These kind of stories are important for us in technology, because they really illustrate the disconnect between our perception and the public's perception. wired.co.uk/article/footba…
Most of my direct friends have advanced degrees, or at least a fairly developed understanding of statistics to be able to look at schemes like this and understand prima facie that this is a scam.
But overwhelmingly, the majority of the general public cannot. These things are financial and technical black boxes that make specious claims of impossible returns and target people's base instincts using technology to amplify addiction and hack the dopamine process.
And so much of our industry these days is based purely on creating Skinner boxes designed to incrementally extract money from the public based on negative sum gambling. It's become an epidemic here in the UK, and most of the world is not all the much different.
Regulators will never do anything about these kind of businesses because they don't have the political will or mechanism to do so. The burden of protecting society from worst excesses ultimately falls on technologists, whether we like it not.
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When we do diligence on investment schemes, it's not all that different then when we analyze functions in computer programming. We're interested in the cash inputs, cash outputs, and the expected return on investment. 🧵
When you invest in a burrito company, they make burritos. They sell the burritos to the public for more than it costs to produce the burrito and that makes a profit. The profits go back into the business to expand the business or pay back shareholders.
If you run a good business, the public gets fed, the employees get paid, and the shareholders see a return. This is a very vanilla investment that forms the basis of our market economy.
Today let's discuss why #bitcoin is a rubbish investment and a why for most people it's simply a way to light a bunch of money on fire just like gambling on the roulette wheel. 🧵 (1/)
Last week we talked about why the underlying faux-innovation of blockchain is a technical mirage constructed by consultants to snake oil, and which most software engineers don't take seriously. (2/)
If we toss out the unscalable technology, the weird anti-state political fantasies and the toxic subculture around bitcoin and just focus on the pure fundamentals of it as an financial asset class like any other we find it's really quite terrible. (3/)
Today we’re going to talk about "the blockchain" and why it’s one of the dumbest most harmful faux innovations to ever come out of the tech industry. (1/) 🧵
Last week we talked about #bitcoin climate change denialism, the fallacy of whataboutism, and comparisons to the financial services sector. (2/)
The common talking point among policy makers is that while bitcoin is boiling the oceans and is nothing but a predatory get rich quick scheme for siphoning money from fools—the underlying technology "the blockchain" is revolutionary tech that will transform global commerce. (3/)
Today let's deconstruct the argument concerning bitcoin's absurd energy waste compared to the financial services sector, because this is a very silly bait and switch argument comparing apples and oranges. 🧵 (1/)
Last week I discussed why #Bitcoin is a conspiracy cult based on anarchist fantasies, populist resentment and the idolatry of greed. (2/)
So the common argument for the energy waste of PoW mining goes something like this:
> Bitcoin uses less power than the global financial system. Therefore we should stake our horse to the new financial system rather than the legacy one. Because bankers are bad.
Q: What do you get when you mix Silicon Valley tech bros, multi-level marketing, Gamergate and the Church of Scientology?
A: #Bitcoin
Today we'll discuss the most toxic subculture in software, the football hooligans of tech. 🧵 (1/)
Last week I wrote about the shady underworld of crypto exchanges and their connection to organized crime. It wont come as a shock to anyone that the clientele of these casinos also have a certain smell.
First, let's discuss the cause of the disease and then we'll discuss the symptoms. A crypto asset doesn't do anything productive like a company does, nor is it useful for anything other than speculation on randomness. (3/)
The business model of cryptocurrency exchanges is simple:
You have real money, the exchange has digital poker chips. They take your real money in exchange for letting you gamble on rigged games and they pinky promise they'll let you redeem chips. Except when they don't. (3/)