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Jonah Lupton Profile picture
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1 Mar, 4 tweets, 3 min read
My recent Substack writeup is out and the company I profiled is @OwletBabyCare which is coming public via SPAC merger with $SBG

I believe @OwletBabyCare can grow revenues at 60-80% per year for the next 4+ years which takes them to $1+ billion in 2025.

jonahlupton.substack.com/p/sbg-owlet-ba…
I'll be interviewing @kgworkman, founder and CEO of @owletbabycare on Friday.

@OwletBabyCare is currently on the 3rd generation of their "smart sock" with a bunch of products in the pipeline including the pregnancy band and smart scale.
@OwletBabyCare wants to build the leading babytech company which includes the connected nursery and digital parenting platform.

@owletbabycare has a strong management team and the SPAC sponsor (Sandbridge) is the perfect group to take them public and help them scale.
Please read the writeup and let me know if you have any questions.

jonahlupton.substack.com/p/sbg-owlet-ba…

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More from @JonahLupton

Jonah Lupton Profile picture
3 Mar
One of the things we have to do as fund managers at Social Capital is submit a one-page writeup for any holdings that are 5% or greater.

I think this is a valuable exercise for all investors and I encourage others to do this for their personal portfolios.
I already submitted my writeups on $DMTK and $UPST

My conviction for both of these stocks is just as strong today as it was the first day I started buying them. In many ways it's even stronger now.

$UPST is growing at 60-70% with 84% gross margins 😍
If you're looking for a template, the sections in my writeup were:

- Stock Price / Market Cap / Enterprise Value

- Overview / Growth Strategy

- Valuation / Financials

- Catalysts / Upside

- Risks / Downside

- Position Sizing
Read 4 tweets
Jonah Lupton Profile picture
26 Feb
Several people have sent me DM's complaining that I didn't update my portfolio in Google sheets yesterday. I think they're trying to accuse me of hiding on a bad day.

I was down 6.5% yesterday. I got smoked and could not care less. I don't worry about my stocks day-to-day.
Not that I owe anyone an explanation but the reason I didn't update my portfolio yesterday and won't update today or most of next week is because I start running my fund for @SocialCapital on Monday.
I have been busting my ass the past couple weeks to identify some really exciting small cap stocks that I can start buying for my new @SocialCapital fund.

I would prefer to not have anyone front-run me on those positions.
Read 7 tweets
Jonah Lupton Profile picture
26 Feb
The market selloff the past few days has not been fun but I'm not worried. Inflation fears are exaggerated. Rising rate fears are exaggerated.

I'm extremely bullish on stocks because we have an ideal setup for the next couple years which includes low rates and a booming economy.
@RickRieder did a nice job on CNBC yesterday talking about the accommodative environment for stocks and the powers of the Fed

Rick thinks we might see 7% GDP growth this year which means record corporate earnings and strong employment so why do we give a shit about a little inflation.

Read 8 tweets
Jonah Lupton Profile picture
25 Feb
Imagine selling $TMDX right before they get FDA approval for OCS heart

Imagine selling $DMTK right before they get support from all @BCBSAssociation's

Imagine selling $UPST right before they expand into mortgages

Imagine selling $CELH right before they report blowout earnings
Sometimes these down days really baffle me.

How can some investors be buying stocks one day and selling those same stocks the next day.

Everyone is too trigger happy with that sell button.

Make some pancakes, pour a glass of wine and chill out. Stop overreacting on NO news.
We wonder why so many investors and fund managers underperform the indexes over the long term -- it's because they have no patience or discipline.

Too many investors are like fucking jellyfish getting pushed around by the tide. Grow a fucking spine.
Read 4 tweets
Jonah Lupton Profile picture
23 Feb
I've never seen so many growth stocks down double digits at the same time. Insane washout!!!

Even though it was painful it was needed. Now the big funds (that run the market) and have been sitting on cash can put it to work and buy these great growth stocks at cheaper prices.
Should I have been trimming some of my stocks the past few days... maybe... but these are stocks I plan to own for the next few days so why incur unnecessary capital gains?
If I believe most (if not all) of my stocks can 5x over the next 5 years then it doesn't make sense to over-manage my portfolio in the short term.

Sometimes you're better off just accepting these big washouts will happen and adding to positions during the panic selling.
Read 11 tweets
Jonah Lupton Profile picture
23 Feb
Looks like there’s going to be a lot of great companies on sale today.

I think everyone should be focused on their existing portfolio (including me) so I’m not sending out my new Substack writeup this morning.

Let’s hope for a big red washout then the buyers can step in.
I still believe we are in a bull market with low rates, plenty of stimulus and QE, low regulation, strong corporate balance sheets and and robust economic activity. Perhaps some valuations got stretched but the pendulum always swings too far in both directions.
I will definitely be a buyer this morning because I’m focused on 3+ years for my companies so a 5-10% selloff today is only telling me to add to my highest conviction names.
Read 6 tweets

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