Thread with a few disturbing predictions/possibilities. Let me know what you think.
The disturbingly slow & botched roll-out of vaccines by EU member states could provide the next major political opening for anti-EU and extreme-right parties. 1/
It’s not that the far-right parties would be any more competent, of course - they’d no doubt be worse - but they could easily make electoral gains off the deadly incompetence of current governing parties. 2/
Add to that the fact that the EU institutions & member states have proven themselves unwilling to rein in rightist authoritarians in Hungary & Poland, providing a model to others across the bloc. 3/
“Vaccine nationalism” will likely only grow in the media, too, thus amplifying the problem. It’s a click attractor that media outlets will keep milking as they did with nationalist fear-frames over refugees in 2015. 4/
As it was back then, mainstream politicians would likely shift hard to mimic the far right. Voters who resented even sensible measures to counter the virus could be joined by mask-wearers exhausted of their good will, seeing that their governments have messed up so badly. 5/
Anger will likely also get a boost from the EU’s promotion of vaccine scarcity and the bloc's support of a longer pandemic - and more deaths - to boost big pharma’s profits. (blocking #TRIPSwaiver) 6/
People will realise EU taxpayers subsidised companies to develop the vaccines & paid for the doses. Then they had to wait as deliberately fabricated scarcity kept vaccines out of their reach for months, maybe years (at current roll-out rates in EU). 7/
In short, the far-right parties in the EU would seem to be standing in front of an open goal right now.
Thoughts?
8/8
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I know some folks in the human rights community get a bit annoyed with me when I bring in practicality-based arguments to convince people of the need for a human rights approach to a problem. But in my experience, legal and moral arguments don't convince all audiences.
Take the issue of torture, for example. You can explain that it's illegal in international & national law, and you can say that it's just wrong - and I agree, of course - but those arguments don't convince some people.
So, you also remind them that torture doesn't work: people will say anything to stop being tortured, whether it's true or not, so it doesn't deliver reliable information. And torture is also counter-productive: it acts as a recruiting poster for your country's enemies.
He: "As long as we get vaccinated here, it's good. If it takes a few extra years to vaccinate the developing world, too bad.”
Me: “The longer the virus spreads, the greater chance for a mutation to emerge that’s more deadly & to which the vaccine you had offers no protection.”
When we say, "we're all in this together", it's not just some hippie dippy wishful thinking.
You don't escape the threat of this global pandemic until we all do.
I'm not asking you to show empathy for others.
I'm asking you to be selfish & practical for yourself and your family.
The world needs to ramp up the production of approved vaccines massively.
The EU, UK, US & others have to stop blocking it at the World Trade Organization.
A longer pandemic hurts everyone, even those lucky enough to get one of the rare vaccines, because the longer the pandemic goes on, the more people die and the longer we all suffer from the economic damage of the pandemic.
In the five months that these governments have stonewalled at the WTO, another 1.5 million people have died of COVID-19.
How many more will die because of this unconscionable policy to restrict manufacturing & thus prolong the pandemic?
“The fact is that each additional day the vaccine shortage continues, people will pay with their lives.”
- Head of the World Trade Organisation reuters.com/article/us-tra…
The shortage is fabricated. It is the direct result of EU, US & others blocking wider production.
It doesn't have to be this way.
The EU, US, UK & others are blocking wider production of approved vaccines, creating a shortage that is prolonging the pandemic & will result in many more deaths & more economic destruction.
My first experiences of #InternationalWomensDay were in small-town Czechoslovakia (and then in both the 2 republics) in the early 1990s. It was not exactly a day that most women I knew there looked forward to...
Husbands would traditionally come home (possibly drunk) with flowers for wives. Then, they would try to cook dinner (thus reinforcing the traditional roles the other 364 days of the year). They'd make something inedible & leave a mess in the kitchen for the wife to clean up.
I seem to recall stories of deadly kitchen fires being reported, too - a bit like you hear of children losing fingers from fireworks on July 4th in the US - but I never knew anyone it happened to.
If the Nazis had been literal monsters - other-worldly creatures with tentacles on their faces or something - it would be much more comfortable being human.
But people prefer a historical narrative that's closer to the "monsters" idea, because it makes you feel better. A person thinks, there’s no possible way that I could ever be that or do that. Yet we share the same DNA. If you’re a human being, you are capable of monstrous things.
I’ve shared my draft novel with a few people, and because one theme in it concerns exactly this point - Nazi were made, not born; frighteningly human - they’ve told me it’s a “hard sell”.