Embargo just lifted on a big bit of Budget news....

Furlough to be extended until end of SEPTEMBER. Millions likely to benefit, at a cost of billions. telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/…
:: Full furlough until end of June
- Government covers 80% of wages, up to £2.5k a month max

:: Then a tapered scheme
- July: Gov covers 70%, company covers the extra 10%
- Aug/Sep: Gov covers 60%, company covers extra 20%
Under the Government’s roadmap lockdown restrictions are due to be fully lifted by June 21 (earliest)

Meaning furlough could carry on months after businesses are allowed to reopen fully.
There’s also confirmation of our @Telegraph story last month...

Self-employed grants will be offered at up to £2.5k a month (80% of profits) for Feb, Mar, Apr.

Extra help coming after that but likely to be scaled back. Details announced tomorrow.
And a key loophole will be closed in the self-employment grants system.

People who became self-employed in the 2019/20 tax year weren’t eligible. They now are. That = 600k-ish extra people.
Our p1 tomorrow. Image

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More from @benrileysmith

2 Mar
Seems to me Keir Starmer’s ‘no tax rises now’ position makes strategic sense.

One of Labour’s big failings in 15, 17, 19 elections was being soundly beaten on the economy.

Having a ‘why are you so pro-business’ row now only helps Starmer’s rebranding project for 2024.
Which is why you suspect Starmer’s office will be pretty relaxed with Corbyn frontbenchers criticising the stance and PM noting it’s a big departure from Labour’s 2019 manifesto.

(All giving big air time to the fact Starmer is abandoning Corbyn’s position on tax and business)
Having Tories throw the quotes from this week back at Starmer in the run-up to the next election (when Labour’s tax offering will inevitably be more progressive than the Conservatives) is the weakness in the strategy. But can worry about that in 2024.
Read 4 tweets
21 Feb
NEW: Many more details have now been confirmed about Boris Johnson’s reopening plan. This is what we know... (thread) 1/
There will be four stages in the road map, announced tomorrow. They roughly align with the coming months: March, April, May, June. 2/
There will be specific dates but they will be ‘earliest dates’. So ones that can be pushed back if the data turns bad. 3/
Read 18 tweets
19 Feb
Secrecy at all costs: Inside the Downing Street bunker preparing Britain’s lockdown exit. Longish read with @LOS_Fisher

Rishi, Gove, Hancock handed numbered paper copies of road map they couldn’t take with them amid heightened leak fears 1/
telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/…
Special advisers explicitly warned on recent Zoom calls with No 10 chief of staff Dan Rosenfield against Covid leaks, per multiple sources.

Some have taken a vow of silence fearing for their jobs if they discuss the road map. One: “I don’t want to be sacked”. 2/
Cabinet ministers being “kept in the dark” about the road map. So too many ministers whose briefs directly relate to countering Covid.

The heart of decision-making is ‘The Quad’ (PM, Rishi, Gove, Hancock) plus the scientists: Whitty, Vallance, sometimes JVT. 3/
Read 4 tweets
19 Feb
These are the details of Boris Johnson’s reopening road map as I understand it tonight...

:: Two households allowed to meet outside by early April

:: All schools in England (primary + secondary) open March 8...

:: BUT some schools may stagger classroom return given testing

1/
:: Social distancing rules (two metres) likely stay “for months”

:: ‘Rule of 6’ likely to return in some form as understood by public

:: Not guaranteed ‘don’t leave your local area’ rules will lift by April

:: Promises on summer holidays unlikely Monday given uncertainty
2/
Other things we’re hearing

:: Moving forward through the road map steps could well have some data requirements attached. (PM keeps stressing focus on data)

:: Likely there’ll be a gap b/w schools opening on Mar 8 and other big reopening steps in case there is a virus surge
3/
Read 5 tweets
17 Nov 20
Skimmed Obama’s new memoir for British references yesterday. There are some standout ones.

Says Cameron had “the easy confidence of someone who’d never been pressed too hard by life”. 1/
telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/11/1…
Obama on Gordon Brown: He “lacked the sparkly political gifts of his predecessor” Tony Blair. 👀

But also calls him “thoughtful” and “responsible”. 2/
Obama recounts the media reaction to Michelle touching the Queen’s shoulder during the 2009 G20 summit in Britain. Says the Queen “didn’t seem to mind”. 3/
Read 8 tweets
11 Nov 20
As far as I can tell Trump campaign fraud claims fall into 4 buckets:
1) people voting who shouldn’t have (eg dead)
2) election official wrongdoing (eg rules broken)
3) their poll watchers not getting full access
4) complaints about mail ballots arriving after election day
But...
Number 4 questionable - allowed for military ballots, other rules were agreed before the vote

Number 3 a side issue - not an example of fraudulent votes and disputed in many places.

Examples given for 1 + 2 are v limited. Being looked into. Some circulating online disproved.
Remember Trump isn’t just claiming a few voting irregularities. He’s alleging a conspiracy to steal the election from him.

The Trump campaign therefore needs to provide evidence for a) widespread and systematic vote fraud b) Trump being the target.

That hasn’t happened yet.
Read 9 tweets

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