1/n A recent nationally representative survey commissioned by Skeptic Mag asked respondents to estimate the number of unarmed blacks killed by police in 2019. Overall, 44% of liberals guessed 1,000 or more as compared to 20% of conservatives (this calculation is based on the..
...cross-tabs shared with me by the researcher)
3/n According to the Mapping Police Violence database, the actual figure is 27.
4/n Furthermore, the average liberal respondent also thought that a clear majority of people killed by police in 2019 were black (in actuality, roughly a quarter were)
5/n Link to full report skeptic.com/research-cente…
7/n Worth adding that this pattern of results is likely more general than specific to estimates of police homicides. For instance, in the study below, liberals significantly overestimated the number of black job resumes per callback
8/n Probably a good place to plug my article from the summer tabletmag.com/sections/news/…

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More from @ZachG932

19 Feb
1/n The ANES hadn't asked this question since '08. It was finally included in the 2020 survey, though, so here's an updated chart
2/n In 1996, just under 9% of white liberals supported decreased spending on border security. This figure jumped to ~29% in 2008. It now sits at ~54%.
3/n Meanwhile, conservatives have hardly moved an inch (and this is generally the case in other measures of immigration policy attitudes I've looked at)
Read 7 tweets
31 Dec 20
1/n Recent paper presents evidence that research that reflects negatively on same-sex parenting is less likely to be cited. Would love to see more studies like this, particularly of the racial bias literature... europeansocietyofmedicine.org/index.php/imr/…
2/n We already have some evidence that studies finding no anti-black bias are less likely to be published journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.117…. And I suspect those demonstrating bias are also less likely to be cited than those that do.
3/n And this is just one reason why we should be skeptical of the 'consensus' @roderickgraham that likes to proclaim on questions of group differences
Read 4 tweets
25 Dec 20
1/n Spending Christmas working on my dissertation (because apart from eating Chinese, what else is a Jew supposed to do?). Here's a graph I'm including in the current chapter.
2/n Note that almost all of the change comes not from rating blacks more favorably/unfavorably, but from rating whites more favorably (conservatives)/unfavorably (liberals).
3/n Here's another plot for reverse-coded 'racial resentment' (which I'd argue is more of a measure of perceptions of discrimination and racial sympathy. In other data, it is much more strongly correlated with both white shame and guilt than feelings towards blacks).
Read 6 tweets
2 Dec 20
1/n To help promote @RichardHanania's fascinating new article(), I thought I'd thread graphs of some of the data I found interesting
2/n First, I found it interesting that even when both refugee groups were described as being likely to overwhelmingly vote democrat, white dem participants still favored admitting (unskilled) Venezuelan over Ukranian refugees by a 16.4 point margin (p=0.039). Image
3/n The inverse is true for republicans, who favor likely republican voting Ukranian to Venezuelan refugees by a 12.4 point margin (though the diff falls short of significance, p=0.104)
Read 10 tweets
7 Nov 20
1/n Suggestion: One of the advantages of a federalist system is it allows for 'policy experimentation'--new policies can be tested at the local or state-level. If those policies are deemed successful, other states can adopt and test them out in their own..
2/n contexts. Ultimately, this builds a body of evidence indicating whether a policy is likely to succeed (or fail) if implemented at the national level. Thus, Progressives who claim that only their policies can 'save us' should bolster their case by testing them and seeing..
3/n if they actually deliver the predicted results across a diverse set of cultural and economic contexts...lest they bring the entire country down with them.
Read 8 tweets
28 Oct 20
This comports with what I've generally observed in my research on race and immigration attitudes: it's not that the avg. Republican has gotten all that more conservative (of course, you will find exceptions) on the issues. It's rather that Dems have moved much more quickly..
...in the liberal direction. Paper here: journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.117…
A lot of our polarization is thus Dems resenting the fact that Reps aren't 'keeping the pace' (and Reps resenting Dems for running too far ahead).
Read 4 tweets

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