1/ @APDillon_ @PeteKaliner @Chad_Adams NC SC-2 data post for 2/9/21 w/comparison to 2/2/21 in parentheses unless otherwise noted. I’m still playing catch-up; will try to be within 2 week window within a week!
2/ But FIRST, let me preface data w/ this: as of 3/9, there are ~26,484 active Covid cases in ALL of NC. This means 0.252% of NC pop has Covid. Said in a different way, 99.747% of NC population does NOT have Covid; that’s roughly 10.463 MILLION people who don’t have Covid.
3/ Via NCDHHS, on 2/9 there were 802,065 (+) cases (⬆️ 37,837) & 730,454 recovered cases (⬆️ 46,757), 10,894 deaths (⬆️ 359), w/2,297 hospitalized (⬇️ 426). There were 60,717 active cases in NC (⬇️ 9,279). NCDHHS continues to backfill/edit tests on their dashboard back ~1 month
4/ (which ⬇️ positivity rate) & edits death data back ~6 months, & is 2 wks behind on case demographic data.
Recovery rate & active case rate continue trending in right direction for 4th consec wk. Hospitals aren’t near capacity. NOTE: as of 3/13/21, vent availability is 75%,
Recovery rate & active case rate continue trending in right direction for 4th consec wk. Hospitals aren’t near capacity. NOTE: as of 3/13/21, vent availability is 75%,
5/ ICU bed availability is 25% at worst (48% at best), and inpatient bed availability is 28% at worst (40% at best). The Duke Health region (DHPC) has 16 ICU beds available while the CapRAC region has 33 ICU beds available, if unstaffed beds aren’t opened up.
6/ Avg wkly incid ⬆️ from 9.8% to 10.1%. 91.1% recovered (⬆️ 1.6%), 1.36% deaths (⬇️ 0.02%) & 7.57% active cases (⬇️ 1.6%). Out of 9,344,477 completed tests there were 802,065 (+) cases, w/8.58% overall incid (⬆️ 0.03%); 13th ⬆️ in overall incid in 13 wks.
7/ Prevalence is 7.65% (⬆️ 0.36%).
On 2/9 there were 2,786 (+) cases out of 42,066 tests, w/6.62% incidence. Rolling 14-day incidence avg is 9.95% (⬇️ 0.47%). Avg deaths per day = 51.29 (⬇️ 23). 43.45% of all deaths in NC are in congregate settings (SNF, RCF, CF) - ⬆️ 0.51%).
On 2/9 there were 2,786 (+) cases out of 42,066 tests, w/6.62% incidence. Rolling 14-day incidence avg is 9.95% (⬇️ 0.47%). Avg deaths per day = 51.29 (⬇️ 23). 43.45% of all deaths in NC are in congregate settings (SNF, RCF, CF) - ⬆️ 0.51%).
8/ For 0-17 yrs, 12% of all cases have been ID’d w/3 deaths overall. For 18-24 yrs, 14% of all cases have been ID’d, w/12 deaths overall.
CFR = 1.37%, mortality rate = 0.104% (⬆️ 0.005%). If all NC active cases were solely in Wake County, incidence would be 5.36% (⬇️ 0.82%).
CFR = 1.37%, mortality rate = 0.104% (⬆️ 0.005%). If all NC active cases were solely in Wake County, incidence would be 5.36% (⬇️ 0.82%).
9/ At quick glance, avg wkly incidence is ~10.3% over last 3 wks, overall & avg wkly incidence & prevalence ⬆️. Avg daily incidence, # of active cases, hospitalizations, & deaths/day ⬇️.
I believe we are continuing to see testing of true (+) patients & seasonality of this virus
I believe we are continuing to see testing of true (+) patients & seasonality of this virus
10/ (typical w/pneumonia & flu too). NCDHHS website shows curves w/previous yrs’ flu data as compared to Covid. The curves reflect what I stated 7 wks ago - seasonality & practically non-existent flu this year. They also show curves between NC regions that are almost identical,
11/ both in NC & throughout USA. The website also shows age groups admitted to hospital w/Covid, but fails to show comorbidities w/these age groups.
12/ Continued NCDHHS website issues: not showing # recovered/incorporating into stats, recovery #’s by demographics, differentiation b/w symptomatic/asymptomatic cases, deaths/hospitalizations w/comorbidities, & rolling 14-day incid avg. NC uses PCR Ct ~37; high % of false (+).
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