While I welcome the joint statement & am pleased the US joined, it will mean nothing without material actions to support it. Repression in Egypt hasn't continued unabated since 2014 for lack of statements

A thread on what works & what hasn't #HRC46

reuters.com/article/egypt-…
For years Western govts condemned the repression & violence visited on Egyptians by their govt. Many of those same govts have continued to send assistance to Cairo, sell weapons to Egypt & invite Sisi to state visits in their capitals while refusing to condition support on rights
Macron criticized human rights violations shortly before awarding Sisi, said rights violator, his nation's highest honor all while rejecting calls that he condition support on human rights

Actions like these aren't a mixed signal they're a clear signal

france24.com/en/live-news/2…
The message to Egypt is: we must criticize rights violations for a domestic audience but it's not a real priority

That's why while Western govts scraped the bottom of their thesaurus for different ways to express 'concern,' aid & arms flow as uninterrupted as Egypt's repression
How could Egyptian leaders reach another conclusion? Why would they entertain a change in practice if there is almost never any serious material pressure for them to change? They & their predecessors have spent decades ignoring most rights complaints & continue to receive support
If the 31 govts who signed the joint statement want to truly improve the rights situation in Egypt they need to put their money where their mouth is.

They must pursue a transactional relationship with Egypt, that attaches conditions for every bit of support they provide the govt
Every weapons deal, every loan, every grant, every state visit can and should come with clear & specific conditions

Egypt's partners won't force Egypt to become a liberal democracy. That's for Egyptians to decide, but they can start to chip away at the scale of the repression
It's not only bilateral aid that can be conditioned. Countries like the US have huge sway over international financial institutions like the IMF & EBRD who have poured tens of billions of dollars into Egypt over past several yrs with no real governance conditions. That can change
Which types of conditions could be considered?

An end to the abuse of pre-trial detentions for political prisoners who spend years without trial in custody

An end to the arrest of journalists

An end to terrorism charges for political critics

An end to blocking websites
Not all conditions need be political

There can also be conditions on economic governance & service provision. If Egypt can afford to be one of the world's largest arms importers it can afford to vaccinate its poor for free & yet it doesn't plan to

carnegieendowment.org/sada/83933
Lending should be responsible. Saying your goal is to achieve inclusive sustainable private sector led growth doesn't replace putting policies & conditions in place that make that a reality. There are ways to acheive this

bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
If Egypt's partners want their concerns about human rights in Egypt to be taken seriously they must act seriously.

Rolling out the red carpet while showering the regime with money, weapons and praise will dwarf the occasional semi-sternly worded statement.
For clarity, I don’t support conditionality that I don’t believe the regime will ultimately accept if pressed.

My goal isn’t to limit Egyptians’ access to resources. It’s to ensure those resources benefit Egyptians as much as possible rather than primarily the ruling elite.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Timothy E Kaldas

Timothy E Kaldas Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @tekaldas

7 Dec 20
THREAD: President Macron's comments on human rights in Egypt at today's press conference with President Sisi were appalling for a variety of reasons. He propped up Sisi's untenable effort to connect repression to the fight against extremism when we all know this to be untrue.
Macron's decision to include in his brief comments about the abysmal rights situation in Egypt acknowledgement of Egypt's fight against extremists bolsters Egypt's false claims that their repression is linked to counterterrorism. France knows this is untrue.
The human rights defenders Macron claims he freed ahead of Sisi visit were arrested after meeting with many western diplomats including French. Their arrests had nothing to do with counterterrorism. Their work exposes discrimination against LGBTQ Egyptians & religious minorities
Read 10 tweets
21 Jun 20
For everyone making assertions about whether Egypt will intervene more directly in Libya, the truth is of course we don't know. There's no denying that Libya is viewed by Cairo as its largest external security threat and has built up capacity lest it be required to intervene.
Indeed, I suspect planners in Cairo themselves are not yet certain which course of action will be taken. There are clear risks & for now the hope appears to be some bellicosity & flexing may discourage Turks from overstepping but these flexes shouldn't be easily dismissed either
The rules of engagement throughout the region have changed & the massive influx of arms (thx Europe & the US) has fueled expanding ambitions by many states seeking to advance their interests by force. For now, Egypt has limited its own actions on this front to supporting proxies
Read 6 tweets
11 Nov 19
Today Egypt's govt hosted a tour of its notorious Tora prison following a UN report saying conditions were abysmal & medical neglect risked lives of inmates, such as late former president Morsi. Event began with a red carpet ON a red carpet to a tent & then it got absurd - THREAD
While most of foreign press I spoke to said they weren't invited including major US papers, @AFP reporter @FaridYFarid got to attend & reported to us the details firsthand. He repeatedly requested access to prisoners & was declined. Read his thread
Guests got to watch inmates playing soccer on a manicured field wearing sneakers so white that have clearly seen the grass as often as many prisoners report seeing the sun, which is to say never. For those of you unfamiliar, nothing in Cairo stays that white once used.
Read 12 tweets
14 May 19
Maybe it's time to restate the obvious. Going to war with Iran wouldn't just be wrong, it would be exceptionally stupid. It would make the most disastrous military decision in modern US history, invading Iraq, look like a cake walk. This is for many obvious reasons listed below
Iran's population is triple that of Iraq's 2003 population. The US occupation struggled to ever properly secure consistent control over Iraq's population and secure the country for its citizens. Low estimates for civilian casualties of the war and occupation exceed 100,000 Iraqis
Iran is a far larger country. It covers quadruple Iraq's land mass w/complex mountainous terrain that, to effectively secure, wld require far more troops than Iraq. Remember with far fewer troops than needed, our occupations of Afghanistan & Iraq heavily strained US capacity
Read 17 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!