Vaccination in π§πͺ: How are is the country doing?
Let me walk through this as not all is what it seems
β¬οΈβ¬οΈβ¬οΈ
Let me walk through this as not all is what it seems
β¬οΈβ¬οΈβ¬οΈ
1/ As I explained yesterday:
β‘οΈπ§πͺ will get less doses than other πͺπΊ countries
β‘οΈπͺπΊ does not get the vaccines it expected
β‘οΈπ§πͺ will get less doses than other πͺπΊ countries
β‘οΈπͺπΊ does not get the vaccines it expected
https://twitter.com/Jean__Fisch/status/1370370831893864450
2/ There is simply nothing π§πͺ can do about this now. The maximal doses the country will received will allow to vaccinate
β‘οΈ13% by end of Mar
β‘οΈ38% by end of Jun
β‘οΈ13% by end of Mar
β‘οΈ38% by end of Jun
3/ These facts are no longer under our control and comparisons with other countries are pointless except if one likes to cry over spilt milk
Once we accept this, we can then look at how π§πͺ is performing in rolling out its available vaccines
Once we accept this, we can then look at how π§πͺ is performing in rolling out its available vaccines
4/ So what are measures of the performance of the π§πͺ vaccination campaing. There are four measures in fact:
1. How quickly do we get the jabs in the arm?
2. How much waste do we have?
3. How much of the jabs end up in priority groups?
4. How many people pick up the vaccines?
1. How quickly do we get the jabs in the arm?
2. How much waste do we have?
3. How much of the jabs end up in priority groups?
4. How many people pick up the vaccines?
5/ Speed to arm: At the moment, we need ~18 days to achieve this. Is this good?
Taking into account that we still need 1 week of stock to buffer off the volatility of supplies, getting it into the arm in 10 days is ok but could be reduced
Taking into account that we still need 1 week of stock to buffer off the volatility of supplies, getting it into the arm in 10 days is ok but could be reduced
6/ Wastage: Figures were indicating 18,000 doses being lost (and this was challenged recently as being far too high).
WHichever, this means that less than 2% are lost
This is actually not bad at all given that the UK was planning with 5%
WHichever, this means that less than 2% are lost
This is actually not bad at all given that the UK was planning with 5%
7/ How many jabs end up in priority groups is more difficult to assess at the moment
The order of priority includes "1st line healt and care workers" which are not age bound and there is no info
Later in the campaign, it will be easier to assess this based on age information
The order of priority includes "1st line healt and care workers" which are not age bound and there is no info
Later in the campaign, it will be easier to assess this based on age information
8/ Number of people picking up the vaccine offer: AFAIK, there is unfortunately no information or even estimate on about it
Is this correct @sciensano, @brechtdv?
Is this correct @sciensano, @brechtdv?
9/ Besides @sciensano, I know of three other really good sources for following and assessing the vaccination progress in π§πͺ:
@jorisvaesen / covid-vaccinatie.be/en
@Tommy_Thijs
@BartMesuere
@jorisvaesen / covid-vaccinatie.be/en
@Tommy_Thijs
@BartMesuere
10/ In summary, if we are to make progress, we need to accept the shortage of vaccines and focus on how to make the best of what we have
So let's focus on:
1/ Time to arm
2/ Wastage
3/ % doses in priority groups
4/ % of people taking up vaccine offer
/END/
So let's focus on:
1/ Time to arm
2/ Wastage
3/ % doses in priority groups
4/ % of people taking up vaccine offer
/END/
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