A 25-point lead for Conservatives among working-class; Conservatives 52%, Labour 27%. Today's YouGov.
London breaks 44 versus 34 for Labour. Southern England breaks 51 versus 29 for Conservatives.
Same old problem for Labour as 2019. 71% of Leavers rally round Conservatives, 47% Remainers rally around Labour
Basic problem for Labour is geography. Votes stacked high in places where it doesn't need them - little evidence it is breaking through in places where it needs them
who would make best PM? Johnson leads 2 points among middle class, 16 points among working-class

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh

Keep Current with Matt Goodwin

Matt Goodwin Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!


Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @GoodwinMJ

18 Oct 20
A short thread. Many institutions adopt an imbalanced or ‘asymmetric’ approach to diversity & inclusion. They focus overwhelmingly, & increasingly, on race/ethnicity, which is often seen as the only relevant variable.
This is entirely understandable given historic injustices but it also comes with costs; we are overlooking other social problems in society. We need to broaden rather than narrow our view.
One of those is white working-class children from disadvantaged backgrounds who are already falling behind their peers at age 5 … less likely to get good GCSEs … and less likely than every other group to make it to university (evidence -> bit.ly/3o4INWz).
Read 14 tweets
23 Jul 20
Woke-ism is a minority support

Support for footballers "taking the knee"? 37%
Support for removal of statues linked to slavery? 27%
BLM protests shd have gone ahead during crisis? 21%
Support protestors damaging/removing statues? 13%

YouGov July 16
3 points in reply to discussion about results. 1/ my ref to 'woke' politics is reference to what we might otherwise call identity liberalism/'the great awokening' debate in US e.g. see Atlantic on 'woke capitalism', Pres Obama on 'woke stuff', etc. Not derogatory.
2/ What I'm pointing to here is level of 'positive, instrumental change' for what are radical actions (e.g. pulling down statues). I've stripped out don't knows/oppose/don't care etc. Why? Because I want to get sense of core 'active' support for actions that impact on majority
Read 5 tweets
16 Jul 20
Racism has been falling in Britain not rising. Every major 'gold standard' survey shows that levels of racial prejudice have been in decline since the 1980s. On the whole, this is a tolerant, welcoming and remarkably peaceful country #HasBritainChanged
Support for relationships between different ethnic/racial groups has rocketed since the 1980s #HasBritainChanged
Typically, over 90% of Brits have 'no issue' with relationships/marriages between members of different groups. In 1980s more than half did #HasBritainChanged
Read 5 tweets
16 Jun 20
Munira Mirza is interested in data and evidence. That is why critical race theorists are hostile -- they are being asked to provide evidence for their ideological claims.
In UK the relationship between race & disadvantage is FAR more complex than some suggest. For e.g., minorities shd not be treated as uniform group, lots of positive trends at work, disadvantage in diff spheres cuts across diff groups in diff ways, need nuance & data-led policy
My view is that if there is to be a new commission or study of racial inequality in UK then it shd include ppl who prioritise evidence. There is a middle way through but trying to shout down somebody simply because they question existing narratives is not the way forward imo.
Read 4 tweets
14 Jun 20
How Britain's "Statue Wars" became a proxy for our deeper values divide - a short thread
As much work has now shown, Britain's 2016 vote for Brexit was only one symptom of a much deeper values divide that has been rumbling through Britain (and other democracies) for a few decades

In very broad terms, the divide is between "liberals" and "social conservatives"
One question that is now hanging over British politics is whether Brexit and its final resolution would bring that divide to a close or instead cement it while an array of other issues -immigration, gender, diversity agenda, etc.- would breathe new life into it
Read 16 tweets
13 Jun 20
"It's a black Wednesday moment"
"Boris just lost the next election"
"This is a total game changer".

Cummings was 2.5 weeks ago

Today? 8 point Conservative lead

Conservative 45% (=)
Labour 37% (+2)
Lib Dem 6% (=)

YouGov June 11-12
Scandals rarely have the effect we think they will. That's one of the main lessons of the past decade.
I'd add that quite a few folks are now reading more than they should into leadership scores. Why? Who knows. Maybe because is only dimension where Lab ahead. But do remember that relationship between leadership ratings & election outcomes is not as strong as many are implying
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!