So the European Parliament has today decided to *not* set the date when it will approve the EU-UK Trade and Cooperation Agreement (TCA)

What does this mean?
Provisional Application of TCA runs until end of April

Before then there are 2 EP plenaries
24-25 March
26-29 April

Effectively means the later one will be when approval (or not) happens
The Provisional Application deadline could, in theory, be extended further. But that needs the approval of the UK in the Partnership Council...

I suppose it's now not impossible it'd be extended further so as to avoid a major bust up in April?
I still can't see the European Parliament not agreeing the TCA. So the question is whether they are reassured enough to do that in April, or annoyed enough to push the deadline further into the future

And UK side, if a request to extend were to come, what would the UK say?
The next few weeks are hence crucial - if the UK Government were behaving sensibly it would try to calm all of this down, and reassure the European Parliament about its intentions

But UK Government behaving sensibly...? We can but hope!
The focus in the EP now ought to be in wide ranging and systematic scrutiny - is there a way to make the intersection of TCA and NI Protocol work for both the EU and the UK? Is there a way to decrease tensions in Northern Ireland in particular?
Played well this could be an excellent opportunity for the European Parliament to show it takes people's real life concerns seriously, and does proper scrutiny

Do this badly and tensions increase and we're in a worse spot end of April than we are now...
The next 6 weeks will be interesting!

/ends

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More from @jonworth

2 Mar
Doing a bit of a reorganisation of my Twitter lists...

You can find all my public lists here:
twitter.com/jonworth/lists
There are two sorts:

5 lists for my everyday use
_EU
_DE
_TRANSPORT
_BREXIT
_INTERESTING

If you're on one of these it means I am more likely to see tweets you write than if you're not

If you think I ought to add you to one, let me know 🙂
I'm in the process of moving some Brussels based people from my _BREXIT list to my _EU list, and the latter needs a good bit of reorganisation

The priority for *all* lists is helpful and thoughtful people, people who help me understand the world
Read 5 tweets
1 Mar
An honorary visiting prof at City University, London

A member of the House of Lords

And a hack at the Daily Mail

... and a little story of hypocrisy, UK elite style
This at 12:11pm today from the hack Image
This at 13:22pm from @MichaelLCrick confirming the resignation Image
Read 11 tweets
1 Mar
After all the wrangling in December about the European Parliament and Provisional Application of the EU-UK Trade and Cooperation Agreement... everything has gone weirdly quiet.

Where *is* the vigorous scrutiny of the TCA that was promised?
I can't even find a proper schedule of what's happening, when! europarl.europa.eu/ukcg/en/statem…

Rapporteurs @KatiPiri @CHansenEU when is scrutiny in Committees? When is the Plenary vote? Late March mini plenary, or end of April?
The European Parliament is the *only* body well placed to scrutinise the TCA (and the interplay between it and the NI Protocol) right now - so the absence of any meaningful public communication about all of this?

To me it doesn't make sense
Read 4 tweets
25 Feb
I'm worried. It strikes me that if ERG, Foster, Gove and Frost stick to their current approach (demanding NI Protocol abolished or Art 16 triggered) *and* the work to do the required checks in NI from 1 April doesn't happen... it's a matter of time before UK Govt triggers Art 16
It won't happen before end of April, because triggering it before the European Parliament has even ratified the TCA is too dangerous (even for the political geniuses in 70 Whitehall), but once that's done... what's going to stop them?
Labour wants Brexit problems to go away. It's not going to mount a defence of the NI Protocol nor demand the work on the ground gets done

So discontent will grow, accusations of bad faith will be flung at the EU - with no-one UK side to balance them
Read 5 tweets
24 Feb
It's the sheer brazenness of the Gove (backed by Foster) approach to "grace periods", & asking for them to continue until 2023...

As if it's self evident that UK is not going to be ready anytime soon... to do what it agreed to do when it signed TCA just 2 months ago!
Really, what has *changed*?

Unionists *that the 2020 WA and NI Protocol sold down the river* are annoyed? Consider me shocked.

That the EU actually thinks what's in a Treaty ought to be complied with? Can't be having that!
Or that vdL's faux pas on Article 16 and vaccines means the EU now has to change its approach to the texts it has agreed with the EU? Come on, that's not serious
Read 4 tweets
24 Feb
Conclusion from the complete absence of reaction to this - on Twitter and directly on my blog - is that serious pieces like this on UK-EU relations, if not written by a think tank, now just sink without trace

jonworth.eu/brexit-coordin…
Maybe I should pitch things like this to an organisation like @UKandEU - but then editorial processes and timetables come into play, but I guess I need to stomach that
And I am pretty sure I am not the right sort of person to work for a think tank, and founding my own makes no sense (we don't need more EU think tanks anyway)
Read 4 tweets

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