith

19 Feb
Secrecy at all costs: Inside the Downing Street bunker preparing Britain’s lockdown exit. Longish read with @LOS_Fisher

Rishi, Gove, Hancock handed numbered paper copies of road map they couldn’t take with them amid heightened leak fears 1/…
Special advisers explicitly warned on recent Zoom calls with No 10 chief of staff Dan Rosenfield against Covid leaks, per multiple sources.

Some have taken a vow of silence fearing for their jobs if they discuss the road map. One: “I don’t want to be sacked”. 2/
Cabinet ministers being “kept in the dark” about the road map. So too many ministers whose briefs directly relate to countering Covid.

The heart of decision-making is ‘The Quad’ (PM, Rishi, Gove, Hancock) plus the scientists: Whitty, Vallance, sometimes JVT. 3/
Read 4 tweets
19 Feb
These are the details of Boris Johnson’s reopening road map as I understand it tonight...

:: Two households allowed to meet outside by early April

:: All schools in England (primary + secondary) open March 8...

:: BUT some schools may stagger classroom return given testing

:: Social distancing rules (two metres) likely stay “for months”

:: ‘Rule of 6’ likely to return in some form as understood by public

:: Not guaranteed ‘don’t leave your local area’ rules will lift by April

:: Promises on summer holidays unlikely Monday given uncertainty
Other things we’re hearing

:: Moving forward through the road map steps could well have some data requirements attached. (PM keeps stressing focus on data)

:: Likely there’ll be a gap b/w schools opening on Mar 8 and other big reopening steps in case there is a virus surge
Read 5 tweets
17 Nov 20
Skimmed Obama’s new memoir for British references yesterday. There are some standout ones.

Says Cameron had “the easy confidence of someone who’d never been pressed too hard by life”. 1/…
Obama on Gordon Brown: He “lacked the sparkly political gifts of his predecessor” Tony Blair. 👀

But also calls him “thoughtful” and “responsible”. 2/
Obama recounts the media reaction to Michelle touching the Queen’s shoulder during the 2009 G20 summit in Britain. Says the Queen “didn’t seem to mind”. 3/
Read 8 tweets
11 Nov 20
As far as I can tell Trump campaign fraud claims fall into 4 buckets:
1) people voting who shouldn’t have (eg dead)
2) election official wrongdoing (eg rules broken)
3) their poll watchers not getting full access
4) complaints about mail ballots arriving after election day
Number 4 questionable - allowed for military ballots, other rules were agreed before the vote

Number 3 a side issue - not an example of fraudulent votes and disputed in many places.

Examples given for 1 + 2 are v limited. Being looked into. Some circulating online disproved.
Remember Trump isn’t just claiming a few voting irregularities. He’s alleging a conspiracy to steal the election from him.

The Trump campaign therefore needs to provide evidence for a) widespread and systematic vote fraud b) Trump being the target.

That hasn’t happened yet.
Read 9 tweets
6 Nov 20
The Republican backlash is now fully on

John Bolton:
"...All candidates are entitled to pursue appropriate election-law remedies if they have evidence supporting their claims. They should certainly not lie. The 1st Republican president was called 'Honest Abe' for a reason"
Mitt Romney, Repub Utah senator, on Trump
"He is wrong to say the election was rigged, corrupt and stolen - doing so damages the cause of freedom here and around the world... and recklessly inflames destructive and dangerous passions."
Pat Toomey, Repub Pennsylvania senator
“There’s simply no evidence anyone has shown me of any widespread corruption or fraud"
“The president’s speech last night was very disturbing to me because he made very, very serious allegations without any evidence to support it"
Read 5 tweets
6 Nov 20
At least 6.6 million more people voted for Trump in 2020 than 2016.
Current Trump vote: 69,655,389
2016 Trump vote: 62,985,106

More than a 10% increase!
He massively drove up turnout
(As Trump camp always predicted)
And yes of course Dems also shot up their votes.

Current Biden 2020 count: 73,738,178 (still counting)
Hillary Clinton 2016 count: 65,853,625
Read 4 tweets

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