Just as we are abandoning the frame of left/right (as ODNI did recently), we should limit the use of “nation state” as a frame for influence campaigns.

No country is a monolith; each country contains factional networks of power that exert influence internally and abroad.
This is one reason why “Russian meddling” was such a bad paradigm for understanding what has happened the last several years.

It was a networked operation containing Americans, Russians, Brits, French, Germans, Poles, Hungarians, Italians, Australians, Chinese, Iranians.
We need to focus on mapping out power networks and how they persist over time. Trump is a symptom, and is NOT the seat of power. The plutocrat network will persist in 20, 50 years. The question is whether it will have captured all democracies by then, or indeed if it already has?
One template might be the idea of "Advanced Persistent Threats" used in the realm of cybersecurity. Powerful global factions map fairly well onto this model, though care must be taken to use describe factually in terms of long-term motives vs. a context of automatic demonization.

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More from @davetroy

19 Mar
Occupy -> Pizzagate -> Unity4J -> QAnon. Missing a few key people here but it’s ok, they know who they are. 🇷🇺 🇺🇸 🇦🇺 🇩🇪 🇫🇮

The rot is deep.
What you should take away from this is that these operations are all interlinked. The misdirection is any suggestion they are separate. These people, and others, are the link.
And the entire Seth Rich lie too. Many ridiculous things over the last 10 years can be traced back to this band of bad faith actors.
Read 9 tweets
17 Mar
THREAD: Trying an experiment. There are maybe a few key themes in the realm of “metapolitics” that determine how history and politics actually play out. Get to know them. Here’s a primer.

Philosophically, do you prefer:
Do you think intelligence collection should be performed:
Do you prefer nationalism and bilateral alliances, or broad multilateral alliances?
Read 17 tweets
13 Mar
I’m writing this series that explains the “Big History” behind January 6th — and the real story spans decades. Here’s what happened, and why—and importantly, how we might keep it from happening again. This is Part 1 of 6. More soon!

davetroy.medium.com/the-big-histor…
Part 3 is now available. Please read + share!
davetroy.medium.com/the-big-histor…
Read 6 tweets
7 Mar
Always ask, “What do they think they are doing?” rather than what makes sense to you as an analyst. This is what they thought they were doing then, and it’s what they think they are doing now.
Maj. Gen. Jack Singlaub, who was behind all of this Bircher gold stuff, nominated Flynn as his successor. Here is Flynn praising him and accepting an award in his name in 2018. Singlaub is alive and 99 years old.

c-span.org/video/?451354-…
QAnon is nothing more than the weaponization of the public in the service of the agenda of the John Birch Society. This goes back to 1933.
Read 6 tweets
3 Mar
💥THREAD: On Monday I showed how January 6 and QAnon were part of the same operation. This is also connected to a schism in the Catholic Church driven in part by Steve Bannon and Michael Flynn. This explosive information needs to spread fast.
americanart.si.edu/artwork/inner-…
2/On March 22, 2000, the conceptual artist Mark Lombardi was found dead in his Brooklyn apartment of apparent suicide. He documented the connections between the Bush family, the Bin Ladens, the Vatican, and the CIA. He was focused on BCCI and Iran-Contra.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mark_Lomb…
3/Specifically he learned that BCCI had been used as a money laundering channel for anti-communist operations funded by the Vatican and CIA, specifically operations run by Maj. Gen. JACK SINGLAUB. Including Iran-Contra.
Read 17 tweets
2 Mar
One reason why Iran-Contra had such poor outcomes in terms of bringing people to justice is that the story was a complicated mess.

January 6 has that same feature, and it was done by the same people. For justice to be served, we need to tell a story that makes sense.
This requires more than just getting the names and places right, it requires us creating an oral narrative that assists with sense-making in real-time, and breaks us out of our existing frames. That's why building conversation about this is so key.
And it's why I'm hosting this session with Anne Nelson tomorrow. We have already personally invited many reporters who are working on this, but you can help us get the word out. Please share with interested reporters + writers. March 3, 2pm ET.

Zoom:
bit.ly/jan6infoqa
Read 4 tweets

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