New analysis from @ONS suggests fall in non-UK nationals in employment is much smaller than suggested by Labour Force Survey data (although still a large fall in EU nationals in London)
ons.gov.uk/employmentandl…
ons.gov.uk/employmentandl…
Key table here. Latest LFS data shows a 480K fall in EU nationals in employment; RTI data shows fall of 184K (concentrated in London) 
Does this mean the analysis of the LFS data @StrongerInNos & published here is wrong? escoe.ac.uk/estimating-the… It certainly suggests our "upper bound" of 1.3 million is overstated..
but uncertainties remain huge (for reasons ONS explain) [RTI doesn't cover self-employed - who are disproportionately non-UK born - or people not in work; definition of non-UK nationals differs between LFS and RTI, etc].
ONS work confirms our conclusion LFS is significantly *overestimating* UK nationals in employment. LFS data shows no significant change over year while RTI data shows a 600K fall!
[although some of the latter will be non-UK born who have subsequently acquired UK nationality]
[although some of the latter will be non-UK born who have subsequently acquired UK nationality]
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