Thread by @ActorAaronBooth

This is where an all at-large Congressional race in MN would get sticky for either party. Would either party want this mess?

https://twitter.com/ActorAaronBooth/status/1363941798213787652

Data source: mn.electionarchives.lib.umn.edu/search/

Big caveat: there isn't the quirky FL/GOP/D split like 1932 today, so I would guess the winning percentages would be >40%'s rather than in the 30%'s

Another wrinkle the scenario added: 2 Republican incumbents had to run as write-in's as they didn't make the top 9 in the GOP primary to advance to the general.

If the %'s needed to win was in the 40's, it would make a big difference what the % was. If it is under 46% for enough of them, the GOP could be highly competitive. If it is >46%, the GOP has a big issue.

If I could find the county breakdowns of these votes, it could shed some more light on how the vote played out, but alas that could take considerable leg work and it’s unclear the data even exists still. As recently as 1994, we are missing precinct level data for the primaries.

Missing that data in various counties for 1972 as well.

For 1972, I would guess that the counties listed as missing will never be found/don't exist. Annoyingly, it includes Hennepin and Ramsey Counties! Did Nixon win Minneapolis in 1972? 🤷‍♂️

If they do exist, they may very well be buried in a box, maybe even mislabeled, in some storage facility in those counties.