Nic Carter still tries to spin Bitcoin's mind-numbingly stupid energy and cash burn as a "debate". It's not a debate: Bitcoin's energy energy and cash burn is mind-numbingly stupid.
Let's dissect the desperation of a hypocrite who's backed into a corner.
coindesk.com/frustrating-ma…
The opening salvo sets the tone.
Nobody's debating if it's worth to spend "any" energy on Bitcoin. Sane people are simply saying that it's stupid to spend 100+ TWh/year because it's an insanely large amount and much more efficient systems could be set up to the same effect.
Then there's the assumption that Bitcoin is, or enables, "a non-state monetary system" and "sound money". It's not, and it doesn't. Bitcoin, in itself, is just a database - a distributed ledger, like tens of thousands of other databases, only much slower and more expensive.
The ecosystem that emerged around Bitcoin - the scammy exchanges, the fraudulent stablecoins, the spineless shills like Nic Carter - maintain the possibility of cashing in and out of Bitcoin, so that it can be used for payments the same way a piano can be used for payments.
Then, Nic is stating that Bitcoin's energy consumption is only temporary, because it's linked to the value of minted coins and thanks to halvings, that value is bound to fall, as Bitcoin isn't going to double every four years.
Don't worry, it will be fine in *checks notes* 2140!!
This is a lie, of course, as Bitcoin's electricity burn is required not only to mine coins, but also to secure the network. The new coins are just a way to finance the cash/electricity burn, but Nic prefers to ignore that because it's just an indefensible fact. More on it later.
Then comes the bullshit about "gold mining costs money, too". Bitcoin isn't gold. It isn't buried deep underground in infinitesimal concentrations, it's man-made computer code, and people are not bound by the laws of nature in deciding how it works.
"Satoshi created Bitcoin this way" - sure, so what? Times change, adapt or die. Bitcoin's waste in case of success was a problem that "needed solving" according to Satoshi himself.
Of course miners like it this way, but Nic explains that mining is a "free market".
Bitcoin mining requires billions of dollars in mining rigs and other infrastructure to be spend every year. For that kind of money, you could set up a hedge fund or an investment bank and become an "insider monetizing his proximity to the Fed", too.
How is that any different?
Then comes the "containers not parcels" line. Supposedly Bitcoin is just a settlement layer for outside systems, equal to FedWire.
This is nonsense. Banks use FedWire because they can 100% trust it. You can't 100% trust Bitcoin. No transaction is final. Errors can't be reversed.
You have no idea of how many errors happen in the front, middle, and back offices of financial institutions. How many times you say "sell" instead of "buy", how many times you input three zeros too many. "Censorship resistance" is a very stupid thing, it's a bug, not a feature.
If you imagine institutions are going to bet the success of hundred of billions of dollars worth of transactions on Bitcoin, please consult a psychiatrist.
The second US institutions begin to use it in this way, anyone can build up idle mining capacity to attack the network.
Bitcoin's cash burn is an insurance policy against attacks. The network burns more cash than an attacker could expect to win from attacking it, so nobody attacks it. If you want to use Bitcoin like FedWire, the cash burn must be astronomical. Not enough electricity in the world.
You just can't build a global settlement layer on PoW as there's not enough electricity in the world to be burned. The US would need to burn a billion dollars a day in mining just to be sure that China isn't building up spare mining capacity to take down its financial system.
And again, the cash/electricity burn we're talking about is just for the sake of a database. Whenever someone's comparing Bitcoin to the "global monetary system", they're ignoring all the bank branches and people in customer support and ATMs and lawyers and fraud detection teams.
Banks have databases, too. FedWire has databases. To quote Jimmy Wales, "they work well". No need to burn $20 billion of sucker money to keep the scheme going.

