My 8 key takeaways from Buffett's annual $BRK shareholder letter...
Including the best line and the best number...
1) “A Berkshire Number that May Surprise You”:
Berkshire owns the most American-based property, plant, and equipment of any US company: $154B
#2 is $T with $127B
2) Buffett’s “my bad”
The $11 billion write-down of his 2016 purchase of Precision Castparts.
As usual, he praised management even as he badmouths himself about overpaying: "No one misled me in any way – I was simply too optimistic about PCC’s normalized profit potential."
3) Best line:
In talking about the trick of companies using their own overvalued shares to buy other overvalued companies: “I’ll pay you $10,000 for your dog by giving you two of my $5,000 cats.”
4) Bond commentary:
"And bonds are not the place to be these days. Can you believe that the income recently available from a 10-year U.S. Treasury bond – the yield was 0.93% at yearend – had fallen 94% from the 15.8% yield available in September 1981?"
5) Berkshire’s “Big Four” (in order of size):
1)Property/casualty insurance operation
2a)BNSF railroad
2b)5.4% stake in $AAPL
4)91% stake in Berkshire Hathaway Energy
6) Berkshire's 2020 buybacks:
$24.7 billion (equivalent of 80,998 "A" shares)
"That action increased your ownership in all of Berkshire’s businesses by 5.2% without requiring you to so much as touch your wallet."
7) Long-term thinking example:
BHE's $18B project to "expand a substantial portion of the outdated grid that now transmits electricity throughout the West. BHE began this project in 2006 and expects it to be completed by 2030 – yes, 2030."
8) Annual meeting notes:
- Virtually from Los Angeles this year...I assume to make it easier for...
- The return of Charlie Munger (!!!), who missed it last year
- Joining them will be Ajit Jain and Greg Abel
- May 1st, Q&A from 1:30pm to 5pm EDT: finance.yahoo.com/brklivestream
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Bonus baskets:
$ARKG
A basket of the @chamath alphabet SPACS ( $SPCE, $OPEN, $IPOC, $IPOD, $IPOE, $IPOF)
iRobot ($IRBT) – Ceiling: So much optionality in home robotics + AI to boost growth. Floor: Premium brand, profitable, good balance sheet.
Upwork ($UPWK) and Fiverr ($FVRR) – Marketplaces that win as freelancing and the gig economy take off. Upwork has more sales now, but Fiverr has more recent growth.
81. (cont.) The digital equivalent today is turning off real-time news and Internet feeds and reading more thoughtful analysis.
82. Any of the most successful investors you can think of, no matter how different in style (Graham, Fisher, Buffett, Lynch, Davis, Simons, Soros, David Gardner, Klarman, Sequoia Capital, etc.), have a resilient framework that fits their mentality and stays stable for decades.
83. It's not the rewards you don't understand that'll burn you, but the risks you don't understand.
Here are the 100 things I’ve learned in investing.
I’ve updated this over the years to 1) Share 2) Reduce my own unforced errors 3) Reinforce the good habits, like #47.
(THREAD)
1. Most of this list is dedicated to insight on stock picking, but know this: It's darn hard to beat the market. 99% of people are best served steadily buying and holding low-cost index funds at the core of their portfolios -- and I may be understating that 99% figure.
2. Looking for a diversified, low-cost index-fund core? Vanguard is what I recommend to anyone who asks. Three flavors: 1) Stocks and bonds: Target date funds. 2) Entire world stock market: $VT. 3) Entire world stock market, split up between U.S. and foreign: $VTI + $VXUS.
August 30th is @WarrenBuffett’s 90th birthday. Each year, I celebrate the Babe Ruth of Investing's birthday by adding another reason we love our hero.
Here we go…
1. Intricate, occasionally contradictory complexity hides beneath the "Aw, shucks" folksy charm. As an @Forbes writer once put it, "Buffett is not a simple person, but he has simple tastes."
2. Many people talk about avoiding the madding crowd, but Buffett actually does it by living 1,250 miles away from Wall Street.
Here are the 100 things I’ve learned in investing.
I wrote the first version of this eight years ago to 1) share 2) reduce my own unforced errors 3) reinforce the good habits, like #47.
(THREAD)
1. Most of this list is dedicated to insight on stock picking, but know this: It's darn hard to beat the market. 99% of people are best served steadily buying and holding low-cost index funds at the core of their portfolios -- and I may be understating that 99% figure.
2. Looking for a diversified, low-cost index-fund core? Vanguard is what I recommend to anyone who asks. Three flavors: 1) Stocks and bonds: Target date funds. 2) Entire world stock market: $VT. 3) Entire world stock market, split up between U.S. and foreign: $VTI + $VXUS.