Hilarious (and quite off) replies from committed climate alarmists to my graph

Contrary to breathless climate reporting, Australia wasn't "ablaze" in 2019-20

Burned area was actually one of the *lowest* since 1900

Many said "but <reasons> reduced fire"

Of course, but *we were never told fire declines*

None of the breathless reporting said: "Burned area has declined dramatically, and is now at historical lows"

Instead, they said "Australia is on fire, literally"

nbcnews.com/science/enviro…
Many chastised me for using "wrong measure" of "burned area"

Yet, I use same measure as official "Australia's Environment" annual overview

It also concludes "well below average"

I suspect "wrong measure" means "doesn't support scary story"

wenfo.org/aer/wp-content…
Many said "but eucalyptus forests burned much more"

Yes, I said so repeatedly

But it's inconsistent with climate models:

Total should be more, but was much less
Forests burned way too much
Grass should be larger, were way smaller
Woodland way too small
Climate change is real, and it will likely lead to larger burned area by 2100

This model shows 2100 will get us back to the larger fires of early 2000s

We need to inform well, not scare the pants off people

iopscience.iop.org/article/10.108…

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More from @BjornLomborg

11 Mar
Everyone heard Australia's fires killed billions of animals

But we weren't told this happens every year

Rough estimates show 2019-20 was actually one of the least deadly fires in 120 years.

Last century: 16 billion animals harmed each year
2000s: 9 billion
2019-20: 6 billion Image
As discussed below, this rough estimate uses the same, but simplified, calculations as the original 1 (and later 3) billion claim

Original total number killed/harmed: vertebrates/ha*area burned

As reptiles make up 87% of all harmed, and Australia average is 200/ha: Image
WWF found 3 billion, because only counted in "uncharacteristic" burn areas

But surely a burned animal matter equally whether its fire is covered on TV or not?

Burning elsewhere was *much* lower, hence many fewer harmed there (we ought to know that, too)

wwf.org.au/ArticleDocumen… Image
Read 17 tweets
7 Mar
Fires burned 10% of Australia's land surface on average every year in 20th century

In this century, it burned 6% (2001-19)

We now have the data for 2019-20, the year with "Australia ablaze":

4% (3.95%)

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.…. globalfiredata.org/analysis.html nature.com/articles/d4158…
Yes, tragedies: Much more fire close to where people live (NSW and Victoria)

But we were told "Australia burns" and "this is what a climate crisis looks like"

No

Australia had one of its lowest areas burned in last 120 years

And fires inconsistent with climate impact
Along with bad media coverage, misleading graphics pushed the idea that the Australian continent was ablaze


Read 6 tweets
27 Feb
US 2021 top priorities: economy, covid and jobs

Climate change towards bottom (but no longer last as it used to be)

pewresearch.org/politics/2021/…
US Democrats' top priorities for 2021: Corona, economy, race

Climate change is 9th

pewresearch.org/politics/2021/…
US Republicans' top priorities for 2021: economy, no terror, jobs

Climate change decisively last

pewresearch.org/politics/2021/…
Read 4 tweets
23 Feb
Despite breathless climate reporting, deaths from malaria, heat, diarrhea, malnutrition and dengue *lower* by 2050, according to WHO

Here dengue; climate will delay progress slightly, from 2049 to 2050

ihmeuw.org/5dx9, who.int/healthinfo/glo…, apps.who.int/iris/handle/10…
It is the same with heat deaths: by 2050 they will still be much lower than current cold deaths

As we saw with malnutrition, climate will not make deaths go up, but slow progress slightly
Read 8 tweets
18 Feb
Despite the breathless climate reporting, global heat deaths by 2050 will still be much lower than current cold deaths

This according to WHO's estimates of additional heat deaths from climate warming
apps.who.int/iris/handle/10…
here from ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P… Image
As we saw with malnutrition, climate will not make deaths go up, but slow progress slightly
Read 7 tweets
14 Feb
Climate slightly slows progress (problem, not end-of-world)

Technology and higher incomes make us much more resilient, compared to climate problems

Here is one of world's leading child killers, malnutrition

According to WHO, mortality keeps declining, even in a warming world
Malnutrition was the risk-factor behind 7m deaths in 1990

Today, around 2.78m

by 2050, 554K

WHO estimates global warming will cause an extra 85K, equivalent to delaying progress by less than 3 years

ihmeuw.org/5dmb, apps.who.int/iris/handle/10…
We see the same trend with malaria

Although global warming will make malaria worse, it is overwhelmingly improved by technology and resilience
Read 7 tweets

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