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More from @Tr0llyTr0llFace

7 Mar
Remember when Paul Tudor Jones invested in Bitcoin, in May 2020? In his letter to investors, he explained that Bitcoin would be a good "hedge against inflation and money printing", without going into much specifics.
But he did one very weird thing. He didn't buy Bitcoin.
Instead, he bought Bitcoin futures. That's very, very weird for one reason - Bitcoin futures have a very negative carry as their term structure is in contango. A Bitcoin future a few months out costs much more than Bitcoin spot, and PTJ was willing to give up that spread. Why? Image
Some said that it was "easier than buying Bitcoin", but come on - a multibillion dollar hedge fund can figure out how to buy Bitcoin and store it in a wallet.
I can tell you that in funds like those, an army of PhDs spends their days figuring out the best way to make every bet.
Read 11 tweets
5 Mar
Michael Saylor's stated strategy to load up $MSTR with debt to buy Bitcoin is a mathematical guarantee of bankruptcy.
Remember $XIV, the "short volatility" ETF that went bust when the VIX jumped 100%? HSBC had written in the prospectus of the fund that was going to happen.
In the case of $XIV, you knew that an event where the VIX goes up by 100% in a single day is very unlikely, however, over a very long period of time, it's a certainty. Let's say the probability of that happening on any given day was only 0.1%. This means that the probability...
of it NOT happening is 99.9%, on any single day. But if you intend to hold your ETF for longer periods, the probability of the ETF not going bust over 10 days is down to 99% (99.9% ^ 10), over 100 days - down to 90.5% (99.9% ^ 100), and over 1000 days - down to 37%.
Read 5 tweets
5 Mar
I've been ranting about this for almost 2 months now.
To answer all those who are asking "how can I arbitrage this", the answer is, you can't.
Because the SEC doesn't want a Bitcoin ETF, it only allowed $GBTC to exist with one huge caveat: it's a closed-end fund.
A consequence of that is that $GBTC can't redeem shares. They never got that "exemptive relief" from the SEC (excerpt from their IPO prospectus below). Which means that you can buy $GBTC at a discount to NAV feeling smug, but what are you going to do if the discount goes to -30%?
The only way to milk a discount is to buy a very large stake in $GBTC, and then vote to liquidate the trust in the next shareholder GA - you'll then get your bags of Bitcoin. But then the market will know that you got a crapload of Bitcoin that you probably intend to sell.
Read 5 tweets
3 Mar
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust premium cratering, now trading over 4% below net asset value. Tens of billions of $$$ are trapped and can’t get out. No buyers.
You can manipulate prices on unregulated exchanges with scam stablecoins. On real markets where you need real USD, not so much.
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust premium -5.2%.
Getting uglier every day.
FYI Grayscale stands for half of all "institutional money" in Bitcoin, as per Goldman's research. And now those institutions are getting buttrekt. How will this attract more bagholders? It won't.
Now the $GBTC premium is -7%. Barry Silbert managed to leverage mild retail buying into a “smart money” stampede by selling them the idea of arbitrage - buy at NAV, sell to retail suckers at a premium. It worked well until people tried to cash out - a recurrent theme in crypto.
Read 5 tweets
2 Mar
Crazy how Tether Leaks stopped overnight.
Originally, I had 3 theories:
1. They are legit.
2. They are fake, produced for the lols.
3. They are fake, produced by Tether to discredit Tether Truthers.

We can rule out 2 because of how messy they were. If I had to fabricate emails,
I wouldn’t chose as a recipient a little-known “Nancy” that hasn’t worked at Deltec since 2017. I would pick someone high up the food chain.
This leaves “legit” and “fake, to discredit Tether Truthers”.
Are they legit? The leakers said that they want to talk to a journalist.
But every journalist I know passed. They didn’t have any inside information - everything they published could have been found online.
This leaves us with one source for the fake leaks: Tether itself.
They’ve already used fake accounts before, to discredit @Bitfinexed.
Read 7 tweets
2 Mar
This meme of "dollar isn't backed" just won't die in the sterilised bubble of Bitcoin bagholders' echo chamber.
Fiat currencies are all backed by debt - very overcollateralized, even. A thread.
Dollars are created when anyone - you, me, Boeing Corp - takes out a loan from a bank.
When you sign your mortgage contract, you get your $200,000 - and the bank gets the right to get repaid that $200,000 plus interest, over time, by you. So the $200,000 in your pocket are backed by your own fiduciary duty to repay the debt you contracted when they were created.
In fact, the net amount of fiat created by banks is zero - because all money in circulation will be used to repay the debts that were created when it was issued. This creates a perpetual demand for fiat - people will do whatever they can to get fiat to repay their debts.
Read 12 tweets

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