Sincere thanks to @jbloom_lab who has taken a lot of heat recently for raising the lab leak hypothesis and for defending me, a “conspiracy peddler” according to some scientists.
Also many thanks to @canardbruno and @DecrolyE who have been publicly discussing the lab leak hypothesis and were among the first to point out the unique furin cleavage site and why it is concerning that it was missed in the WIV’s first papers on COVID-19.
And of course @R_H_Ebright for having to fight hard for scientists to take a lab leak origin of SARS2 seriously since all the way back in Jan 2020 sciencemag.org/news/2020/01/m…
Saw this today - thank you for advocating for an intelligent discussion of the origins of COVID-19 @DFisman 🇨🇦
And this today too @mlipsitch on @alisonannyoung article about the real risks of lab accidents involving pathogens with pandemic potential. This is a problem that affects just about every human being on the planet.
Also great thanks to @ras_nielsen for speaking to the challenges that experts face in calling for a credible and transparent investigation into possible lab leak, which was conflated with conspiracy theories since the beginning. bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
And thank you to @vaxine_news 🇦🇺 who faced a great deal of pushback for raising concerns that the virus might have lab origins undark.org/2021/03/17/lab…
Last but definitely not least @DavidRelman thank you for putting this point forward, to the scientific community especially, that the origin of COVID-19 isn’t a question we can afford to leave unanswered.
The point I’m making to other scientists is that if you think a credible, independent investigation into possible lab origins of COVID-19 is necessary, you are in exceedingly good company.
Please be confident in making your own independent threads or statements on this matter!
I’m very happy to add more tweets or threads to this list if they’re made by top experts explicitly calling for an investigation or a serious discussion of the lab leak hypothesis and the natural spillover hypothesis.
Even if an independent investigation cannot be organized in the near future, I think it is entirely achievable and worthwhile to organize a public conference where reputable journalists and scientists present their analysis on the origins of COVID-19.
I kind of expected this day to come, but still surprised that it actually arrived.
I'm going to do a quick FAQ🧵 for the public (both scientists & non-scientists) who are just hearing about the possibility of COVID-19 / SARS-CoV-2 having emerged from lab or research activities.
Is it racist to ask whether COVID-19 emerged from a lab or from the wildlife trade in China? No.
Have racist people asked the question above? Yes.
More importantly, will people call you a racist if you ask whether COVID-19 emerged from a lab or from the wildlife trade in China?
Unfortunately, yes, it is quite likely they will call you a racist and more.
And yes, even if you're Asian, you could be called a race traitor.
Going to do a serious thread on the new TWIV episode released today because it raises so many commonly held opinions on why #laborigins#labescape of COVID-19 was (extremely) unlikely.
I'm very, very glad that TWIV gets the obvious strawman out of the way immediately.
Very few experts - I can't think of any off the top of my head - are claiming that SARS2 was completely, magically designed from no similar virus in nature.
Got a clue for the #OriginsofCOVID#PopsicleOrigins hypothesis:
At the 15:00 min mark Peter Daszak says they’ve got really good cold chain from remote sampling sites back to the labs - at least 16,000 bat samples collected.
Finally found a source of the myth going around that 3% of people in Yunnan have SARS antibodies and millions of people are getting bat viruses each year. This is a miscommunication. See the actual paper only surveying people living close to caves where SARS detected...
In contrast to the interview, the paper says “2.7% seropositivity for the high risk group of residents living in close proximity to bat colonies suggests that spillover is a relatively rare event” albeit some sero(+) could’ve faded in this high risk group. ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P…
I think this piece by Charles @schmidtwriting was particularly well written because of how balanced it is. There were parts that I didn't like and had to grapple with. A lot has happened in the last year since I started looking into the evidence surrounding the #OriginsofCOVID
It comes at a time when the WHO-China team is expected to release their full report in the coming week(s). And @JamieMetzl and ~two dozen scientists (me too!) have posted a letter in the @WSJ pointing out major major flaws in the WHO-China not-an-investigation joint mission.
Dear @NPR@FoodieScience it's become quite clear to me that you need help with researching what questions to ask the WHO-China team and SARS experts. Please reach out. I can also recommend top experts of indisputable renown that you should be interviewing. npr.org/sections/goats…
Linfa Wang says there were SARS2-positive samples in the live animal section - were these the environmental samples that have already been analyzed, suggesting introduction by an infected human into the Huanan seafood market, rather than any on-site animal to human spillover?
Because we have no idea when SARS2 / COVID-19 actually emerged in Wuhan, and 2019 case numbers may have been drastically under-reported, it's worthwhile to revisit reports of suspected COVID-19 cases in 2019 that were super strange in early 2020: leparisien.fr/international/…
In Wuhan the "Military World Games - nearly 10,000 athletes representing 100 nations - took place from October 18 to 27" 2019.
Spokesperson for "Chinese Foreign Ministry, hinted on Twitter on March 12 that the coronavirus may have been introduced by the US delegation"
Back in early 2020, when I read about this, I thought it was completely out-there - that it was just people who had seasonal flu or common cold and were alarmed by reports of the novel COVID-19 coronavirus.
But now the covid-19 timeline has extended back to possibly Sep 2019...