☀️>@PunchbowlNews AM: What's at stake this week

Big news everyone: Legislating is about to happen again. Congress comes back from recess, and President Joe Biden’s legislative agenda is about to face a crucial few weeks.
The $1.9-trillion Covid relief package is expected on the House floor this week. In order to stay on track, Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s House needs to get it through the chamber quickly. The House Budget Committee takes it up today. The bill will get a full House vote later in the wk
We bet the vote is Saturday because it’s Congress and 2021.
Pressure: @SenSanders put out a statement Saturday saying he was “confident” that the Senate parliamentarian would rule raising minimum wage is permissible in a reconciliation package.
Sanders noted that the parliamentarian previously ruled that drilling in ANWR and repealing the individual mandate to buy health insurance were permissible, so certainly raising the minimum wage should be as well.
There are two ways to read this: Sanders is actually confident that the parliamentarian will rule this way, or Sanders is trying to exert public pressure to ramp up the stakes on Elizabeth MacDonough, the parliamentarian.
Nancy Pelosi: For @SpeakerPelosi , this is like the NBA Finals -- she has 7 days to get a Covid relief package through a chamber w a 5-seat cushion. In other words, if 6 of her Democrats think the package is too big, not big enough or [insert your gripe here], she’s in trouble.
Pelosi -- much like Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell -- rides out waves of drama with one thing in mind: The end game. Pelosi knows her goal, and somehow always is able to get there. Let’s see if she can do that in 2021.
Kevin McCarthy: The House GOP leadership team actually has a ton at stake this week. Biden’s White House would love nothing more than to say that the Covid bill passed the House with a bipartisan vote. And remember, all they need is one Republican to vote yes to make that claim.
Chuck Schumer: Sens. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) and Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.) don’t want the minimum wage raised, but much of the rest of the Senate Democratic caucus does. Schumer has literally zero room to maneuver. One no vote sinks Biden’s Covid plan.
So Schumer has a delicate balancing act between his progressives and his moderates with the White House and 50 Senate Republicans watching every move intently. Schumer has the toughest job in Washington this Congress.
Mitch McConnell: McConnell likewise has to hold his troops together, but that’s not that hard here. There are very few Republicans who are game for the Democrats’ $1.9-trillion bill. We’ve seen many of the gettable votes say that $1.9 trillion is too steep for them.
No big surprise here -- @SenatorCollins a no on @neeratanden. Tanden's path is narrowing quickly.

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More from @JakeSherman

23 Feb
☀️@PunchbowlNews AM: The Republican Party is lost

The Republican Party has had some low points in the last two decades: The Mark Foley scandal, the Jack Abramoff mess, the nightmare in Iraq, losing their House majority in 2006, followed by the historic beatdown of 2008.
But we’re going to make the case this morning that the Republican Party is more adrift than it has been at nearly any point since Watergate.

Here’s why:
1) There’s plenty that Republicans could be hitting Democrats about these days. Democrats have a razor-thin House majority following their disastrous showing in November, and there’s a good chance they’ll be in the minority by next Congress;
Read 21 tweets
19 Feb
☀️ @PunchbowlNews AM: The Week of Self-Inflicted Wounds

We live in a society filled with politicians who make a range of really questionable decisions on a somewhat regular basis. We all watch career public servants act foolishly.
@PunchbowlNews In fact, it’s our job to document them and put their behavior in the larger context of clownery in our political system. We see so much stupid behavior that it takes a lot to surprise us.
@PunchbowlNews But this week, irrationality and silliness have reached new heights. It’s been the week for politicians to engage in a stunning level of self immolation.

Welcome to “The Week of Self-Inflicted Wounds."
Read 12 tweets
11 Feb
☀️ This morning’s newsy @PunchbowlNews AM

"Trump's role in the riot"

Here’s a challenge: Make the argument that Donald Trump had nothing to do with the riot at the Capitol after the first few days of the impeachment trial.
@PunchbowlNews It’s damn tough.
The Democratic impeachment managers did something Wednesday that desperately needed to be done: They laid out in a thorough, comprehensive and digestible manner what Trump said and did in the months and days leading up to the bloody Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol.
@PunchbowlNews They covered all aspects of Trump’s shocking behavior -- his provocative tweets, TV interviews and speeches claiming the election was being stolen; his months-long campaign to undermine the American public’s faith in the election results;
Read 12 tweets
10 Feb
A newsy ☀️ @PunchbowlNews laying out our reporting from the Capitol on the Democrats strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats

Strengths: House Ds clearly have the better arguments. All the jurors lived through the Jan. 6 attack. The American public saw it.
@PunchbowlNews They saw Trump claiming for months that the election was stolen from him and his supporters. They saw the president of the United States suggest that his supporters should go to the Capitol.
Then they saw those protestors smash their way into the Capitol. The Democrats’ claim is all pretty clear cut. We also saw on Tuesday that the former president’s defense team is … lackluster to say the least. So Rep. Jamie Raskin’s (D-Md.) squad has the advantage here.
Read 11 tweets
4 Feb
☀️ @PunchbowlNews AM: What Steve Ricchetti told us

We spoke for a bit last night with Steve Ricchetti, counselor to President Biden, and one of the most powerful people in the White House

He laid out in detail what Biden sees as must haves in his agenda and the future
@PunchbowlNews —> Must haves in Covid relief: “The checks and the direct assistance, you know the the additional $1,400 in the checks is vitally important and was really certainly at the top of the list for us in terms of what we think is important and was a campaign commitment."
Richetti on UI: "The extension of … unemployment insurance is really, really … important.”
Read 7 tweets
1 Feb
☀️Punchbowl AM

→ 10 Rs wrote a letter to @JoeBiden proposing a pared back Covid relief bill. Ds spent all day dismissing it as half baked and as evidence Rs were not serious.

Biden invited them to WH. That means @SenatorCollins will get a WH mtg before @aoc and @SpeakerPelosi
@JoeBiden @SenatorCollins @AOC @SpeakerPelosi → As Biden huddles with Collins and Co., Democrats have to figure out how to pass a budget and assemble a Covid-relief package. They have to thread the needle between the two poles in their caucus: @SenSanders and @Sen_JoeManchin.
@JoeBiden @SenatorCollins @AOC @SpeakerPelosi @SenSanders @Sen_JoeManchin Progressive Democrats often get frustrated with Manchin, but he represents a vote that the party needs in an evenly divided Senate -- a vote as important as Sanders or Warren.
Read 9 tweets

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