Yan Qin Profile picture
17 Mar, 5 tweets, 2 min read
👇Power trading in China

🇨🇳energy regulator announced 5 new Spot trading pilots, adding to previous 8 pilots since 2017.

In 2020, 8 pilots have all tested full-month continuous settlement, and will start with longer period trial spot trading this year.
NDRC announced the expansion of spot trading pilots at spot market weekly work meeting on 9 March.

In addition to 5 new pilots, it also aim to build regional power markets in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and Southern (led by Guangdong).

shoudian.bjx.com.cn/html/20210317/…
Total generating capacity in the 13 spot trading pilots will account for more than half of China's power fleet.

=1275 GW ( incl. 800 thermal, 150 wind, 130 solar)

That said, not all types of generators are allowed in the pilot spot trading.
Medium-to-long term power trading is still dominant in China's power sector.

But the expansion of spot pilots is a positive sign, following Gansu's suspension early 2021.

I discussed earlier Guangdong's spot trading results:
linkedin.com/pulse/china-sp…
Nevertheless it remains to be seen how the 13 spot trading pilots proceed further, given the challenges seen in test trading incl. priority generation, imbalance fees, biased low spot prices,

A good summary by China Energy News:
paper.people.com.cn/zgnyb/html/202…

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More from @YanQinyq

8 Mar
⚡️ China Nuclear power capacity Outlook:

2025: 70 GW, from draft 14th Five-Year plan

2030: 110 GW, China Nuclear Energy Association
2035: 180 GW, CNCC proposal
2050: 327 GW, Tsinghua ICCSD low carbon scenarios
🇨🇳Nuclear power plants locate mostly in coastal regions.

By Dec. 2020, there are 48 reactors with total operating capacity of 49.89 GW according to CEC.

Note some put capacity at 51 GW, depends on whether testing capacities are counted (I was told so...)
🇨🇳2021 Government Work Report states 'Safely and Orderly development of nuclear power', most positive tone in near 10 years...

China 14th FYP sets target of 70 GW nuclear capacity by 2025:
'Safely and steady development of coastal nuclear plants'
Read 12 tweets

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