As we wind down data compilation, we want to help everyone understand how to find and use federal COVID-19 numbers. Today, we’re going over CDC case data. covidtracking.com/analysis-updat…
The @CDCgov publishes aggregate and line-level case data. Aggregate data includes total numbers of cases by jurisdiction and totals for confirmed and probable cases where available. Line-level includes a de-identified line for each case with detailed demographic data.
The CDC aggregate case data is extremely similar to the state-reported data we have been capturing.
Since vaccinations began in late 2020, we expected them to show up first in our Long-Term-Care data. And it finally has. We’ve seen signs over the last few weeks that vaccines, along with a broader decrease in community spread, are having a rapid, positive impact in LTCs.
Deaths in LTCs have fallen drastically. After adjusting for backlogs, our weekly deaths figure has declined ~70% since Jan 7. LTCs previously accounted for at least 35% of total deaths, yet last week their share was cut to 16%, the lowest ever recorded in our dataset.
Since their peak just before Christmas, new cases in long-term-care facilities have fallen by 87%, with the bulk of the drop occurring in the last three weeks. New cases last week were the lowest ever recorded in our dataset, which dates back to May 28.
Our daily update is published. States reported 1.9M tests, 75k cases, 59,882 people currently hospitalized, and 2,477 deaths.
COVID-19 hospitalizations are now under 60k for the first time since November 9, bringing us back down to the peak levels of hospitalizations we saw in the spring and summer surges.
Hospitalizations are still dropping quickly in every region of the country.
Our daily update is published. States reported 1.4M tests, 67k cases, 62,300 currently hospitalized, and 2,616 deaths.
7-day average deaths fell below 2,000 for the first time since Dec 4. This deaths average was above 3,000 as recently as Feb 6.
Data users may notice differences in 7-day average deaths between our social posts and website. We have removed major death backlogs reported by OH and IN in these daily social posts to clarify the trend. Those backlogs remain in our cumulative numbers.
Our weekly update is published. All major indicators of COVID-19 transmission in the US continue to fall rapidly. Deaths are down 20% from last week. covidtracking.com/analysis-updat…
Although states are still reporting large numbers of cases, many parts of the country show absolute levels much closer to what we saw before the most recent surge accelerated nationally in October.
Every region and sub-region of the US now shows substantial declines in the number of hospitalized COVID-19 patients.