Terrific @hollyotterbein piece on the still-raging Democratic debate over the political ramifications of "defund the police" (h/t @daveweigel): politico.com/news/2021/03/2…
Holly breaks news of some official studies of the impact of "defund":

-- @guycecil of @prioritiesUSA says their polling found it "neither hurt, nor helped."
-- An adviser to @CartwrightPA found that while GOP TV ads on "defund" didn't hurt Dems more than other ads, those Democrats who put out ads explicitly renouncing "defund" and affirming pro-cop bona fides performed 1.5 points better than Biden for every 1,000 ad points.
I'm a little confused by a study that says Republican attack ads on "defund" are a wash, but refuting said ads was significant. Maybe it would be helpful to see the methodology.
-- Holly says that something of center/left coalition is working on a comprehensive study of defund and other hot-button issues for the CBC, CHC and CPC (progressive caucus).

But while Third Way and Latino Victory Fund are participating, I'm not seeing any true "left" groups.
-- @justicedems has done quite a bit to push back though.



Unclear what @NYWFP is calling for in the kicker quote here though. A reasoned rebuttal? Pressure and threats?
This, by the way, is the Cartwright spot:
I wrote about Cartwright's winning formula here: huffpost.com/entry/matt-car…

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More from @danielmarans

22 Mar
Rep. Filemon Vela announces retirement ahead of GOP-run redistricting, via @allymutnick: politico.com/news/2021/03/2…
Vela's seat is in one of several South Texas districts where the Democratic share of the electorate shrank from 2016 to 2020. And Republicans are expected to screw over at least one of the 3 House Ds in border region along with Cuellar and Gonzalez:
Obviously there's the safe El Paso seat where Veronica Escobar, and technically that's along the southern border too. And before Will Hurd won his seat representing the vast swath of land between El Paso and Laredo, Dems often won there (Pete Gallego, Ciro Rodriguez) ...
Read 7 tweets
8 Mar
In recent memory, has there been a more measurable impact of the effect of intellectual debate on policy than Democrats essentially adopting the left's critique of Obama-era fiscal politics and policy? ...
... People like @paulkrugman, @eliselgould and @joshbivens_DC, @DeanBaker13, @AdyBarkan, @StephanieKelton, @DanielAlpert, and @TheStalwart all argued -- often as it was happening -- that risk of fiscal stimulus being too small was far greater than the risk of runaway inflation.
These experts' success in changing how Democratic elites conceived of policy should be a source of inspiration to people pushing for change in other areas and temper some cynicism people feel about politics.
Read 7 tweets
8 Mar
Was doing some Googling after watching "Gomorrah," the show based on the book about the Camorra, and it turns out that there is an anti-racketeering activist in Southern Italy named Luigi Cuomo.

dw.com/en/italy-camor…
Not a super uncommon last name in the Naples area, apparently: forebears.io/surnames/cuomo
Gov. Andrew Cuomo and his late father, former Gov. Mario Cuomo, were also fierce opponents of organized crime and celebratory depictions of it in U.S. entertainment.

sun-sentinel.com/news/fl-xpm-20…
Read 4 tweets
5 Mar
At a @USJewishDems forum for Ohio-11 special election, each candidate was asked whether they support BDS.

@ninaturner: "No, I personally do not, but I also do not support the criminalization of people who are peacefully organizing for political change."
This is, to my knowledge, the first time Turner has clarified her position on BDS.

She supports tougher conditions on U.S. aid to Israel. Anti-BDS, pro-conditions is the stance Bowman took in NY-16 and it is already quite bold in a very Jewish seat: jewishinsider.com/2021/02/ohio-s…
Also interesting choice of tone and emphasis in Turner's climate answer: She talks about "kicking our addiction to fossil fuels," a "just transition" for fossil-fuel workers and "eradicating" environmental racism ...
Read 4 tweets
5 Mar
New: New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D) covered up the scale of COVID-related nursing home deaths.

His counterpart in New Jersey, Gov. Phil Murphy (D), tried to learn from his mistakes.

I looked at what the neighboring governors did differently:
huffpost.com/entry/andrew-c…
-- Nursing home medical professionals and advocates for residents felt that they had an audience with Gov. Murphy's team.

Not so in New York.

“It was like talking to a wall. We told them to give [our members] a call. And we got nothing,” @PALTC_Chris.
-- On paper at least, this insight translated into smarter policy.

New Jersey took a more lenient approach toward nursing homes, offering help adhering to COVID guidelines. The state did not explicitly forbid turning away COVID-positive hospital patients.
Read 20 tweets
22 Dec 20
New: Progressive Democrats have pushed for reforms based on Edward Snowden's leaks, but they have been relatively silent amid a campaign to get President Trump to pardon him. huffpost.com/entry/democrat… via @HuffPostPol
Very unlikely Trump will do it, but advocates think it is the best window they may ever have.

He said in August that he is considering it: reuters.com/article/us-usa…

Why this is a story: Progressive Dems have been at the forefront of efforts to end or curtail the mass surveillance programs Snowden uncovered.

But while 3 Republicans and Amash have called for a pardon, just @TulsiGabbard has on Dem side.
Read 13 tweets

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