While most republican voters support increasing the minimum wage, most also still support Trump. So their political support won't change much despite the benefits they'll get from democratic policy.
Still, a few republican voters will still peel off because of republican party inaction, and that will go along way towards cementing the democratic House Majority in 2022.
And, if democrats play their cards right, they could use that to gain support from a couple of senate republicans like Toomey, Burr, and maybe even Portman who are retiring and their states are perilously close to flipping their seats blue.
If there's any hope for the republicans to retain all of those seats, McConnell would be smart to let those three votes go to support the bill. If not, this is where obstruction will come back to haunt them later no matter how uniform the republican caucus is against it now.
Any short-term republican "win" on the minimum wage will set them up for what's likely to become a permanent loss.
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