Lying in the service of what you think is right is still lying. @ClimateOfGavin said nothing of the sort, and you should be ashamed for putting words in his mouth.

We can control the level of warming that occurs. While 1.5C is quite challenging, <2C is increasingly achievable.
Current policies adopted by countries put us on track for around 3ºC of warming by the end of the century, compared to the late 1800s. Including pledges and targets – such as those included in the Paris Agreement – brings this down to around 2.5ºC.
Countries representing around half of global emissions – including China – have pledged to reach net-zero by 2050 or 2060. If these longer term commitments are achieved, it would bring end-of-century warming down close to 2ºC.
Some caution is warranted here; long-term pledges should be discounted until reflected in short-term policy commitments. And warming could well be notably higher – or lower – than these best estimates given uncertainties in both climate sensitivity an carbon cycle feedbacks.
But it is much easier to see a viable pathway toward global emissions reductions that limit warming to well-below 2C today than even a few years ago.

Inaccurate statements that catastrophic warming is inevitable regardless of mitigation are both disempowering and wrong.
Thank you @ClimateBen for deleting the initial tweet. I respect your passion and concern about climate, even if we may disagree on a lot of issues. We just need to be really careful not to misrepresent the views of others.

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More from @hausfath

25 Feb
One of the best parts about writing for @CarbonBrief is the ability to do in-depth explainers about complex climate and energy issues. Here are a few of my favorites that I worked on over the years.

First up, explaining the shared socioeconomic pathways: carbonbrief.org/explainer-how-…
CMIP6, the next generation of climate models: carbonbrief.org/cmip6-the-next…
Understanding climate sensitivity: carbonbrief.org/explainer-how-…
Read 25 tweets
22 Feb
In recent months three different deep decarbonization scenarios have been produced from high-resolution grid integration models. In a new analysis at @TheBTI, my colleague @erikolsonn and I look at lessons they provide about what is needed: thebreakthrough.org/issues/energy/…

A thread: 1/19
The three models we examine are Princeton's Net Zero America (NZA) project (by @JesseJenkins et al), the @VibrantCE Zero By Fifty scenario, and results by a team of researchers led by Jim Williams at USF. 2/
All three take a deep-dive into how US could reach net-zero emissions by 2050, down to level of where each new generating facility might be located, where transmission lines would be built, and how electricity sources can meet hourly demand in different regions of the country 3/
Read 21 tweets
20 Feb
There is some truth in Gates's suggestion that making new clean energy tech cheap for can be more important than deploying existing clean tech.

But it neglects the fact that a big part of making clean tech cheap is deployment: driving economies of scale and learning-by-doing.
We should recognize the need to do both: accelerate the deployment of existing clean tech to further drive down costs (particularly for more nascent clean tech like EVs that are on the cusp of cost-competitiveness with fossil alternatives) AND dramatically scale up RD&D.
The quote in the original post is from @yayitsrob's excellent interview in the @TheAtlantic this week: theatlantic.com/science/archiv…
Read 5 tweets
18 Feb
Geoengineering is not a solution to climate change, and at best might be a "break the glass in case of emergency"-type bandaid to buy us time.

That said, I disagree with Bill here that small-scale research projects will "take the heat off" of the push for decarbonization. 1/5
Here is where I could see geoengineering playing a role: say, at some point in the future we have gotten our emissions under control, but climate sensitivity was high and we've locked in 2.5-3C warming even though we thought we would limit warming to 2C. 2/5
We discover some previously unknown planetary-scale climate feedback mechanism with hysteresis that will lead to substantial additional warming if temperatures remain >2.5C. We need to actively suck lots of CO2 from the atmosphere to get temperatures down to safe levels. 3/5
Read 5 tweets
17 Feb
There has been a lot of confusion over the drivers of the Texas blackouts. While more will become clear in the coming days, neither renewables nor insufficient gas capacity were the culprits. Rather, it was the lack of resiliency of to extreme cold conditions.

A thread: 1/9
Texas has seen an explosion of cheap wind power in recent years. Wind now produces around 20% of Texas' electricity. However, at the same time Texas has also been building a lot of gas capacity; gas generally works well with wind, able to quickly ramp up to fill in gaps. 2/
Because it is intermittent, the grid manager @ERCOT_ISO does not rely much on wind to meet extreme demand events such as the one we are experiencing right now. Rather, they have enough gas (and nuclear/coal) capacity on standby just in case high demand coincides with low wind. 3/
Read 9 tweets
15 Feb
Much of the US is experiencing extreme cold temperatures. But we should not read too much into this when it comes to climate change; its both not an unusual day for global temperatures, and there is not much evidence that climate change is making cold extremes more common.
We can see that while the US and part of Russia are exceptionally cold at the moment, other parts of the world have much warmer than average temperatures. A warming world is still one with regional weather variability!
At the same time, there has been a strong decrease in the number of extreme cold events in many parts of the world. Today's event feels so extreme in part because its become much rarer in recent decades. (@RARohde has a good graph of this, but I can't seem to dig it up)
Read 8 tweets

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