Thread by @anonfmresident

Good Morning
@Ableg
here is your #shandemic report for 2021-3-16 beginning with Monster @AdrianaLaGrange
mismanagement of Schools, Shandemics actual's negligence and concluding with the now 3 variant found in Alberta as part of the mutant threat report.

(Change) info mostly from
@SOSAlberta
Schools with/had COVID cases 1245 (+2)
Last 2 weeks 274 (-3)
One case or Pre-Alert 84 (-10)
Alert (2-4) 109 (+3)
Tier 1 Outbreak (4-9) 52 (+4)
Lagrange Lvl Outbreak (10+) 28 (+1)
Closed 23 (+4)
Active cases 1106 (+89)
Transmissions 194

All in all the numbers for schools are relatively flat. This is not really good news as we continue to see schools reach the LaGrange point of more than 10 cases and 4 more have been closed. Large HS (ME Lazerte YEG) continue to be the hardest hit. Class size is critical.

Infection rates are currently at about 1/3 the december rate during the worst of it but they are again trending upward.

Outside of schools numbers continue to be flat with few obvious trends observable other than the decline appears to have halted. Currently
138,788 Total cases
364 new cases
1,949 Deaths
4,811 Active cases
255 In hospital
42 In intensive care

Lookin at the past week (trend)
New cases avg 355/day (+ slight)
Deaths 4/day (+)
Active cases (+ slight)
Hospitalization (flat)
ICU (+ notable)

Finally the new variants, where we are seeing the most significant trends and they are not good. Current
B.1.1.7 (UK variant) +65 now 947
B.1.351 (South African variant) 16
P.1 (Brazilian variant) 2

B.1.1.7 is the most concerning with new and growing cases daily. Two weeks ago there were 430 cases so there is growing evidence we are seeing a doubling every 2 weeks. There is also unconfirmed reports that it is taking up to two weeks for variants to be identified.

Vaccinations can still arrest the trend but if it continues we are looking at third wave of more contagious variants.
>2k Cases by the end of March
>10K cases by the end of April