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Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
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22 Feb, 9 tweets, 3 min read
Quick summary today : Sun/Mon data and processing lags ⚠️

🦠🦠 10,641 new cases. Seems to be stalling a bit & at too high a level

⚰️⚰️ 178 (28 day cut off) deaths

🏥 admissions 1304, 🛌 In patients 18,462

VENTILATION 🛌 2469
VACCINATIONS. Low yesterday.
The first Vaccination Surveillance Programme report has been released today showing decent efficacy even on one dose of Pfizer where odds improved over a 4 week period and then seemed to plateau until second dose.

assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
Efficacy = 57% (95% CIs 48-63%) from 28 days after the first dose of vaccination (table 1). Protection after the second dose rises to 88% after 7 days (95% CIs 84-90%)
HEALTHCARE WORKERS: protection against infection from a single dose of the Pfizer vaccine was 72% (95% CI 56-82%).(This corresponds closely with the data from Israel that suggested 75% protection against all infections (85% against symptomatic infection) after single dose.
CAUTION ⚠️ Follow up time still limited:

BUT early data suggest that that any cases that do occur in older vaccinated people are around as half as likely to lead to hospitalisation and/or death, so even if symptomatic : less severe.
@jburnmurdoch summarises both the Scottish and PHE report well in this article.

ft.com/content/205762…
And thread.
PHE data reviewed here but again flagging up that the first month of vaccination was dominated by the Pfizer vaccine.

We should have better AZ data in a month.

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More from @fascinatorfun

Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
23 Feb
We will keep fighting - Good Law Project. Ayanda etc Gov spending £1 mill on costs

But the court has capped costs at £250k so I am afraid that if we don’t want the bullies to win by outspending we all have to cough up a bit more.

Getting my wallet out. goodlawproject.org/update/we-will…
We aren’t far off now.

Just another £18k to go (but would be very good to build in a load of extra £100k to pay for the GLP’s costs too.

Link for donations
Surely there’s 20k people willing to dub up £10?

Just to stop the bullies getting away with it

crowdjustice.com/case/108millio… Image
So @GoodLawProject need to have enough to bear their own modest costs & also ensure they have £quarter of a million if things go against them.

I really don’t think they will.

In that, case, at best, they will have a cushion to fight another battle.
Read 4 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
23 Feb
🦠🦠8,489 new cases but nearly a half a million Lateral Flow tests were carried out yesterday. Higher false negative rate. They seem to be replacing PCR testing increasingly.

⚰️⚰️⚰️ 548 (28 day cut off) deaths

⚰️💔⚰️💔 141,769 deaths total BY DATE OF DEATH Image
Death total as follows from today’s Gov COVID dashboard.

138,468 ONS/ stats authority deaths (Covid on death certificate) to 12/2/21
+
3321 deaths by date of death (28 day cut off)

= 141,789⚰️

We have now exceeded SAGE’s RWC scenario from July 2020 (85k deaths 1/7/20-31/3/21) ImageImageImageImage
On 1/7/20 There were 56,061 COVID deaths (ONS/stats authority by date of death).

141,789 Covid deaths total to yesterday.

85,782 deaths since 1/7/20 despite 2 lockdowns, endless tiers and 11 weeks of vaccinations.

And we reached it over a month early. ImageImage
Read 8 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
23 Feb
Just going to flag this again given mass return to school

Rhinovirus (cold virus) seems to evade Covid measures, unlike flu per ⁦@MackayIM⁩ -Virology Down Under

With time away from school can we expect a resurgence and how will that affect testing
virologydownunder.com/rhinovirus-ram…
I see the same thought is occurring in America too.

So rapid tests have a pretty high false negative rate in the community. Repeat high quality Nasopharyngeal swabs from gagging kids is going to be challenging to say the least.

Then this.
It was seen in Hong Kong ImageImage
Read 5 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
23 Feb
Covid US death toll: Imagining what 500,000 lost lives look like - BBC News

I’d be more impressed with the BBC if they 1/ troubled to get our own death figures right (we topped 140k Covid deaths yesterday, by date of death) and did the same visualisation. bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-…
So. @BBCNews to help you. If we laid the U.K. dead head to toe (allowing 6ft for each person - also the gap that was supposed to keep us safe) it would cover the distance (159 miles)nearly from London to Sheffield (169 Miles).
These are the data (complete with screenshots from the Government website) - Covid deaths by date of death to 20/2/21

@BBCNews We are about 1k deaths off SAGE’s July 2020 RWC (85k deaths between 1st July 2020-31st March 2021) despite 2 lockdowns constant tiers and vaccinations
Read 4 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
23 Feb
500,000 coronavirus deaths visualized: A number almost too large to grasp - Washington Post

Is this why we seem to have become numb to the numbers of dead?

We can’t visualise it?

The Washington post looked at how long a queue of buses would be.
washingtonpost.com/nation/interac…
The EQUIVALENT of 94.7 miles.

In the U.K. our Covid dead would stretch for over 22.5 miles. A foot for every person who has died. ImageImage
Just allowing one foot for every person dead with Covid would cause a queue of coaches from Dover to Ashford.

Indeed it would wipe out the population of Dover 3.5 times over Image
Read 8 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
22 Feb
Pathway out of lockdown paved with

-Lots of dates;

- no data; and

- a large helping of fudge
Bear in mind we are just 1.1k deaths off SAGE’s RWC scenario from last July (85k deaths 1/7/20-31/3/21). We’ll get there early.

Then have a look at the SAGE report and underlying assumptions from 7th February. All 4 scenarios lead to significant increase in hospital/deaths
Looks like the Gov is aiming for 55k more deaths scenario.

(33k - 81k deaths range)

news.sky.com/story/covid-19…
Read 4 tweets

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