There’s different ways to look at this. Public sector workers also could point out also that the govt has spent a huge amount on the furlough scheme which has hugely benefitted private sector workers (supported by their taxes).
It’s also true to say private sector employees benefit from the wages of the public sector being spent in/on their firms.
It makes sense to view the economy (and government spending decisions as part of that) as a whole unit, rather than a private/public split.
It’s also true to say that as the govt has shown over the past year, its spending power is huge.
As ever with its spending decisions, they’re choices, not laws of nature. Government could afford to give more if it spent less on something else or raised money elsewhere.
And take a look at this graph from the @NuffieldTrust. Shows pay for all NHS staff severely cut in real terms since 2010. By contrast private sector pay started to recover from 2014. They calculate NHS staff have lost £22bn from pay falling behind inflation over the last decade.
It’s also true to say that what the economy desperately needs in the years ahead is growth. OBR is predicting pretty modest expansion after next year. Again, viewed in a growth context not only is 1% NHS pay rise problematic but so is public sector pay freeze as a whole.
As I said earlier in the week, we’re also in danger of being very insular-a retrenchment agenda is not being talked about in other major economies: globally the focus is on immediate post pandemic recovery and growth (see Biden stimulus bill) bbc.co.uk/programmes/p09…
- Clearest sign yet of Conservatives grappling with their new electoral coalition and the political geography created by the 2019 general election
-Local/mayoral elections also clearly in mind.
- Economically for the next few years steady as she goes.
-but after that bigger changes to corporation tax/personal taxation and Sunak hinted might be more to come to "Pay off" cost of pandemic.
-Question is- why? As I reported last night, BoE financing our deficit/long maturity of our debt means pressure is minimal.
-Esp so given...
...OBR is forecasting pretty weak below trend growth beyond 2022. Many economists will argue best way to tackle debt and deficit is through growth and inflation.
-Other question is why set that out now, when there's so little foresight of what economy will look like.
Chancellor: "It's going to take the country and the whole world a long time to recover from this situation...once we're on the way to recovery we will need to begin fixing the public finances and I want to be honest today about our plans to do that."
Early nod to the deficit.
As I reported last night there really is no need in the short or medium term for the Chancellor to be concerned about borrowing. How political rather than economic his approach is going to be will depend very much what he means by "once we're on the way to recovery"
Sunak says OBR forecasts that UK economy will return to its previous size six months earlier than forecast
But OBR says that in five years time British economy will be 3% smaller than it would have been
That is presumably on top of the forecast growth lost as a result of Brexit
Nicola Sturgeon is giving evidence and providing an opening statement
“As a result of a mistake which was made, a very serious mistake- two women were failed and taxpayers’ money lost. I deeply regret that.”
“Although I was not aware of the error at the time I want to take the opportunity to apologise to the women involved and to the Scottish public.
My actions deserve to be scrutinised...firstly on the 8th Jan 2019 I volunteered to Parliament my contact with Alex Salmond...”
“I stated as follows: on 2nd April 2018 he informed me about the complaints against him. I will explain why I stand by that statement. Second, I will set out why I did not immediately record the April meeting within the Scottish govt a decision rooted entirely with my desire...”
Question: what is the public interest reason for this video, exactly? It isn’t unlike a party political broadcast but in this case paid for (and branded) by HM Treasury.
Conservative former International Development Secretary Andrew Mitchell on c4 news on the Yemen aid cut: “it’s a very dark day for a country which has been a poverty superpower.”
Says wider UK development cuts will lead to 100,000s of avoidable deaths, many of them children.
“To cut aid to Yemen, the poorest country by miles in the M East, in the middle of a pandemic when we know they are famine conditions and famine is stalking the land, with 4 million, many children as a result of this decision continue the agonising process of starving to death.”
Extraordinary moment that a Conservative former Cabinet Minister saying a decision of his own government will lead to more deaths of children in Yemen.