Ever since this goal happened, I've been feeling really uncomfortable about the options Maguire and Fred both had on the ball here. Fred's pass is obviously inexcusable, but I couldn't fathom how something like this could even be allowed to happen, so I took a closer look (1/6)
Firstly- Maguire has the ball and the back 4 is completely flat. Matic makes a run in behind Iheanacho, making himself unavailable for the ball.
Pretty much any other passing option but Fred means the ball will end up back at his feet. (2/6)
Next, Fred receives. He has four options- a weak-footed pass to AWB, a one-touch swing to Telles (who is adjusting his socks instead of showing for the ball), a straight-up clearance out of play, or the pass back to Henderson. A bad pass, but not the worst decision (3/6)
Now, look back at Leicester's initial shape. They *want* the ball to go out to the fullbacks because they're lateral and won't have any real options besides passing back to Maguire (4/6)
I think Matic needs to drop into the back three. Lindelof can push wider on the right and thus Telles and AWB can push forward. If Leicester maintain shape, United then have two open progressive options. If they move wide to mark Telles/AWB, they leave space in the middle (5/6)
I feel like the "box shape" United create so often with the CBs and DMs in 1st phase is so poor, and while Fred's pass is terrible, United's shape made his life a lot harder here. Let me know what you think! (6/6)
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With all the noise on my timeline yesterday, I didn't have the chance to address the polarizing views of Xhaka that came in response to this viz. I wanted to do that today because it really sheds light on what I believe is a big issue in sports analytics: confirmation bias (1/6)
The two widespread responses to this were either "see? Xhaka is one of the best PL midfielders" or "this proves stats don't belong in football". And the truth is... neither. This isn't meant to be a holistic view of Xhaka, and stats aren't only good when they agree with you (2/6)
This viz is meant to show that, broadly, Xhaka passes very progressively and accurately for Arsenal, and doesn't really dribble. Why that is the case is another debate- one point I mentioned was that this tends to be common among Arsenal midfielders (3/6):
THREAD: Manchester United 1-0 West Brom- United by the numbers
Firstly, Solskjaer deployed United in the usual 4-2-3-1. The shape was better than most previous games and a far cry from the Brighton/Spurs games. Still struggling to get as high up on the right as the left, but Martial’s positioning is more balanced than usual:
It was also more dominant overall. United comfortably outshot West Brom 17-7, with 7-2 shots on target. Single game xG has its limitations, but even without the penalty, Understat had United at 1.77 xG, almost 4 times more than WBA’s 0.44.
THREAD: Data Visualization- Why Solskjaer likes Shaw, United could use 2-3 defensive additions, and McTominay won't be United's long-term defensive midfielder
Recently, United have struggled to transition the ball from defence to midfield, and while last night against Copenhagen was an improvement, the problems were still present.
I think a lot of the team’s success is dependent on getting the ball to Paul Pogba and Bruno Fernandes in advanced areas, as I wrote for @StrettyNews last night: strettynews.com/2020/08/11/uni…