Covid in 🇧🇪: The situation is going in the wrong direction

⬇️⬇️⬇️
1/ The incidence rate in 🇧🇪 is not on the up in all regions
2/ The increase in incidence is not an effect from increased testing

Testing is essentially stable yet cases are increasing (cf. the red line which gives the difference between the two)
3/ Hospital admissions are now on the up in all 🇧🇪 regions
4/ Brussels continues to be on another planet in terms of hospital admissions in 🇧🇪

I doubt now that this is solely an effect of hospitals being active in Brabant and Brussels which concentrate their Covid patients in Brussels
5/ Conclusion?
➡️Pressure felt since 2 wks is taking over in 🇧🇪
➡️2 possible reasons
a) Growing % of + contagious / severe #B117 variant
b) Recent relaxations in the contact sector "tipping the balance"
➡️Whichever it is, any further relaxation becomes ever so harder for the Gov

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More from @Jean__Fisch

14 Mar
Vaccination in 🇧🇪: How are is the country doing?

Let me walk through this as not all is what it seems

⬇️⬇️⬇️
1/ As I explained yesterday:

➡️🇧🇪 will get less doses than other 🇪🇺 countries
➡️🇪🇺 does not get the vaccines it expected

2/ There is simply nothing 🇧🇪 can do about this now. The maximal doses the country will received will allow to vaccinate

➡️13% by end of Mar
➡️38% by end of Jun

Read 11 tweets
12 Mar
Vaccination in 🇧🇪: More delays were announced and there is real confusion about what Belgian really ordered. So here a thread on

/ Supply and deliveries
/ Likely vaccination plan
/ Immunization plan

The result is not cheerful but a reset requires facing the harsh reality⬇️⬇️⬇️
First things first: 🇧🇪 ordered less than others for 2021

We took
- 50% of 1st Moderna Contract (2m not 4m)
- 50% of 2nd Moderna Contract (3.8 not 7.8m) of which 50% is delivered in S2 2021 (rest in 2022)
- 50% of Curevac (2.9m not 5.8m)

1/N Image
Let's reuse the graph for some side comments

/ 🇬🇧 invested boldly in AZ and this pays off at the moment

/ 🇩🇪 got the surplus of other EU countries (NB: there is still an element of estimation: actual could be slightly lower in the end)

/ 🇳🇱 puts more emphasis on J&J

2/N Image
Read 10 tweets

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