Omar Wasow Profile picture
15 Mar, 4 tweets, 2 min read
“Prior to 1990, virtually no Americans identified in public opinion surveys as non-religious. By the time we get to the year 2000, you’re talking about 14% to 15% of the population. That is a huge change.” religionnews.com/2021/03/12/all…
“30 years ago, about 1 in 20 Americans had no religious affiliation. Now, it’s roughly 1 in 4.” religionnews.com/2021/03/12/all…
In experiments, subjects read ”news stories about mixing religion with politics.” There were no effects for Republicans but ”Democrats showed a clear aversion. When surveyed the second time, their rate of religious affiliation had dropped by 13 points.” religionnews.com/2021/03/12/all…
For Democrats, “this is a brewing storm. Secular activists are a large number of grassroots volunteers. Black and Latino voters are often highly religious. Can the party hold together, given religious & secular voters often have very different priorities?” religionnews.com/2021/03/12/all…

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More from @owasow

3 Mar
”By the end of Klacik’s campaign, she would raise a staggering $8.3 million and pay nearly $3.7 million of it to Olympic Media. Klacik, now a frequent Fox News commentator, lost to Mfume in Maryland’s 7th District by more than 40 percentage points.” washingtonpost.com/local/md-polit…
”The company that produced the viral video would take a cut. And a firm hired to promote the video, Olympic Media, would keep up to 70% of the money it generated, some of which was not disclosed in Klacik’s initial campaign finance filings.” washingtonpost.com/local/md-polit…
”High-margin fundraising fees — sometimes in excess of 90% of a donor’s first contribution — have sucked resources out of conservative politics ever since the movement organized in the 1970s around the costly medium of direct mail.” washingtonpost.com/local/md-polit…
Read 4 tweets
27 Feb
People talk a lot about the threat of surveillance capitalism. The remarkable research in this thread highlights another threat: massive private data collection used as a tool of control by a surveillance state.
”Federal laws regulate how agencies can use Americans’ personal information, but they do not cover private databases, and federal law enforcement has increasingly turned to them for information it otherwise isn’t allowed to collect without a court order.” washingtonpost.com/technology/202…
”Customs and Border Protection uses cellphone location data without warrants to track people inside the country. The data is gathered through a mix of weather, gaming and other apps, then bundled and resold to marketers and federal agencies.” washingtonpost.com/technology/202…
Read 4 tweets
10 Feb
”Economic anxiety” arguments haven’t held up well but this is noteworthy: ”The group’s bankruptcy rate — 18% —was nearly twice as high as US public. A quarter of them had been sued for money owed to a creditor. And 1 in 5 of them faced losing their home…” washingtonpost.com/business/2021/…
”Nearly 60% of people facing charges related to Capitol riot showed signs of prior money troubles, including bankruptcies, notices of eviction or foreclosure, bad debts, or unpaid taxes over past two decades according to an analysis of 125 defendants…” washingtonpost.com/business/2021/…
Private jet lady? ”Ryan had struggled financially for years. She was still paying off a $37,000 lien for unpaid federal taxes. She’d nearly lost her home to foreclosure before that. She filed for bankruptcy in 2012 and faced another IRS tax lien in 2010.” washingtonpost.com/business/2021/…
Read 8 tweets
8 Feb
”We are now potentially dealing with a problem of *mass radicalization*. We’re not talking about the case of a few people that got themselves caught up in an extremist milieu and then radicalized. We’re potentially talking about millions of people.” npr.org/2021/02/08/964…
One response to this tweet a few days ago was to dismiss the idea of ”mass radicalization.” Yes, it’s unlikely millions of citizens are going to engage in violent insurrection against the US. That definition is too narrow, though. Radicalization isn’t just about violence.
In any movement, people who commit violence will tend be a small percentage of the group. That in no way precludes millions from sharing a radical ideology, endorsing violent tactics, using violent rhetoric, dehumanizing outgroups and working to undermine democratic institutions.
Read 13 tweets
7 Feb
”Microhousing allows people to live in places they’d otherwise be priced out of; but Seattle’s policies thwart this low-cost home type.” The city has mostly ”killed off congregate housing as a source of more affordable market-rate homes.” sightline.org/2021/02/04/whe… via @danbertolet
It’s not just Seattle that uses zoning regulations to restrict access to affordable, market rate microhousing. Los Angeles could benefit enormously from better zoning policy, too. See this thread summarizing a paper on the benefits of micro-units for LA.
We can do better. “Tokyo saw construction of 145,000 new housing units started in 2018—more than NY, LA, Houston & Boston combined. Nationally, Japan has managed to add close to same amount of new housing as US, despite having about half the population.” reason.com/2019/04/02/nim…
Read 7 tweets
6 Feb
Talking about racism is not the same as saying something racist. The meaning and power of statements also depends on their content, context and intentions of the speaker. Patterns matter, too. There may be more here than we know but, by those criteria, this is not proportionate.
A decade ago Harry Reid was in hot water for saying Sen. Barack Obama had better chances of winning the presidency because he was “light-skinned” and didn't speak with a ”Negro dialect.” Then as now, I argued for looking at content, context and intention. theroot.com/why-michael-st…
Reid’s language was archaic but the substance of his statement was White voters have biases that favor Black candidates who look & talk more like White people. First, this is *describing* racism, not endorsing it. Second, social science shows he was right. theroot.com/was-harry-reid…
Read 5 tweets

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